Fitch Downgrades Wachovia's IDR to 'A+'; Outlook Negative
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NEW YORK--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings has downgraded the Issuer Default Rating (IDR) for Wachovia Corporation (Wachovia) and its subsidiaries to 'A+' from 'AA-'. Fitch has also removed Wachovia from Rating Watch Negative where it was originally placed on June 27. The Rating Outlook is Negative. A complete list of ratings can be found below. The rating downgrade reflects the increasingly pronounced asset quality deterioration evident in Wachovia's mortgage portfolio, specifically the Golden West-originated Pick-A-Pay (option ARM) product, and the resulting pressure created by this asset class on the firm's financial flexibility. Fitch anticipates Wachovia's reported financial performance in the next few quarters will fall short of normal run-rate expectations for a franchise of Wachovia's diversity, depth and rating. The Negative Outlook recognizes that although Fitch believes that Wachovia has attempted to incorporate a conservative view of potential future collateral deterioration, exogenous factors, including home price indices, can deteriorate significantly in a short period of time that may necessitate or accelerate additional meaningful charges and reserve building by Wachovia. The magnitude of such charges and potential impact on capital could result in a further downgrade of Wachovia's ratings. Conversely, Wachovia's financial performance may recover more quickly if expected losses do not fully materialize. Fitch expects to re-evaluate Wachovia's Rating Outlook over the next few quarters. Wachovia set aside a $5.6 billion provision for credit losses during second-quarter-2008 (2Q'08), much of which represents additional reserve building in anticipation of future charge-offs from the Pick-A-Pay portfolio. Also contributing to the downgrade are the combined effects of a number of other factors that have hampered Wachovia's recent results. Among these are continuing charges associated with the dislocations in the credit and capital markets (these cost Wachovia $936 million in 2Q08 and about $6.2 billion cumulatively since last summer). There were also a number of other items in 2Q08 including the reversal of $975 million in accelerated tax benefits associated with lease structures (SILOs) which were primarily originated in the 1990's, $590 million in provisions for legal costs, and $283 million of chargeoffs associated with residential construction loans. Further, the downgrade is consistent with Fitch's view that the macroeconomic environment will remain quite challenging over the intermediate term, with continued home price declines, sustenance of elevated consumer prices on basic necessities and higher unemployment. The performance of consumer receivables (e.g. mortgages, home equity, credit card and auto loans) is expected to reflect that stress. Wachovia's 2Q'08 net loss of $8.7 billion ($8.9 billion after preferred dividends) results reflects an operating loss of $2.7 billion and goodwill impairment of $6.1 billion. Although goodwill impairment is recognized through the income statement, it is important to note that Fitch routinely subtracts goodwill from capital in its evaluation of capital. Therefore, the goodwill impairment has no effect on Fitch's view of capital. In addition, since regulatory capital ratios also exclude goodwill from capital, there is no effect on regulatory capital from the goodwill impairment charge. In April, Wachovia issued just over $8 billion in new capital and significantly reduced the dividend. To further preserve capital flexibility, today Wachovia's board announced that the quarterly dividend is further reduced to $0.05 per share. This will save Wachovia approximately $700 million per quarter; in light of the current economic environment, Fitch views this action positively. Although the 2Q'08 loss partially offset the benefit from the new capital, Wachovia nonetheless ended the quarter with Tier I capital of approximately $50 billion. This translates into a Tier I Capital to risk adjusted assets ratio of 8% suggesting a meaningful level of capital flexibility, particularly in light of the dividend action. Wachovia funds almost two-thirds of its balance sheet with equity or deposits, the bulk of which are stable, core deposits derived from its formidable 3,400 branch network. Additional funding is provided through FHLB advances, long and short term debt. Wachovia manages liquidity at both the bank and the parent company and has meaningful levels of additional flexibility at both major entities. Wachovia's Pick-A-Pay balances totaled approximately $122 billion as of June 30, 2008, representing 72% of the firm's total mortgage loans and about 15% of consolidated total assets. Commercial real estate loans related to residential housing (construction, land, condos) totaled $11.8 billion. Trends in both these portfolios have been sharply negative and both are anticipated to get worse before they get better. Wachovia's remaining commercial real estate portfolio totals $36.5 billion; this portion of the portfolio has remained solid to date. Nonetheless, this portfolio bears close monitoring, particularly in regions more negatively affected by deterioration in the housing market and rising regional unemployment. Following significant market disruption charges since last summer, Wachovia's remaining exposures are considered manageable, although continued weakness in the credit and capital markets could lead to moderate additional charges should market pricing on certain assets slide further. At quarter end, Wachovia held $4.4 billion in (gross) exposure to ABS CDOs, $1.7 billion in subprime RMBS, $3.8 billion in Leveraged Finance loans and $756 million in CMBS net MTM notional exposure. Fitch anticipates that results for the remainder of 2008 will be challenged by elevated credit loss provisions and, to a lesser extent, potential further market disruption charges. Fitch anticipates that Wachovia, under the leadership of the new CEO, will reassess its various businesses and may well accelerate plans to reduce both expenses and certain balance sheet exposures. The current rating incorporates a view that pressures from credit losses, market disruptions and business line adjustments will be largely offset by operating profits, resulting in maintenance of capital ratios at or near June 30, 2008 levels. Fitch has downgraded and removed the following ratings from Rating Watch Negative: Wachovia Corporation --Long-term IDR to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Senior long-term debt to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Subordinated debt to 'A' from 'A+'; --Preferred stock to 'A' from 'A+'. Wachovia Bank, NA: --Long-term IDR to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Long-term deposits to 'AA-' from 'AA'; --Senior long-term debt to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Subordinated debt to 'A' from 'A+'. Wachovia Bank of Delaware, NA: --Long-term IDR to 'A+' from 'AA-'. Wachovia Mortgage, FSB: --Long-term IDR to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Senior long-term debt to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Long-term deposits to 'AA-' from 'AA'. Wachovia Bank, FSB (Texas): --Long-term IDR to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Long-term deposits to 'AA-' from 'AA'. Congress Financial Capital Company (guaranteed by Wachovia Corporation) --Long-term IDR to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Senior long-term debt to 'A+' from 'AA-'. Golden West Financial Corporation: --Senior long-term debt to 'A+' from 'AA-'. SouthTrust Bank: --Senior long-term debt to 'A+' from 'AA-'; --Subordinated debt to 'A' from 'A+'. First Union National - Florida SouthTrust Corporation Western Financial Bank --Subordinated debt to 'A' from 'A+'. Wachovia Capital Trust I, II, III, IV, V, IX: Central Fidelity Capital Trust I Corestates Capital I, II, III First Union Capital I, II First Union Institutional Capital I, II --Preferred to 'A' from 'A+'. Fitch has also affirmed the following ratings: Wachovia Corporation --Short-term IDR 'F1+'; --Short-term debt rating 'F1+'; --Individual 'B'; --Support '5' --Support Floor 'NF'. Wachovia Bank, NA: --Short-term IDR 'F1+'; --Short-term deposits 'F1+'; --Individual 'B'; --Support '2' --Support Floor 'BBB-'. Wachovia Bank of Delaware, NA: --Short-term IDR 'F1+'; --Individual 'B'; --Support '2' --Support Floor 'BBB-'. Wachovia Mortgage, FSB: --Short-term IDR 'F1+'; --Short-term deposits 'F1+'; --Individual 'B'; --Support '2' --Support Floor 'BBB-'. Wachovia Bank, FSB (Texas): --Short-term IDR 'F1+'; --Short-term deposits 'F1+'; --Individual 'B'; --Support '2' --Support Floor 'BBB-'. Wachovia Capital Finance Corporation (Canada) (guaranteed by Wachovia Bank, NA) --Short-term IDR 'F1+'. The Outlook on all ratings is Negative. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings Sharon Haas, +1-212-908-0362 (New York) David Spring, +1-312-368-3194 (Chicago) Sandro Scenga, +1-212-908-0278 (Media Relations, New York) Copyright Business Wire 2008
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