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Another debt ceiling debacle could sink the economy

Last year's Congressional debt standoff hurt consumer confidence more than the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Betsey Johnson and Justin Wolfers write. This time could be worse.  Read more at Counterparties  

Travelers profit up, boosts 2007 forecast

NEW YORK | Thu Jul 26, 2007 7:07am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Travelers Cos. (TRV.N), the top writer of commercial auto and business insurance policies, said on Thursday that second-quarter profit rose 29 percent, helped by higher underwriting gains and net investment income, and raised its 2007 earnings forecast.

Net income rose to $1.25 billion, or $1.86 per share, up from $970 million, or $1.36, a year earlier.

Operating earnings, which analysts use to measure performance because they excludes investments, rose 22 percent to $1.17 billion, or $1.73 per share, from $959 million, or

$1.34.

Analysts on average expected the carrier to earn $1.49 per share, according to Reuters Estimates.

Net written premiums rose 1 percent to $5.71 billion, and underwriting gains rose 44 percent to $449 million. Travelers used 87.8 percent of premiums to pay claims, down from 89.8 percent a year earlier.

Net investment income rose 13 percent to $758 million.

St. Paul, Minnesota-based Travelers raised its forecast for 2007 operating profit per share to a range of $5.80 to $6.05 from $5.60 to $5.85. Analysts on average had forecast $5.84.

The higher forecast assumes $355 million of after-tax catastrophe losses for the year, no changes to reserves for prior years, and a $100 million after-tax benefit from an accounting change, Travelers said.

Travelers shares closed Wednesday at $51.34 on the New York Stock Exchange. They have fallen 4 percent this year, compared with little change in the Standard & Poor's insurance index

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(Reporting by Ed Leefeldt; Additional reporting by Jonathan Stempel)

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