Fitch Affirms BBVA Bancomer at 'A' & Individual at 'B/C'; Outlook Remains Negative
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MONTERREY, Mexico--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings of BBVA Bancomer. The Rating Outlook on the long-term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) remains Negative. This was revised from Stable in November 2008, following a similar action on Mexico's Sovereign rating. National-scale ratings were affirmed at 'AAA(mex)' and 'F1+(mex)' with a Stable Outlook. Fitch affirms the following rating actions, with a Negative Outlook: BBVA Bancomer: --Long-term foreign currency IDR at 'A',; --Short-term foreign currency IDR at 'F1'; --Long-term local currency IDR at 'A'; --Short-term local currency IDR at 'F1'; --Individual rating at 'B/C'; --Support rating affirmed at '1'; --USD500 million 6.008% non-cumulative fixed/floating rate subordinated non-preferred notes due 2022, at 'A-'; --EUR600 million 4.799% cumulative fixed/floating rate subordinated preferred notes due 2017, at 'A-'; --Long-term national-scale rating, at 'AAA(mex)', Stable Outlook; --Short-term national-scale rating at 'F1+(mex)'; --National-scale rating for local senior debt issues at 'AAA(mex)'; --National-scale rating for local subordinated debt issues, at 'AAA(mex)'. BBVA Bancomer's IDRs and support ratings reflect the very high probability of support from its parent Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA; IDR 'AA-', Positive Outlook), if this were required. However, its IDRs also factor in the operating environment and the fact that a potential sovereign downgrade could affect these ratings (including the short-term IDRs). Nevertheless, should the sovereign eventually be downgraded, a similar rating action on the bank's IDRs could be prevented with a potential upgrade of the parent's IDR, which currently carries a Positive Outlook. BBVA Bancomer's foreign currency subordinated debt was affirmed at 'A-', one-notch below the bank's IDRs. In turn, BBVA Bancomer's Individual rating reflects its sound performance, robust franchise, better-than-peers' asset quality metrics and resilience to a rapidly worsening environment, as well as its adequate funding and liquidity. Downside factors include the relatively tighter capital levels and the potential for further material asset quality deterioration. The Individual rating could be downgraded if profitability and/or asset quality deteriorates beyond Fitch's expectations, or if capital/liquidity tightens further. Asset quality has gradually worsened (non-performing loans [NPLs] were 3.16% of the total in fourth-quarter 2008), especially in credit cards (18% of total loans; NPLs at 9.25%) and overall credit costs have also increased. While BBVA Bancomer has contained this trend better than its peers, further asset quality deterioration is expected, while somewhat high borrower concentrations and rapidly growing restructured loans arising from debtor-relief programs (2.7% of total loans) are additional sources of credit risk. Earnings have been moderately affected by growing provisions, but profitability remains sound underpinned by strong margins, ample fee revenues and robust operating efficiency, although prospects continue to weaken. The bank's funding and liquidity are sound. Capital ratios, which are lower than most peers and include a high reliance on hybrids with medium-to-high equity credit, should remain reasonable in view of the bank's risk profile. BBVA Bancomer was Mexico's largest commercial bank at end-2008, with a market share by assets, loans and deposits of 23.9%, 27.5% and 24.7%, respectively. BBVA Bancomer is part of Grupo Financiero BBVA Bancomer, which is by far BBVA's most important international operation, accounting for 39% of the group's earnings in 2008. At end-2008, BBVA Bancomer had 1,862 branches and 5,814 ATMs, which will likely continue to increase gradually. Note: Fitch's National ratings provide a relative measure of creditworthiness for rated entities in countries with relatively low international sovereign ratings and where there is demand for such ratings. The best risk within a country is rated 'AAA' and other credits are rated only relative to this risk. National ratings are designed for use mainly by local investors in local markets and are signified by the addition of an identifier for the country concerned, such as 'AAA(mex)' for National ratings in Mexico. Specific letter grades are not therefore internationally comparable. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, Monterrey, Mexico Alejandro Garcia, CFA, +5281 8399-9146 Rene Ibarra, +5281 8399-9143 Peter Shaw, 212-908-0553, New York or Media Relations: Brian Bertsch, 212-908-0549, New York Email: brian.bertsch@fitchratings.com Cindy Stoller, 212-908-0526, New York Email: cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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