X5 Retail Group N.V - Q407 & FY2007 Trading Update

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Tue Jan 22, 2008 2:21am EST

RNS Number:2548M
X5 Retail Group N.V.
22 January 2008



NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION IN, INTO OR FROM AUSTRALIA, CANADA
                                    OR JAPAN


                        X5 RETAIL GROUP N.V. REPORTS 53%
             NET RETAIL SALES* GROWTH IN USD TERMS FOR FULL YEAR 2007



Amsterdam, 22 January 2008 - X5 Retail Group N.V., Russia's largest food
retailer in terms of revenue (LSE ticker: "FIVE"), published today its retail
sales and expansion results for the fourth quarter and full year 2007.


                Q4 2007 Highlights                                       FY 2007 Highlights
•   Q4 2007 net retail sales surged 57%                 •   FY 2007 net retail sales surged 53% year-on-year
year-on-year to USD 1,692 mln;                          to 5,284 mln;

•   In RUR terms Q4 2007 net retail sales grew by       •   In RUR terms FY 2007 net retail sales grew by 44%
48% year-on-year to RUR 42,148 mln;                     year-on-year to RUR 135,156 mln;

•   Q4 2007 LFL sales growth totaled 26%;               •   FY 2007 LFL sales growth totaled 20%;

•   In Q4 2007 the Group added net 119 stores;          •   During FY 2007 the Group added net 249 stores

•   Net addition of selling space in Q4 2007            •   Net addition of selling space in FY 2007 equaled
equaled 69.0 thousand sq. m.                            143,1 thousand sq. m.



Lev Khasis, X5 Retail Group CEO, commented:



"Our achievement of a vigorous increase in sales of 53% in dollar terms in 2007
gives us a firm foundation for further growth of X5's market share and underpins
the competitive position of the Company, which is stronger than ever.  Going
forward we will continue to focus our efforts on enhancement of the Group's
market leadership both through better performance of existing stores and through
expansion into new regions of European Russia.  This year we plan to accelerate
gaining exposure to the hypermarket format by opening six compact and two large
size hypermarkets.  As a result, we expect to deliver a net sales increase in
the range of 36-38% excluding FX effect for the full year 2008."



Antonio Melo, X5 Retail Group Chief Operating Officer, added:



"Our decision to postpone several openings and concentrate on existing stores'
operations has borne fruit.  As a result, Q4 was the strongest in the year in
terms of sales growth.  This outstanding performance was the result of several
factors, including strong macro economic environment, increased pre-New Year
spending as well as innovative and successful promo campaigns and a significant
investment in customer loyalty.  Traffic numbers show that this approach was
welcomed by our clients, which more than compensates for some margin investment.
 For 2008 we will continue to focus on delivering balanced growth in traffic and
basket, especially in the hypermarket format, which we expect to be the leader
in LFL stores performance."



*       Net retail sales represent revenue from operations of X5 managed stores
excluding VAT.  This number differs from total net sales that also include
revenue from franchisees and other revenue.  The total net sales number will be
reported along with the FY 2007 financial results.

Numbers provided in this press-release are preliminary and unaudited.

2006 net retail sales are reported on pro-forma basis for Pyaterochka, but
include only two months - November & December 2006 - of Merkado net retail sales
in the amount of USD 16.5 mln.  2007 net retail   sales include one month
(December) of Korzinka operations in the amount of USD 20.0 mln.  For your
reference, FY 2006 net retail sales of Merkado were USD 81.6 mln, FY 2007
Korzinka net retail sales totaled    USD 161.6 mln.





Net Retail Sales Performance



Net Retail Sales Dynamics
                                                        % change                                 % change
USD mln                      Q4 2007       Q4 2006       y-o-y        FY 2007       FY 2006       y-o-y
Hypermarkets                      131.9          81.5     62%              392.7         244.9     60%
Supermarkets                      618.2         398.5     55%            1,944.7       1,254.5     55%
Soft Discounters                  941.8         594.6     58%            2,946.8       1,961.0     50%
Total Net Retail Sales          1,691.9       1,074.6     57%            5,284.3       3,460.4     53%
RUR mln
Hypermarkets                    3,292.4       2,163.1          52%      10,044.3       6,637.0     51%
Supermarkets                   15,395.3      10,543.2          46%      49,740.8      33,985.8     46%
Soft Discounters               23,460.1      15,762.8          49%      75,370.9      53,185.2     42%
Total Net Retail Sales         42,147.8      28,469.0          48%     135,156.0      93,808.0     44%





Total net retail sales for the fourth quarter 2007 increased by 57% in USD terms
(48% in RUR terms) to USD 1,692 mln, translating into a 53% (44% in RUR terms)
increase year-on-year to USD 5,284 mln for the full year 2007.  Impressive
retail sales surge was due to a very strong performance of soft discounters in
the regions and in Moscow, outstanding results demonstrated by supermarkets
across all formats and regions and improving performance of hypermarkets opened
at the end of 2006.






Gross Retail Sales Analysis*



Like-For-Like** Stores Performance (please see Appendix I for detailed LFL
performance)
                                                Q4 2007                                FY 2007
                                     Total LFL, Traffic,  Basket, %        Total LFL, % Traffic,  Basket, %
                                         %          %                                       %
Hypermarkets                             21        10        11                 17         11         6
Supermarkets                             29        15        14                 22         14         8
Soft Discounters                         24         5        19                 19          6        13
X5 Retail Group                          26         8        18                 20          9        11



Gross Retail Sales Dynamics
                                             Q4 2007                               FY 2007
                               LFL, %   Expansion, %  Total change    LFL, %    Expansion,  Total change
                                                       %, excl. FX                           %, excl. FX
                                                                                     %
Hypermarkets                     21          31            52           17          34           51
Supermarkets                     29          18            47           22          24           46
Soft Discounters                 24          25            49           19          23           42
Total Gross retail sales         26          22            48           20          24           44
FX Effect, %                                                9                                     9
Total Change Y-O-Y, %                                      57                                    53



For the fourth quarter 2007, LFL sales surged 26% in RUR terms, composed of 8%
growth in traffic and 18% growth in average basket.  Expansion brought
additional 22% in terms of growth.  As a result, full year 2007 LFL sales
increased by 20% in RUR terms with traffic growing by 9% and basket - by 11%,
while 24% came from expansion.



Hypermarkets

For the fourth quarter 2007, hypermarket sales surged 52%, excluding FX effect.
This growth came as a result of a 21% increase in LFL sales and 31% added by
non-LFL stores.  In the fourth quarter the Company ran several promotional
campaigns that were aimed to boost traffic.  In terms of expansion, three new
stores were added during 2007, including one large store purchased as part of
Korzinka deal in December 2007 that currently operates under My ("We") brand.



For the full year 2007, gross sales in the hypermarket format increased by 51%
(LFL sales up 17%, new stores sales up 34%).



*     In this section all sales dynamics analysis is based on RUR-denominated
gross sales (including VAT, excluding FX).  Net sales RUR growth rates may
immaterially differ due to effective VAT rate.

**       In line with international practice, LFL (like-for-like) performance
represents growth in sales of LFL stores during the reporting period over the
same period a year ago.  LFL stores are defined as stores that have operated for
at least twelve full months preceding the reporting date.  Their sales are
included in LFL calculation starting from the first day of the month following
the month of the store opening.  LFL sales are calculated on the basis of
traffic and basket amounts of relevant stores in the period under review,
therefore LFL sales are gross, i.e. include VAT. LFL sales are reported in
Russian RUR unadjusted for inflation.




Supermarkets

For the fourth quarter 2007, supermarket sales grew by 47%, excluding FX effect,
as a result of 29% surge in LFL sales and 18% coming from expansion.  In October
2008 we ran a very successful Festival of Low Prices promotional campaign across
all regions, which was one of the factors that supported robust performance of
supermarket format.  As usual, there was very strong LFL growth in Moscow (up
33%), which again proves our strong leadership in this format in the capital of
Russia.  We are proud to report that supermarket traffic in Moscow posted
impressive growth of 18% in the fourth quarter.  LFL sales were also very strong
in St. Petersburg (23%), with regions demonstrating healthy 19% in terms of LFL
growth.



For the full year 2007, gross sales in the supermarket format increased by 46%
(LFL sales up 22%, new stores sales up 24%).



Soft Discounters

In the fourth quarter 2007 soft discounter sales grew by 49%, excluding FX
effect, as a result of a 24% surge in LFL sales and 25% coming from expansion.
The strongest LFL growth in the soft discounter format was reported in the
regions (up 63%) due to continuing excellent performance of stores in
Chelyabinsk and Yekaterinburg.  As competition in St. Petersburg continues to
strengthen, it is very challenging to keep positive traffic numbers, which was
reflected in our St. Petersburg discounters LFL performance - total LFL growth
was 13% and traffic was flat.  At the same time, in Moscow soft discounters
posted quite impressive growth numbers in terms of LFL - total LFL sales were up
33% (traffic increased by 7%, while average basket - by 26%).



For the full year 2007, gross sales in the soft discounter format increased by
42% (LFL sales up 19%, new stores sales up 23%).



Expansion


                                                            As of         Net Added    Net Added     % change,
Selling Space,  sq. m.       31 Dec '06    30 Sep '07  31 Dec '07        in Q4 2007      in 2007 FY '07, y-o-y
Hypermarkets                     46,179        50,179      59,963             9,784       13,784           30%
Supermarkets                    162,807       175,654     191,730            16,076       28,923           18%
Soft Discounters                257,150       314,443     357,517            43,074      100,367           39%
Total Net Added                 466,136       540,276     609,210            68,934      143,074           31%
# of Stores
Hypermarkets                         12            13          15                 2            3           25%
Supermarkets                        156           163         179                16           23           15%
Soft Discounters                    451           573         674               101          223           49%
Total Net Added                     619           749         868               119          249           40%



In Q4 2007, X5 Retail Group N.V. added net 119 stores, including 101 soft
discounter, 16 supermarkets and 2 hypermarkets with a total net selling space of
69.0 thousand sq. m.



For the full year 2007 net addition of stores totalled 249, of which 223 were in
soft discount format, 23 supermarkets and 3 hypermarkets.  The total net selling
area added was 143,1 thousand sq.m.  This takes into account 3.6 thousand sq.m.
that were closed during the year (8 soft discounters and 2 supermarkets) and
includes stores acquired through tactical M&A transactions that are summarized
below.





As a result, at 31 December 2007, X5 Retail Group N.V. operated 868
company-managed stores (consisting of 674 soft discounters, 179 supermarkets, 14
compact hypermarkets and one full-size hypermarket store), with the total net
selling space of 609.2 thousand sq. m. (please see Attachments III and IV for
detailed information on store opening progress).



Tactical M&A Transactions & Franchises Buy-Out Summary



During 2007 X5 Retail Group successfully completed two tactical M&A transactions
and one franchise chain buy-out.



  • In the beginning of 2007 the Company gained control over 40 soft discount
    stores in Chelyabinsk previously operated by a franchisee under Pyaterochka
    brand with the total net selling space of 13.8 thousand sq. m.  It was the
    first step in implementation of the Group's strategy of selective buy-out of
    certain franchises in strategically important regions.



  • In December 2007 X5 Retail Group completed acquisition of 22 Korzinka
    stores operating in the Lipetsk region with the net selling space of 20.0
    thousand sq. m. 15 of the purchased stores are being integrated into the
    Group's discounter format, six into the supermarket format and one store has
    been added to the hypermarket network.



  • In December 2007 the Company also acquired a total of 29 discounter stores
    currently operating under Strana Gerkulesia brand (located in Moscow, the
    Moscow and Tver regions) with the total net selling space of 12.9 thousand
    sq.m, of which 26 are operational (11.7 thousand sq.m. in selling space) and
    three are scheduled for opening in Q1 2008 (1.2 thousand sq.m. in selling
    space).  X5 also purchased an office building and construction in progress
    that potentially can be converted into selling space in the future.



These transactions enabled the Company to establish market leadership in two new
regions, Urals and the Central region of Russia, as well as to strengthen its
competitive positions in Moscow and the Moscow oblast.  The Group has a
successful track record of re-branding and integrating acquired stores into its
multi-format network, ensuring quick improvement in the stores' performance and
extracting significant synergies from the integration.



Franchisee Store Operations



During 2007 the Group's franchisee store network was expanded by net 61 stores.
As of 31 December 2007, franchisees operated 688 stores across Russia and
Kazakhstan in total, including 8 Perekrestok and 680 Pyaterochka stores.  X5
Retail Group does not consolidate franchisee stores' sales.  The Group receives
royalty payments from franchisees and reports them as other revenue.






Progress in Logistics Infrastructure Development



During 2007 X5 Retail Group added net five Distribution Centers (DCs) (one DC in
Moscow was closed), increasing its storage capacity by 78.1 thousand sq.m.  As a
result, at the end of 2007 the Group had 10 DCs with the total storage area of
143.7 thousand sq.m., including four DCs in Moscow (total storage space of 88.0
thousand sq.m.), 3 DCs in St. Petersburg (total storage space of 37.2 thousand
sq.m.), one DC in Nizhniy Novgorod (storage space of 13.5 thousand sq.m.), one
DC in Chelyabinsk (2.5 thousand sq.m.) and one DC in Yekaterinburg (2.5 thousand
sq.m.).



Outlook for 2008

  • X5 Retail Group expects net sales growth in the range of 36-38% in RUR
    terms for the full year 2008;
  • 2008 LFL stores' sales expected to grow at above 10% with hypermarkets
    being clear leaders in LFL growth;
  • In 2008 X5 plans to add 140-160 thousand sq.m. of selling space;
  • Eight hypermarkets to be opened during 2008, including six compact and two
    large-size stores;
  • In 2008 the Group plans to add around 40 thousand sq. m. of storage
    capacity on the net basis;
  • 2008 CapEx estimated at USD 1,200-1,400 mln, out of which about 40% will
    be spent on the stores to be opened after 2008, including expansion of the
    landbank for future hypermarket construction.



Please note that 2008 outlook numbers do not take into account potential
acquisition of Karusel hypermarket chain.  However, these figures include
contribution of tactical M&A transactions that are treated by the Company as
organic development.



Appendices

       I.      LFL Store Performance by Format and Region

      II.      Average Ticket and Number of Customers

     III.      Net Selling Space Addition by Format and Region

     IV.       Net Store Addition by Format and Region

      V.       Financial Calendar for 2008



Note to Editors:


X5 Retail Group N.V. is Russia's largest food retailer in terms of sales.  The
Company was created as a result of a merger between Pyaterochka (soft discounter
chain) and Perekrestok (supermarket chain) on 18 May 2006.


As of 31 December 2007, the Group had 674 Company managed soft discount stores
located in Moscow (309), St. Petersburg (244) and other Russian areas (121), 179
Company managed supermarkets across Central Russia and Ukraine, including 105
stores in Moscow (Moscow region and Yaroslavl region), and 15 Company managed
hypermarkets.


As of 31 December 2007, X5's franchisees operated 688 stores across Russia and
Kazakhstan.



The Group's net sales for the first nine months 2007 reached USD 3,618 million,
an increase of 50% year-on-year.  Gross profit for the period totaled USD 946
million, EBITDA amounted to USD 311 million.



Forward looking statements:

This announcement includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, "
forward-looking statements".  These forward-looking statements can be identified
by the fact that they do not only relate to historical or current events.
Forward-looking statements often use words such as" anticipate", "target", "
expect", "estimate", "intend", "expected", "plan", "goal" believe", or other
words of similar meaning.



By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because
they relate to future events and circumstances, a number of which are beyond X5
Retail Group N.V.'s control.  As a result, actual future results may differ
materially from the plans, goals and expectations set out in these
forward-looking statements.



Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of X5 Retail Group N.V.
speak only as at the date of this announcement.  Save as required by any
applicable laws or regulations, X5 Retail Group N.V. undertakes no obligation
publicly to release the results of any revisions to any forward-looking
statements in this document that may occur due to any change in its expectations
or to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document.




For further details please contact


Anna Kareva                                           Elena Cherkalova
IR Director                                           PR Manager
Tel.:  +7 (495) 980-2729, ext. 22 162                 Tel: +7 (495) 950-5577
e-mail:  anna.kareva@x5.ru                            e-mail:  elena.cherkalova@x5.ru




Appendix I:  LFL Store Performance by Format and Region*


                                                Q4 2007                                FY 2007
                                     Total LFL, Traffic,  Basket, %        Total LFL, % Traffic,  Basket, %
                                         %          %                                       %
Moscow & the Moscow Region**
Hypermarkets                             20         5        15                 13          4         9
Supermarkets                             33        18        15                 26         17         9
Soft Discounters                         33         7        26                 26         10        16
Total                                    32        11        21                 25         12        13

St. Petersburg & North-West
Hypermarkets                             -          -         -                 -           -         -
Supermarkets                             23        15         8                 19         14         5
Soft Discounters                         13         0        13                 11          1        10
Total                                    14         1        13                 11          2         9

Regions
Hypermarkets                             21        13         8                 21         15         6
Supermarkets                             19        10         9                 9           6         3
Soft Discounters                         63        32        31                 48         23        25
Regions Total                            27        18         9                 18         13         5

X5 Retail Group
Hypermarkets                             21        10        11                 17         11         6
Supermarkets                             29        15        14                 22         14         8
Soft Discounters                         24         5        19                 19          6        13
X5 Retail Group Total                    26         8        18                 20          9        11



*     Based on RUR-denominated gross sales (including VAT, excluding FX).  Net
sales RUR growth rates may immaterially differ due to effective VAT rate.

      In line with international practice, LFL (like-for-like) performance
represents growth in sales of LFL stores during the reporting period over the
same period a year ago.  LFL stores are defined as stores that have operated for
at least twelve full months preceding the reporting date.  Their sales are
included in LFL calculation starting from the first day of the month following
the month of the store opening.  LFL sales are calculated on the basis of
traffic and basket amounts of relevant stores in the period under review,
therefore LFL sales are gross, i.e. include VAT. LFL sales are reported in
Russian RUR unadjusted for inflation.

**    Includes the City of Moscow, Moscow and Yaroslavl regions.




Appendix II:  Average Ticket and Number of Customers


                                   Q4 2007      Q4 2006    % change,    FY 2007      FY 2006     % change,
                                                             y-o-y                                 y-o-y
X5 Average Ticket, USD                   11.2         9.4     19%             10.0          8.8     13%
Hypermarkets                             18.6        15.9     17%             16.2         15.1     8%
Supermarkets                             13.7        11.6     18%             12.1         10.8     12%
Soft Discounters                          9.6         8.0     20%              8.5          7.5     14%
X5 # of Customers, mln                  171.6       130.1     32%            605.2        448.8     35%
Hypermarkets                              8.1         5.9     38%             27.7         18.6     49%
Supermarkets                             51.7        39.1     32%            182.9        132.2     38%
Soft Discounters                        111.8        85.1     31%            394.5        298.0     32%






Appendix III:  Net Selling Space Addition by Format and Region


                                          As of                     Net Added    Net Added     %  change,
Selling Space,  sq. m.     31 Dec '06  30 Sep '07  31 Dec '07       in Q4 2007    in 2007     FY '07 y-o-y
Moscow & the Moscow Region
Hypermarkets                 17,189      17,189      17,189             -            -             -
Supermarkets                 100,691     103,165     107,555          4,390        6,864           7%
Soft Discounters             134,736     152,516     175,101          22,585       40,365         30%
Total                        252,616     272,870     299,845          26,975       47,229         19%

St. Petersburg &
North-West
Hypermarkets                    -           -           -               -            -             -
Supermarkets                 20,102      24,061      24,061             -          3,959          20%
Soft Discounters             113,511     130,763     135,006          4,243        21,495         19%
Total                        133,613     154,824     159,067          4,243        25,454         19%

Regions
Hypermarkets                 28,990      32,990      42,774           9,784        13,784         48%
Supermarkets                 42,014      48,428      60,114           11,686       18,100         43%
Soft Discounters              8,903      31,164      47,410           16,246       38,507         433%
Total                        79,907      112,582     150,298          37,716       70,391         88%

X5 Retail Group
Hypermarkets                 46,179      50,179      59,963           9,784        13,784         30%
Supermarkets                 162,807     175,654     191,730          16,076       28,923         18%
Soft Discounters             257,150     314,443     357,517          43,074      100,367         39%
X5 Retail Group Total        466,136     540,276     609,210          68,934      143,074         31%






Appendix IV:  Net Store Addition by Format and Region


                                               As of                      Net Added       Net Added
# of Stores                     31 Dec '06  30 Sep '07  31 Dec '07       in Q4 2007       in  2007
Moscow & the Moscow Region
Hypermarkets                         4           4           4                -               -
Supermarkets                        101         101         105               4               4
Soft Discounters                    222         256         309              53              87
Total                               327         361         418              57              91

St. Petersburg & North-West
Hypermarkets                         -           -           -                -               -
Supermarkets                        17          19          19                -               2
Soft Discounters                    204         234         244              10              40
Total                               221         253         263              10              42

Regions
Hypermarkets                         8           9          11                2               3
Supermarkets                        38          43          55               12              17
Soft Discounters                    25          83          121              38              96
Total                               71          135         187              52              116

X5 Retail Group
Hypermarkets                        12          13          15                2               3
Supermarkets                        156         163         179              16              23
Soft Discounters                    451         573         674              101             223
X5 Retail Group Total               619         749         868              119             249






Appendix V:  Financial Calendar for 2008


Date                            Event

January 22, 2008                Q4 & FY 2007 Trading Update Release

February 26, 2008, TBC          Preliminary FY 2007 Financial Results Release

April 10, 2008, TBC             Q1 2008 Trading Update Release

April 22, 2008, TBC             Audited FY 2007 IFRS Results Release

May 29, 2008, TBC               Q1 2008 Unaudited Financial Results Release

July 10, 2008, TBC              Q2 & H1 2008 Trading Update Release

September 23, 2008, TBC         Q2 & H1 Audited IFRS Results Release

October 9, 2008, TBC            Q3 2008 Trading Update Release

November 25, 2008, TBC          Q3 2008 Unaudited Financial Results Release




                      This information is provided by RNS
            The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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