Fitch Downgrades Duke Realty's Sr. Unsecured Debt to 'BBB'; Outlook Stable
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NEW YORK--(Business Wire)--Fitch Ratings has downgraded Duke Realty Corporation (NYSE:DRE) (Duke) and its operating partnership, Duke Realty Limited Partnership, as follows: Duke Realty Corporation --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BBB' from 'BBB+'; --Preferred shares to 'BBB-' from 'BBB'; Duke Realty Limited Partnership --IDR to 'BBB' from 'BBB+' --Senior unsecured notes to 'BBB' from 'BBB+' --Unsecured lines of credit to 'BBB' from 'BBB+' --Exchangeable senior unsecured notes to 'BBB' from 'BBB+'. The Rating Outlook is revised to Stable. The downgrades center on the sustained increase in the company's leverage ratios, and particularly the deterioration of Duke's ratio of undepreciated unencumbered assets to unsecured debt in recent periods. Although Duke's unencumbered asset ratio (using calculations in Duke's bond covenants) was a strong 253.0% and 232.0% as of December 31, 2004 and December 31, 2005 respectively, this ratio declined to 189.6% and 189.0% as of Dec. 31, 2006 and September 30, 2007 respectively. Fitch considers these 189.6% and 189.0% levels consistent with a 'BBB' rating. The company's increase in leverage from previous levels may place constraints on the company's liquidity position going forward. The downgrades further reflect concerns about the increase in Duke's leverage ratios from a debt-to-EBITDA perspective, as this metric has increased from 5.9x as of December 31, 2005 to 7.5x and 7.4x as of December 31, 2006 and September 30, 2007, respectively. Additionally, Fitch notes the weakening of Duke's risk-adjusted capitalization due to the simultaneous increase in Duke's leverage and increase in Duke's development pipeline, which includes higher-risk speculative development projects and land investments. Although construction-in-progress and land-held-for-development assets represented 10.3% of total gross assets as of Dec. 31, 2005, this percentage increased to 13.5% and 14.9% as of Dec. 31, 2006 and Sept. 30, 2007, respectively. This, combined with the company's increase in leverage, has placed pressure on Duke's risk-adjusted capitalization. Broadly, Fitch continues to monitor pressures experienced across the credit markets and believes that such pressures may prevent many Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) from raising capital on favorable terms in the near term. In addition, Fitch will examine whether REITs face more difficulty in selling assets on favorable terms in 2008. Fitch's Stable Rating Outlook reflects the recent stability in Duke's same-store portfolio performance. As a result of positive same-property net operating income growth of 7.00% in 2006, and 8.18%, 3.72%, 3.23%, 2.78% in each of the four quarters ending Sept. 30, 2007 in Duke's portfolio, earnings from Duke's rental operations have increased. This fact has contributed to fixed-charge coverage ratios of 1.8x (times) in 2006 and 1.7x for the twelve months ending September 30, 2007, levels that are somewhat lower than ratios prior to 2006 but consistent with the 'BBB' rating level. (Fitch defines fixed-charge coverage as recurring EBITDA less recurring capital expenditures less straight-line rent adjustments divided by interest expense, capitalized interest and dividends on preferred shares.) Moreover, in revising its Rating Outlook on Duke to Stable, Fitch acknowledges the effects of Duke's earnings from gains on sale of service operations, earnings from sales of land, and gains on sale of depreciable properties. However, Fitch views these earnings streams as exhibiting higher risk characteristics than earnings from Duke's core rental operations. The Stable Outlook also reflects Duke's broad tenant roster with staggered lease expiration schedules, providing multiple sources of earnings and the ability to renegotiate rental terms on an ongoing basis. Additionally, Fitch notes Duke's same-store occupancy level of 94.94% as of September 30, 2007 and positive same-store occupancy growth in each quarter of 2007. Fitch also considers the large pool of unencumbered assets in Duke's portfolio to be a credit strength. Specifically, 94% of Duke's properties on a gross book value basis were unencumbered as of Sept. 30, 2007, providing support to Duke's unsecured bondholders. Finally, the financial flexibility enabled by Duke's unsecured debt capital allows Duke to reposition assets if needed, while the company's funding profile as a whole exhibits limited refinance risk in the next 2-to-3 years. Fitch will monitor several factors over the next 12-to-24 months in connection with Duke's ratings. First, regarding real estate fundamentals, Fitch will review trends such as absorption and rental growth in Duke's markets, particularly lower growth markets such as Cincinnati, Atlanta, Columbus and Raleigh. Fitch will particularly monitor same-property net operating income across Duke's portfolio and its effects on Duke's fixed-charge coverage ratios. Secondly, with respect to leverage, Fitch believes that Duke's unencumbered asset coverage ratio may decline in 2008, but such a decline would remain consistent with the 'BBB' rating level. Thirdly, from a liquidity standpoint, Fitch will closely monitor growth in Duke's internally-generated cash flows from operations. The following factors would contribute favorably towards Duke's ratings: lower leverage, a pullback on speculative development, and improvements in recurring fixed charge coverage. Duke is an equity REIT based in Indianapolis, IN. As of Sept. 30, 2007, Duke owned interests in 351 bulk distribution industrial properties, 305 suburban office buildings, and 67 service center/other properties. As of Sept. 30, 2007, Duke had $8.3 billion in undepreciated book assets and $2.7 billion in undepreciated book equity. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, New York Sean Pattap, +1-212-908-0642 (REITs) Jan Svec, +1-212-908-0304 (REITs) Sandro Scenga, +1-212-908-0278 (Media Relations) Copyright Business Wire 2008
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