Fitch Affirms Oracle's Ratings at 'A/F1' on Merger
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NEW YORK--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings of Oracle Corporation (Nasdaq: ORCL) (Oracle), following the announcement that Oracle will purchase Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: JAVA) (Sun; 'BBB-', Rating Watch Positive by Fitch). The ratings are affirmed as follows: --Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'A'; --Senior unsecured debt at 'A'; --Short-term IDR at 'F1'; --Commercial Paper (CP) at 'F1'. The Rating Outlook is Stable. The affirmation follows the announcement that Oracle will purchase Sun, for approximately $8.7 billion, including $1.3 billion of assumed debt ($5.6 billion net of cash and debt acquired). The Board of Directors of Sun has unanimously approved the transaction, which is anticipated to close by the summer of 2009, subject to Sun stockholder approval, certain regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions. The affirmation incorporates Fitch's expectations that Oracle will fund the acquisition with a mixture of cash, CP borrowings and long-term debt issuance, with the majority being funded with debt, given that most of the company's cash is located outside the U.S. While credit protection measures are expected to deteriorate as a result of this transaction, Fitch believes Oracle retains solid financial flexibility at its current ratings, which incorporate total leverage of approximately 1.5 times (x) given the company's current operating profile. Fitch anticipates Oracle will continue to pursue an aggressive acquisition strategy, which could temporarily drive leverage outside of expectations. However, in line with past transactions, the company is expected to refrain from meaningful share repurchases and use significant free cash flow to reduce debt incurred in the transaction. Fitch believes that materially weaker credit metrics over an extended period from a failed integration of Sun, a more aggressive financial policy, or a significantly worse impact of the weak macroeconomic environment, could result in negative ratings actions. Concerns for the transaction center on greater integration risk associated with Oracle's purchase of Sun due to Sun's sizable employee base (33,000 at year-end 2008) and broad and diverse product portfolio, including a significant hardware segment. Additionally, uncertainty exists regarding potential segment/product divestitures, management structure and product strategy, particularly regarding open source software (e.g. MySQL). Positively, Fitch believes that Oracle can achieve significant cost synergies, primarily general and administrative expenses. Also, Oracle should be able to able to derive incremental benefits from Sun's sizable customer base and large intellectual property portfolio (e.g. Solaris and Java software platforms). For the latest 12 months (LTM) ended Dec. 28, 2008, Sun generated total revenue, operating EBITDA and free cash flow of $13.3 billion, $1 billion (7.7% margin) and $8 million, respectively. Fitch estimates server systems, storage, software, and services accounted for approximately 39%, 17%, 5% and 39% of Sun's total revenue in the LTM period, respectively. Pro forma for the recently initiated $1 billion dividend, Fitch estimates that Oracle's free cash flow for the LTM ended Feb. 28, 2009 was $7 billion, providing the company with significant financial flexibility for this transaction. Fitch believes that cash restructuring payments associated with the transaction and a pressured operating environment could have a slight impact on free cash flow in subsequent years, although the cash generating capability of the underlying business is expected to remain strong. Oracle's credit metrics are expected to deteriorate upon the transactions close as Fitch estimates leverage could increase to approximately 1.4x from 1.0x from additional debt associated with the acquisition and interest coverage declining to approximately 12x from 18x, assuming 100% of the transaction is debt financed. As of Feb. 28, 2009, Oracle's cash and cash equivalents were approximately $11.3 billion, of which approximately $10.1 billion was held by foreign subsidiaries. In addition, Oracle has an undrawn $5 billion CP program backed by a $3 billion revolving credit facility expiring March 2011, and a $2 billion 364-day facility expiring March 2010 (which the company entered into upon expiration of the previous $2 billion facility in March 2009). Total debt as of Feb. 28, 2009 was approximately $11.2 billion and consisted primarily of $1 billion of floating- rate senior notes due May 2009, $1 billion of floating-rate senior notes due May 2010, $2.25 billion of 5% senior notes due January 2011, $1.25 billion of 4.95% senior notes due April 2013, $2 billion of 5.25% senior notes due January 2016, $2.5 billion of 5.75% senior notes due April 2018, and $1.25 billion of senior notes due April 2038. Oracle Corporation's (Oracle) ratings and Stable Outlook reflect: --Strong and consistent annual free cash flow in excess of $7 billion, driven by the company's high customer retention rates and the resultant high-margin recurring maintenance revenue stream; --Strong competitive position as a result of expanded applications software capabilities complementing dominant database market share; --Established track record of integrating large acquisitions with minimal operational or customer issues; --The size and diversity of Oracle's installed base, as well as the barriers to entry and 'switching' costs associated with the company's software. Concerns center on aforementioned integration risk of Sun, and Fitch's expectation that Oracle will continue to opportunistically pursue large acquisitions along with significant share repurchase activity over the longer term. Oracle repurchased $4.2 billion of stock during the 12 months ended Feb 28, 2009. There was approximately $6.5 billion available under the share repurchase program at Feb. 28, 2009. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, New York Melissa L. Link-Cohen, CFA, 212-908-0611 Nick P. Nilarp, CFA, 212-908-0649 Jason Pompeii, 312-368-3210, Chicago or Media Relations: Cindy Stoller, 212-908-0526 Email: cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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