Fitch Downgrades American Family's IFS to 'A'; Outlook Stable
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CHICAGO--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings has downgraded to 'A' from 'AA-' the Insurer Financial Strength (IFS) rating of the American Family Insurance Group (American Family) (see rating list below). The Rating Outlook is Stable. The rating action is primarily driven by American Family's recent trend of unfavorable financial performance, on an absolute basis and relative to its personal lines peers. This is due in part to three consecutive years of significant catastrophe losses, as well as a material decline in the company's capital position as a result of poorer profitability and deterioration in value of equity and fixed income investments in 2008. For the year ending Dec. 31, 2008, American Family posted a statutory combined ratio of 113.3%. Statutory capitalization decreased by roughly $945 million due to over $1 billion of storm losses as well as roughly $480 million of pretax unrealized losses stemming from the company's equity portfolio. American Family's ratings historically reflected the company's strong capitalization on a risk-adjusted basis as measured by Fitch's Prism economic capital model. Fitch's expectation is that the company's Prism score in the near-to-intermediate term will be significantly lower. Positively, American Family's strong ratings reflect the company's very low financial leverage and adequate operating leverage, excellent market position and franchise value, and its ability to meet policyholder obligations. Fitch anticipates a return to a combined ratio in the low-to-mid 100s in 2009, and less earnings volatility from catastrophe losses going forward tied to recent changes in the company's reinsurance program. Partially offsetting these positives are the effects of American Family's limited amount of geographic diversification versus peers and the effects of heightened competitive conditions in the company's key lines. The company's top five states (Wisconsin, Missouri, Minnesota, Illinois, and Colorado) account for over 60% of premiums written. This concentration results in a heightened sensitivity to competitive conditions and high catastrophe exposure to Midwest storm activity. American Family Life Insurance Co.'s (AFLIC) rating reflects its status as a strategic insurer within the American Family group of companies, as Fitch believes AFLIC's traditional life insurance products are complementary to American Family's exclusive agent distribution system. Fitch has downgraded the following ratings with a Stable Outlook: American Family Mutual Insurance Co. American Standard Insurance Co. of Wisconsin American Family Insurance Co. American Standard Insurance Co. of Ohio American Family Life Insurance Co. --IFS to 'A' from 'AA-'. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings Gretchen K. Roetzer, 312-606-2327 (Chicago) Brian C. Schneider, CPA, CPCU, 312-606-2321 (Chicago) Media Relations: Cindy Stoller, 212-908-0526 (New York) cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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