Fitch U.S. Muni Surveillance: Fitch Upgrades Pittsburgh, PA GOs to 'BBB+'
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NEW YORK--(Business Wire)-- In the course of routine surveillance, Fitch Ratings has upgraded approximately $725 million in outstanding general obligation (GO) bonds issued by the city of Pittsburgh, PA (the city) to 'BBB+' from 'BBB'. The Rating Outlook is Stable. The upgrade reflects Pittsburgh's stabilized financial position, the revision to the city's tax structure providing a broadened tax base, and ongoing oversight from two commonwealth entities. Adding to the credit strength are the city's continued efforts to fund its manageable capital needs on a pay-as-you-go basis in order to reduce its high debt burden and the new revenues generated from gaming operations expected on come on line in May of 2009. Fitch recognizes the benefits to the city's economy of the presence of a number of large stable healthcare providers, higher education, and financial services institutions. Also considered in the rating are the city's high debt load and poorly funded pension plans. Like many older urban areas, Pittsburgh's economy has been challenged for decades by declining population. The decline appears to be abating; the 2007 estimated population was 7% below the 2000 census figure, after declining 9.5% during the 1990s. The unemployment rate remains low at 5.3% in September 2008 close to state and national levels. Education and health services represent a high 20% of MSA jobs providing some long-term economic stability. City per capita and median household income level indicators in 2006 were strong, at or above state and national averages. The city's high debt and long-term liability profile remain the key credit concern. Including $261.5 million in pension obligation bonds (POBs), overall debt is $4,505 per capita or 10.5% of market value. The high debt to market value ratio is compounded by a problematic property assessment process which is under litigation. Rather than conducting a reassessment as scheduled in 2006, assessed values have been rolled back to 2002 levels. Despite the sizable POB issuance in 1996 and 1998, the city's combined pension funded ratio was only 35.9% as of September 2008, which does not incorporate a reduction in the assumed rate of return on investments to 8% from 8.75%. While the city funds its annually required contributions, actual investment returns have declined significantly and it is not expected that funding ratios will reach satisfactory levels for some time. Fitch issued an exposure draft on July 31, 2008 proposing a recalibration of tax-supported and water/sewer revenue bond ratings which, if adopted, may result in an upward revision of this rating (see Fitch research 'Exposure Draft: Reassessment of the Municipal Ratings Framework'.) At this time, Fitch is deferring its final determination on municipal recalibration. Fitch will continue to monitor market and credit conditions, and plans to revisit the recalibration in the first quarter of 2009. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, New York Ann G. Flynn, +1-212-908-9152 Amy R. Laskey, +1-212-908-0568 Media Relations: Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526 cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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