EMERGING MARKETS-LatAm currencies mixed on US dollar, data
* Brazil's real up on better-than-expected GDP data
* Mexico's peso down on IMF warnings
* Venezuela bond spreads narrow on nationalization halt
By Manuela Badawy
NEW YORK, June 9 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies were mixed on U.S. dollar weakness and local economic data on Tuesday, while stocks and bonds zig-zagged, awaiting direction from U.S. markets.
The U.S. dollar fell broadly, ending a two-day winning streak, as investors questioned whether the U.S. economy had improved enough to justify talk of higher U.S. interest rates by year end.
Investors were growing less certain that the Federal Reserve would raise rates in 2009, a view that gained traction last week after data showing a slower pace of U.S. job losses in May boosted the dollar and Treasury yields.
The drop in the U.S. dollar boosted the value of several Latin American currencies which were already appreciating due to strong economic data.
Brazil's currency rose supported by data showing better-than-expected economic performance in the first quarter of the year.
Brazil's GDP contracted 0.8 percent in the first quarter of 2009 from the previous quarter BRGDP=ECI underpinned by domestic consumption and government spending that helped cushion the impact of the global downturn.
The realBRBY rose 1.6 percent to 1.935 per dollar.
"The stronger Q1 number should add some momentum to the view that the second quarter recovery could be stronger than expected and growth may not be as bad for the whole year," said Paulo Biszko, senior emerging markets strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto.
Mexico's currency meanwhile, dropped more than 1 percent to 13.55 per dollar a day after the IMF warned that emerging economies, including Mexico, could face balance of payments troubles due to large external funding needs.
The sharp fall in the value of the peso against the dollar MXN=MEX01 could fuel inflation by pushing up the price of imported goods. The peso plunged last year as investors dumped emerging market assets, briefly pushing the currency over 15 to the dollar.
Colombia's peso COP=RR appreciated 1.75 percent to 2,055.8 per dollar while commodity prices advanced in international markets, with oil gaining 2.73 percent above $70 a barrel.
Regional stocks rose 1 percent on the MSCI Latin American stock index .MILA00000PUS but Brazil's Bovespa .BVSP index fell 1.11 percent as the better-than-expected GDP numbers suggested the central bank might not cut interest rates as previously forecast.
The central bank will start a two-day monetary policy meeting on Tuesday, and is expected to lower the Selic rate by a median 0.75 points on Wednesday, according to a Reuters poll. The Selic is at a record low of 10.25 percent.
Meanwhile, Venezuela's sovereign bond spreads tightened 36 basis points to 1,119 basis points over U.S. Treasuries, to gain 1.75 percent in total returns on the day, according to JP Morgan's (EMBI+) 11EMJ.JPMEMBIPLUS on news the government will not nationalize all the oil service companies. [nN09391719]
Overall spreads narrowed 4 basis points to 412 basis points over Treasuries.
(Additional reporting by Elzio Barreto in Brazil)
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