Fitch Affirms Alameda Municipal Power (formerly Alameda Power & Telecom) at 'A-'; Outlook Positive
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SAN FRANCISCO--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings affirms its 'A-' underlying rating for Alameda Municipal Power's (AMP, formerly known as Alameda Power & Telecom) outstanding electric revenue certificates of participation, in the amount of $39.045 million. The certificates are secured by a net revenue pledge of the electric system. Fitch also revises the Rating Outlook to Positive from Stable. The improved Rating Outlook reflects the sale of the telecommunications business in November 2008 and the resulting expected positive cash flow impact to the electric fund in that the electric fund had historically subsidized the telecommunications fund operations. The Positive Outlook also reflects Fitch's expectation that AMP will adjust its revenues and/or expenditures to address known increases in its cost structure that will occur beginning in fiscal 2011. A potential rating upgrade will depend, in part, on the level of financial margin provided to bondholders as a result of the new revenue and cost structure. Fitch assumes that future debt service coverage will be in excess of AMP's legally required rate covenant of 1.1 times (x). The 'A-' rating reflects a power supply that is predominantly generated by renewable resources (60%), placing AMP in a advantageous position in California, participation in the Northern California Power Agency (NCPA) power pool that allows AMP to balance its power supply and load through sales to other NCPA members, and a healthy financial position with 420 days operating cash and historical debt service coverage that has consistently been over 3.2x, or over 2.2x following the general fund transfer. Projected debt service could be lower than historical levels, depending on the level of rate increases adopted in fiscal 2010. Customer growth has been minimal and the system peak and load requirements have been stable following the closure of the Alameda Naval Air Station nearly 10 years ago, which represented a large load reduction at that time. In November 2008, AMP sold its telecommunications business (direct cable and internet service) which the city started in 2001. The city determined that the additional investments needed in the system were substantial and although the telecommunications business produced positive cashflow to support its operations for the first time in 2008, it was not sufficient to begin supporting the debt that was coming due in a bullet maturity in 2009. The sale resulted in a loss to the electric fund of the $43 million interfund advance that had been used to support the telecommunications business since inception. However, the sale prevents future financial support that would have likely been provided by the electric fund. Ongoing litigation regarding the sale has the potential to result in certain legal and settlement costs that would likely be funded by the electric system. This potential cost exposure is mitigated by AMP's strong liquidity position. AMP's power supply is diversified and is well in excess of the city's adopted 40% renewable target with approximately 60% coming from renewable resources in 2008. NCPA's geothermal project (rated 'A' by Fitch) provides the largest component of AMP's power supply at 39%. Peak demand has remained around 70 megawatts (MW) over the last 10 years, reflecting very little growth, which relieves the utility of the pressure to identify new generation resources until 2014 when an existing long-term contract for winter capacity expires. Power supply costs will increase between $2 million-$3 million in fiscal 2011 (around 10%). AMP had used a portion of the series 2000 bond proceeds to offset the high cost of generation assets that had the potential to become stranded costs under the states anticipated deregulated market back in 2000. Approximately $3 million of proceeds were used annually to offset AMP's power supply costs from NCPA. The last offset will occur in fiscal 2010. In addition, bond principal begins to amortize in fiscal 2011, increasing debt service costs to AMP by around $900,000. As a result of its increasing cost structure, AMP may raise rates in fiscal 2011. The City of Alameda is an island located in the San Francisco Bay between the City of San Francisco and the City of Oakland. AMP provides retail electric service to around 34,000 customers. The city has a population of around 75,000. The city is built-out and growth is limited, with the exception of some industrial space that was vacated with the Alameda Naval Air Station closed 10 years ago. Some of the property has been redeveloped, now known as Alameda Point. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings Kathy Masterson, 415-732-5622 (San Francisco) Joanne Ferrigan, 212-908-0399 (New York) Cindy Stoller, 212-908-0526 (Media Relations, New York) cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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