Emerging debt-Asian bond spreads widen; Hynix dips on ratings
HONG KONG, Aug 5 (Reuters) - Asian bond spreads widened on Tuesday as a slump in oil prices to three-month lows sparked concerns over a weaker global economy, with caution also in place ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting later in the day.
The iTRAXX Asia ex-Japan high-yield index ITAIG5Y=IE, a key measure of risk aversion, widened by about 10-15 basis points (bps) to 550 bps, while the equivalent investment-grade index ITAIG5UA=GFI widened by 4-5 bps to around 140.
Regional spreads have steadily widened since late May as a credit crunch continues to haunt the global financial sector a year after problems surfaced, while signs of a slowing global economy have further intensified risk aversion.
Still, spreads are far off record levels. The iTRAXX high-yield index is well below the record above 650 in mid-March in the run-up to the rescue of U.S. investment bank Bear Stearns.
"Mounting evidence of moderating economic growth is squeezing the speculative premia out of commodities," said Brett Williams, a credit analyst at BNP Paribas in an email to clients.
Oil prices CLc1 fell $1.12 to $120.29 a barrel as of 0541 GMT, after already slumping $3.69 in New York trade on Monday in a session that saw crude fall as low as a three-month low of $119.50 at one point.
The slump comes amid signs OPEC oil supply rose for a third consecutive month in July due to higher output from the world's top exporter Saudi Arabia, according to a Reuters survey on Monday. [ID:nL4265128]
Though slumping oil prices can ease concerns about inflation, they can also be interpreted as a symptom of a slowing global economy, which analysts said explained the 1.8 percent slump on Tuesday in the MSCI index of Asian stocks outside Japan. .MIAPJ0000PUS
Investors also remain cautious ahead of the Fed's meeting on Tuesday. Though no changes to current U.S. interest rates of 2 percent are expected, investor will likely focus on the statement for insights into the thinking at the U.S. central bank. [ID:nN03323846]
HYNIX, HOPSON FALL
The cost of protection against a default in Indonesia's debt widened, with five-year credit default swaps (CDS) INDONE5UA=GFI out by 3 basis points to 245, just ahead of a central bank meeting that is expected to result in a 25 bps hike in interest rates to 9 percent. [ID:nJAK206680]
Philippines' five-year CDS widened by about 10 basis points to 234 PHILP5UA=GFI after data showed on Tuesday annual inflation hit a near 17-year high of 12.2 percent in July, above central bank and market expectations. [ID:nMAN190881]
Debt from Chinese property firms were among the decliners in cash bonds as investors bet on a deteriorating outlook due to the costs associated with investment projects in the sector.
Hopson Development Holdings' (0754.HK) 2012 bonds
440270AA4=RRPS were quoted at 57/52 cents to the dollar,
extending a decline after Moody's changed on Friday its outlook
on the firm's Ba3 rating to negative from stable.
Elsewhere, Hynix Semiconductor Inc's (000660.KS) 2012 bonds
KR033566514= weakened slightly to 89/90 cents to the dollar
after Moody's changed its outlook on the South Korean chip
maker's Ba2 rating to negative from stable due to weakening
liquidity and operating performance. [ID:nWLA7543]
(For list of upcoming debt issuance from Asia see [EUB/ASIA]
FIVE-YEAR CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS
Bid/Ask spread
Current Week ago Korea Dev Bank ~/140 ~/140 Hutchison 112/120 110/121 PCCW-HKT 158/182 135/175 China 57/~ 54/61 Indonesia 245/~ ~/250 Korea 95/105 ~/92 Malaysia 105/115 95/110 Philippines 236/~ 225/234
~no bid or ask spread For CDS prices double click on GFICDS
ASIAN BENCHMARK DOLLAR BONDS
Coupon Maturity Bid price Bid spread
5-YEAR
------
DBS Bank 7.13 15-May-11 106.03 153
Malaysia 7.50 15-Jul-11 108.38 119
ICICI Bank 5.75 12-Jan-12 94.45 437
Petronas 7.00 22-May-12 108.02 142
Hutchison 6.50 13-Feb-13 101.38 290
Chartered Semi 6.25 4-Apr-13 96.23 376
Korea 4.25 1-Jun-13 97.31 143
United Overseas 4.50 2-Jul-13 94.99 223
PCCW-HKT 6.00 15-Jul-13 101.18 228
China 4.75 29-Oct-13 100.23 125
10-YEAR
-------
Hutchison 6.25 24-Jan-14 101.98 331
Korea 4.88 22-Sep-14 99.50 100
PCCW-HKT 5.25 20-Jul-15 88.72 338
Woori Bank 6.13 3-May-16 96.98 266
Penerbangan 5.63 15-Mar-16 105.51 82
Philippines 8.75 7-Oct-16 113.75 258
Indonesia 6.88 9-Mar-17 99.50 298
ICICI Bank 6.38 30-Apr-22 84.61 395
Petronas 7.88 22-May-22 120.22 176 (Reporting by Rafael Nam; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)
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