Fitch Places PREPS 2006-1 plc Notes on RWN
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LONDON--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings has today placed PREPS 2006-1 plc's notes due July 2015 on Rating Watch Negative (RWN), as follows: - EUR227,577,006 Class A1 notes (ISIN: XS0261122732): 'AAA' on RWN, - EUR860,224 Class A2 notes (ISIN: XS0261125081): 'AAA' on RWN, - EUR40,000,000 Class B1 notes (ISIN: XS0261125677): 'BBB' on RWN, - EUR9,000,000 Class B2 notes (ISIN: XS0261127376): 'BBB' on RWN. Fitch released two new criteria on 30 April 2008: new Global Criteria for Corporate CDO/CLOs and new Global Criteria for Cash Flow Analysis in Corporate CDOs. At that time, Fitch noted that it would be reviewing its ratings with these two new criteria to establish consistency for existing and new transactions, and these rating actions are a result of this review. This transaction is a cash securitisation of subordinated loans to medium-sized enterprises in six jurisdictions, namely Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Italy, Belgium, and Luxembourg. As of the review in July 2008, based on the latest portfolio information available, the portfolio contained 57 performing obligors. The largest exposure accounted for 4.1% of the performing portfolio amount and the top three obligors 12.2% of the portfolio. Since closing, there have been four defaults. Seven of the remaining assets comprising 9.4% of the performing portfolio are under risk management process as highlighted in the investor report dated July 2008. The current amount of the principal deficiency ledger equals EUR20.2m. If no further principal deficiency events occur, Fitch expects that this amount would be repaid to Class A noteholders over the following six interest payment dates. In Fitch's opinion, among five Fitch-rated PREPS transactions PREPS 2006-1 plc and PREPS 2005-2 PLC are performing worse than the rest. The securitised debt instruments comprising the portfolio are deeply subordinated. As a result, Fitch assumes no recovery in its analysis. In addition to default simulations using its Portfolio Credit Model (PCM), Fitch has performed cash-flow analysis to stress possible interest rate and default timing patterns. The transaction benefits from high levels of excess spread and a principal deficiency mechanism for excess spread trapping. The structure is most sensitive to front-loaded default timing. Based on this analysis, the credit enhancement derived from both subordination and excess spread is not sufficient to justify the current ratings of the notes. The Negative Watch status is attributable to the CDO methodology change and to performance deterioration as a result of one recent default. Moreover, Fitch is reviewing its default assumptions for SME CDOs (see comment "Fitch Reviewing Default Assumptions for European SME CDOs" published on 29 July 2008). Accordingly, given the limited number of obligors in this transaction, previously applied portfolio approaches to assessing underlying credit quality may not sufficiently reflect the risk of the individual borrowers. Additionally, the resolution of the Negative Watch status will depend on the updated credit profiles of the underlying obligors. Based on the latter two points the guidance provided regarding the potential downgrade actions is broad: - Class A1 notes: Likely to be downgraded within the investment grade range - Class A2 notes: Likely to be downgraded within the investment grade range - Class B1 notes: Likely to be downgraded to the non-investment grade - Class B2 notes: Likely to be downgraded to the non-investment grade The resolution of the Negative Watch status will incorporate any changes made to the portfolio or the transaction along with additional portfolio migration. Updated annual financial information regarding the underlying portfolio is expected to become available over the next few months, which could have a material impact on the ratings. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings Jeffery Cromartie, CFA, +44 (0) 207 664 0072 (London) Dr. Stephan Jortzik, +49 (0) 69 76 80 76 170 (Frankfurt) Media Relations: Julian Dennison, +44 020 7682 7480 (London) Copyright Business Wire 2008
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