Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Tractor Supply, GameStop, PetMed Express, Inc., XTO Energy, Inc. and Agrium Inc.

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Mon Jan 12, 2009 6:00am EST

CHICAGO--(Business Wire)--
Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day
the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting
stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include:
Tractor Supply (NASDAQ: TSCO), GameStop (NYSE: GME), PetMed Express, Inc.
(NASDAQ: PETS), XTO Energy, Inc. (NYSE: XTO) and Agrium Inc. (NYSE: AGU). 

Get the most recent insight from Zacks Equity Research with the free Profit from
the Pros newsletter: http://at.zacks.com/?id=4579

Here are highlights from Friday`s Analyst Blog:

Tractor Supply Downed to Sell

We are downgrading Tractor Supply (NASDAQ: TSCO) shares from Hold to Sell and
lowering our target price from $36 to $25. While Tractor Supply's business held
up fairly well in 2008, it will have a more difficult go of it in 2009. 

In our view, the consumer spending environment will worsen in 2009, as economic
growth slows and unemployment rises. What's more, the company will begin to go
up against difficult comparisons in the second quarter of 2009. 

GameStop Moves Ahead

Nice move today in GameStop (NYSE: GME) shares, up over 11% as I`m writing this.
The company reported robust sales for the 9-week holiday season ending January
3. 

Comp-store sales increased 10.2% and total sales spiked 22.3% over the year-ago
period. Management also boosted its fourth quarter earnings per share from
$1.29-$1.34 to $1.31-$1.34. 

PetMed Express Impresses

PetMed Express, Inc. (NASDAQ: PETS) based in Pompano Beach, Florida, is a
leading nationwide pet pharmacy. The company`s sales trends remain strong,
despite the difficult economic environment. What`s more, a healthy repeat
customer business has allowed management to cut operating expenses without
hurting its overall sales growth. As a result, PetMed has posted impressive
profit margin gains. 

Going forward, we expect these sales trends to continue. We think the company
can increase its operating profit margin to 15.4% in 2009 and 15.8% in 2010, up
from 13.7% in fiscal 2007. All told, we rate PetMed Express a Buy with six-month
target price of $21, which is about 190x our fiscal 2010 EPS estimate. 

XTO Energy Still Energized

Despite numerous challenges, XTO Energy, Inc. (NYSE: XTO) remains
well-positioned to provide another record performance in 2009 on the back of its
impressive portfolio of producing assets and industry-leading cost metrics. 

The company intends to generate free cash flow of roughly $2 billion for the
year, of which at least $1.25 billion will go towards debt reduction. Also,
having already locked in nearly 80% of 2009 production at very attractive
prices, the company has smoothed out the commodity-price risk. As such, we are
maintaining our Buy recommendation on XTO shares. While shares of E&P companies
have bounced back some in recent days (our coverage universe is up 16.5% in the
last four weeks vs. a gain of 5.2% for the S&P 500), they still remain
significantly below the late summer 2008 levels. 

Agrium a True "Growth" Story

Agrium Inc. (NYSE: AGU), based in Alberta, Canada, is a major retailer of
agricultural products and services in North and South America, a leading global
wholesale producer and marketer of all three major agricultural macronutrients
such as nitrogen, potash, and phosphate, and a premier supplier of
micronutrients and specialty fertilizers. 

Agrium is growing through acquisition and organic expansion. The acquisition of
United Agri-Products is driving revenues and profits supported by an expanded
product line in the major business segment. However, the company is witnessing
weak demand and prices for its fertilizers. 

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