EMERGING MARKETS-LatAm mixed; IMF launches new credit line
* IMF creates credit line for "well-run" emerging economies
* Mexico's mid-March inflation slows, supporting markets
* Venezuela says trying to prevent recession this year
By Walter Brandimarte
NEW YORK, March 24 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks ended mixed on Tuesday, with investors in Brazil and Mexico pocketing part of a recent rally while other markets took advantage of the positive momentum brought by a U.S. plan to rid banks of toxic assets.
News that the International Monetary Fund has launched a new, flexible credit line for "well-run" emerging-market economies also supported investor sentiment, but did not stop most Latin American currencies from weakening. For details on the new IMF line, see [ID:nN24572204].
"Unsurprisingly, profit-taking hit U.S. stocks, which closed weak after Monday's massive rally. Emerging-market assets managed to hold relatively steady, IMF news partly helping," RBC Capital Markets' analysts said in a research note.
The MSCI stock index for Latin America .MILA00000PUS declined 1.37 percent following a rally of nearly 5.0 percent on Monday, when the U.S. Treasury unveiled a series of incentives for private investors to help rid banks of up to $1 trillion in toxic assets.
Brazil's benchmark Bovespa index .BVSP lost 2.27 percent, Mexico's IPC index .MXX declined 0.51 percent, and Chile's blue-chip IPSA index .IPSA dipped 0.21 percent.
Losses in Mexico were cushioned by an inflation report which confirmed expectations that the central bank will be able to be more aggressive in cutting interest rates.
Mexico's consumer prices rose 5.98 percent in the 12 months through March 15, down from 6.25 percent in the year through mid-February. The number was a little above economists' expectations but still below the 6 percent psychological threshold. [ID:nN24352040]
On the other hand, equity markets in Argentina .MERV, Colombia .IGBC and Peru .IGRA still closed higher, with many stocks still catching up with the regional rally on Monday.
Despite the overall profit-taking, yield spreads between emerging-market debt and U.S. Treasuries narrowed 7 basis points to 625 points on the JPMorgan EMBI+ index 11EMJ. The move reflected hopes that global appetite for risk may continue to rise as the United States implement its plan to rid banks of toxic assets.
In the foreign-exchange market, the Brazilian real ended practically stable at 2.244 per U.S. dollar. The Mexican peso MXN=, the Argentine peso ARSB= and the Peruvian sol PEN=PE all posted losses of about 0.5 percent.
The Mexican peso was partially hurt on Monday by Fitch Ratings' warning that the country could be downgraded if the government has an "inappropriate response" to rising fiscal pressures in 2010.
In a statement released on Tuesday, however, Moody's Investors Service said an expected revenue shortfall next year "is unlikely to seriously compromise Mexico's near-term fiscal outlook."
But the ratings agency still said that "Mexico's inability to deal with structural issues, combined with persistent shocks, can weaken its credit fundamentals." [ID:nWNA9850]
Meanwhile, in Venezuela, Finance Minister Ali Rodriguez said he is trying to avoid a recession in the oil-exporting country this year.
Finally abandoning the government's 6 percent growth target for 2009, the minister said any economic growth this year would be good for Venezuela. [ID:nN24354485]
HELP FOR "WELL-RUN" ECONOMIES
The new credit line announced by the IMF on Tuesday will give a select group of emerging countries that meet a set of tough conditions access to a pool of money which they do not need to tap immediately, but can hold on to in case financing conditions worsen.
The overhaul of the Fund's lending facility was applauded by Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega, who said however that the country does not need the money. [ID:nN24362107]
The new line represents a "major improvement" from the original short-term liquidity facility established by the Fund in October, Goldman Sachs' Senior Economist Alberto Ramos said in a note to clients.
"The flexible credit line seems particularly suitable for the needs of countries such as Mexico," Ramos said, adding that Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Peru should also qualify for the credit instrument.
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