ACG/Thomson Year-End 2007 DealMakers Survey Finds Merger Pros Less Bullish

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Mon Dec 17, 2007 8:00am EST

Fewer Buyouts, More Distressed and Cross-Border Deals Expected;

        M&A Pros See Greater Balance Between Buyers and Sellers
NEW YORK--(Business Wire)--Although 2007 will go down in the books as a record year in
worldwide mergers and acquisitions, and nearly three-quarters of
merger professionals have a positive view of the current M&A
environment, they are significantly less bullish than they were six
months ago, according to the ACG/Thomson DealMakers Survey.

   The percent of professionals involved in mergers and acquisitions
who say the current M&A environment is good or excellent has dropped
to 72% from 93% over the second half of 2007. Likewise, the percent
who believe the number of M&A transactions will increase in the next
six months fell to 25% from 38% in mid-year 2007. Those who say
mergers will decrease more than doubled to 38% from 16% mid-year,
while 37% say the number will remain the same.

   Dealmakers anticipate fewer buyouts in the next six months (75%),
and more distressed deals (93%). However, 80% say they are not
modifying their investment strategy.

   Investment professionals are increasingly looking at cross-border
deals, according to survey results. While 45% of respondents have not
done a cross-border transaction in the last year, 56% believe that
they will be doing a cross-border deal in the next six months, with
25% saying it is somewhat likely, and 31% saying it is very likely. In
the June survey, 50% anticipated being involved in a cross-border
deal. Western Europe (53%), Canada (45%), and China (37%) are the
areas in which they are most likely to be involved.

   "In the last six months, the credit crisis has clearly had an
impact on dealmakers' sentiment," said Paul Stewart, ACG Chairman and
Principal of PS Capital Partners. "Initially, this is having a greater
affect on larger sized buyouts that utilized syndicated debt for
leverage. As for the middle market buyouts that rely more on
relationship lending, although caution is in the air, senior bank and
mezzanine leverage are available and deals are closing at a steady
pace. If the credit situation leads to a recession in 2008, there is
likely to be a shift in investment, as investors are presented
opportunities that require capital to shore up the balance sheets of
companies. On a global basis, U.S. dealmakers continue to look outside
of the U.S. for investment opportunities, while the weak dollar is
starting to attract non-U.S. investors to seek U.S. based investment.
All in all, middle market private equity looks to remain a vibrant
sector of the overall U.S. Capital Market."

   The ACG/Thomson DealMakers Survey, completed twice yearly by the
Association for Corporate Growth (ACG) and Thomson Financial, polled
813 investment bankers, private equity professionals, corporate
development officers, as well as lawyers, accountants, consultants and
other service providers involved in the deal economy in November 2007.

   Through mid-December, worldwide announced M&A activity shattered
all previous records to reach US$4.35 trillion, a 20% increase over
last year's record year, according to Thomson Financial. However, as
global market conditions worsened in the second half of the year, M&A
saw a 30% decrease from the record-breaking first half. Cross-border
M&A activity contributed to much of this year's volume, accounting for
a record 47% of announced deals this year.

   "The high degree of optimism that characterized the private equity
buyout market at the start of the year has been replaced by a great
deal of caution at the end of 2007," according to Robert Keiser, Vice
President/ Proprietary Research at Thomson Financial.

   Private equity buyout activity accounted for as much as 41% of
total announced US M&A activity as of the first week of July according
to data compiled by Thomson Financial, but has only averaged about 15%
of weekly announced M&A over the second half of this year. "This
clearly portrays how damaging the credit-crunch has been to the
business model of private equity firms, and especially the firms that
specialize in the larger, so-called mega-deals," said Kaiser. "The
extent that private equity insiders remain cautiously optimistic about
the deal making environment heading into 2008 can be explained by the
fact that the vast majority of buyouts are categorized as smaller to
middle-market sized deals, which continue to be announced at the lower
end of what is historically considered a normal run-rate for announced
deals."

   The survey points to more of a balance of power between buyers and
sellers of companies. In the new survey, 39% say it is a Buyer's
market, 33% say it is a Seller's market, 28% are not sure. In the
mid-year 2007 survey, 75% said it was a Seller's market, 13% a Buyer's
market, and 12% were unsure.

   More than two-thirds (68%) of private equity professionals say the
amount of private equity capital available for investment is either
much too high (34%) or a little higher than it should be (34%). Not
surprisingly, private equity firms identify the greatest threats to
their industry as the credit crunch (29%), and competition with other
private equity firms (24%).

   Dealmakers are generally optimistic that the debt markets will be
in better shape a year from now, with 45% saying they will be a little
better, and 7% saying they will be much better. Among the pessimists,
18% say things will be a little worse, and 6% say much worse. In the
mid-year survey, just before the credit crisis hit, respondents
foresaw the coming troubles, with the majority (58%) saying the credit
market would be a little worse and 10% said they would be much worse,
with another 10% saying they would be a little better and only 1%
saying they would be much better.

   Survey Methodology

   The survey, conducted in November 2007, was completed by 813 ACG
members and Thomson Financial customers. Respondents were comprised of
private equity, venture capital and buyout firm members (22%);
investment bankers, intermediaries, brokers (26%); lenders, finance
providers (11%); corporate professionals, entrepreneurs (14%); and
service providers, such as lawyers, workout specialists, accountants
and consultants (27%). The majority of respondents were from the
United States (721), where 40 states were represented.
Internationally, executives from 28 countries completed the survey.

   About ACG

   Founded in 1954, the Association for Corporate Growth (ACG) is a
global association for professionals involved in corporate growth,
corporate development, and mergers and acquisitions. Today ACG stands
at more than 11,000 members from corporations, private equity,
finance, and professional service firms representing Fortune 1000,
FTSE 100, and mid-market companies in 53 chapters in North America and
Europe. For more information, please visit www.ACG.org.

   About Thomson Financial

   Thomson Financial, with 2006 revenues of US$2 billion, is a
provider of information and technology solutions to the worldwide
financial community. Through the widest range of products and services
in the industry, Thomson Financial helps clients in more than 70
countries make better decisions, be more productive and achieve
superior results. Thomson Financial is part of The Thomson Corporation
(www.thomson.com), a global leader in providing essential electronic
workflow solutions to business and professional customers. With
operational headquarters in Stamford, Conn., Thomson provides
value-added information, software tools and applications to
professionals in the fields of law, tax, accounting, financial
services, scientific research and healthcare. The Corporation's common
shares are listed on the New York and Toronto stock exchanges (NYSE:
TOC; TSX: TOC).

BackBay Communications
Phil Nunes, 617-536-0366
Phil.Nunes@BackBayCommunications.com
or
Peter Czyryca, 617-536-7539
Peter@BackBayCommunications.com
or
Jen Dowd, 617-536-0255
Jen.Dowd@BackBayCommunications.com
or
Thomson Financial
Sally Cates, 646-822-2076
sally.cates@thomson.com

Copyright Business Wire 2007
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