UPDATE 9-Dollar drags down copper, aluminium at 31-mth low
* Dollar rally forces copper to a fresh 19-month trough
* Aluminium hits 31-month low on poor U.S. car data
* Metals hit multi-month lows in wider commodity sell-off (Updates with New York closing copper prices, adds analyst comments)
By Pratima Desai and Anna Stablum
LONDON, Oct 2 (Reuters) - Copper hit a fresh 19-month low on Thursday as the dollar rallied while aluminium fell to a 31-month trough on the deteriorating health of the car industry.
Zinc fell to a near three-year low, nickel hit the lowest level since April 2006 and tin dropped to an eight-month trough together with sharp falls in precious metals and oil CLc1.
Aluminium for delivery in three months MAL3 on the London Metal Exchange ended at $2,301 a tonne, down 4.6 percent from $2,412 at the close on Wednesday.
Earlier, the metal used intensively in vehicle manufacturing and in packaging touched $2,300 -- the lowest level since March 2006.
London copper MCU3 closed down 5 percent at $5,850 from Wednesday's $6,160 -- the lowest since early March 2007.
In New York, copper for December delivery HGZ8 shed 16.20 cents, or 5.8 percent, to end at $2.6275 a lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division.
"The dollar is making an amazing move at the moment -- it is one of the key reasons why the market has turned around," said analyst Dan Smith at Standard Chartered.
"We have also seen the data for U.S. car sales which is extremely negative for aluminium."
In early trade, copper prices in London and New York rose over 1 percent after the U.S. Senate approved a revised rescue plan for the financial markets.
The market was awaiting the House of Representatives' vote on the $700 billion dollar package, which was expected by Friday. [ID:nN01519890]
Major commodity indexes suffered double-digit declines in percentage terms last month, as the financial crisis triggered falls across the commodity spectrum. [ID:nL2577403]
A firmer U.S. currency also weighed, making dollar-priced commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies.
The dollar index .DXY touched a near 13-month high as the euro dropped on comments from European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet that euro-zone inflation risks had diminished. [ID:nFAT004407]
SLUGGISH DEMAND PICTURE
Major automakers reported sharper-than-expected falls in U.S. sales for September. [ID:nN01506733]
"Auto makers are major consumers of aluminium and the outlook for this sector in the United States looks very bad. Inventories are rising and people are focusing on oversupply," Barbara Lambrecht, analyst at Commerzbank, said.
Top automakers, including General Motors Corp (GM) (GM.N) and Ford (F.N), warned of tough times at the Paris Auto Show. [ID:nL2503513]
In copper, concern about demand from the construction and power industries has eroded confidence, as have expectations of slower demand growth in China, the world's largest consumer.
"It still comes down to the direction of not only the U.S. economy, but the global economy," said Steve Platt, futures analyst with Archer Financial Services in Chicago. "The key question is has sentiment changed that emerging markets are not going to be there to show the stronger demand trends?"
The second-largest copper consumer, the United States, will likely suffer a sharp economic downturn, or even recession, judging by the impact of similar banking crises around the globe over the past 30 years, the International Monetary Fund said. [ID:nN01411798]
New orders at U.S. factories tumbled by an unexpectedly steep 4 percent in August, the sharpest contraction since October 2006, a government report showed. [ID:nN02266669]
Copper shrugged off a strike at Freeport-McMoRan's (FCX.N) Cerro Verde (CVE.LM), the third-largest copper mine in Peru. [ID:nN02254388]
"Nobody cares that much about strikes at the moment," Standard Chartered's Smith said.
Smith said the problem for copper was that prices were still historically high, whereas other markets such as lead and zinc had limited downside with prices nearing the cost of production.
Zinc MZN3 closed at a trough of $1,580 a tonne, the lowest level since Nov. 2005 and down 5.3 percent against $1,668.
Nickel MNI3 closed at $15,300, the lowest level since April 2006 and down $650, or 4.1 percent, since Wednesday.
Lead MPB3 dropped to a two-month low of $1,681 before closing at $1,700, down $40 from Wednesday's close.
Tin MSN3 ended at $16,735, down 4.6 percent from Wednesday's close of $17,550. Earlier it hit $16,450, the lowest point since February this year. Metal Prices at 1845 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2007 Ytd Pct
move LME Cu 5790.00 -370.00 -6.01 6670.00 -13.19 SHFE Cu* 53360.00 -80.00 -0.15 56880.00 -6.19 LME Alum 2292.25 -119.75 -4.96 2403.00 -4.61 SHFE Alu* 15620.00 110.00 +0.71 18180.00 -14.08 COMEX Cu** 269.85 -9.85 -3.52 303.50 -11.09 LME Zinc 1588.00 -80.00 -4.80 2370.00 -33.00 SHFE Zinc* 14240.00 -25.00 -0.18 18950.00 -24.85 LME Nick 15225.00 -725.00 -4.55 26350.00 -42.22 LME Lead 1691.00 -40.00 -2.82 2550.00 -33.69 LME Tin 16725.00 -825.00 -4.70 16400.00 1.98 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contact month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07 (Additional reporting by Chris Kelly in New York, editing by Matthew Lewis)
- Tweet this
- Link this
- Share this
- Digg this
- Reprints
Comments (0)
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.



Follow Reuters