Fitch Rates Chicago Board of Education, Illinois' $95.7MM GOs 'A+'; Outlook Positive
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CHICAGO--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings assigns an underlying 'A+' rating to the Chicago Board of Education, Illinois' (the board) unlimited tax general obligation (UTGO) refunding bonds (dedicated revenues) as follows: --Approximately $75.4 million series 2009B; --Approximately $20.3 million series 2009C. The bonds are scheduled for negotiated sale on or about June 24, 2009. In addition, Fitch affirms the 'A+' rating on $4.6 billion of outstanding GO debt. The Rating Outlook remains Positive. The bonds are alternate bonds payable from pledged general state aid revenues, and if insufficient, from unlimited ad valorem taxes levied against all taxable property in the City of Chicago. Pledged revenues are expected to provide not less than 1.1 times (x) debt service coverage. Proceeds will refinance outstanding variable rate debt, formerly supported by a liquidity facility; the current issuance will be variable rate debt, fully supported by a letter of credit. Fitch expects to provide a rating on these transactions considering the letters of credit and the underlying rating within the next week. The underlying 'A+' rating reflects the successful completion of three-quarters of the Chicago Board of Education's sizable $5.1 billion capital program, the city of Chicago's diverse economic base, and the board's moderately high overall debt burden. The Positive Outlook is based on an improved financial position and augmented reserve levels; demonstrated support from senior governments for both operations and the board's capital plan; and enhanced educational programs which have contributed to student achievement. Fitch expects the board will continue to face budgetary strain from increased pension payments and other personnel benefit costs. Fiscal 2009 is likely to produce a shortfall, although less than originally budgeted due to spending cuts, including staffing reductions, and additional revenue from federal and local sources. Fiscal 2010 will require further budget cuts as pension payments balloon further, though federal stimulus funds will help offset the need for program adjustments. Maintenance of adequate fiscal reserves, despite spending pressure and the financial effects of a weakened economy, is a key credit consideration. The city of Chicago's tax expanded at a rapid 10% average annual rate since 2003. Both the tax and employment bases are diverse, and the city is the economic engine of the state. Nonetheless, like many large urban areas, Chicago has significant subprime mortgage exposure and foreclosure rates are well above the national average. As the area has experienced job losses particularly in financial services and construction-related employment, the city's unemployment rate increased to a high 10.6% in April 2009. The Chicago Public School's (CPS) financial position has improved in the past several years through strong budgetary management and continued tax base expansion with modest property tax increases. Enrollment declines of 1-2% annually have necessitated reductions in teaching staff and, consequently, instruction expenditures have remained largely flat in the past four years as wage increases offset workforce reductions. In fiscal 2008, the unreserved general fund balance improved to $432.4 million, or 9.8% of spending, compared to $307.7 million (7.5%) in fiscal 2006. While the board recognized a sizeable $194 million surplus, the board revised the revenue recognition period from 90 days to a more conservative 30 days, resulting in an accounting adjustment of $159 million. In fiscal 2009, the general fund is likely to produce a modest shortfall, although it is expected to be less than the $100 million originally expected. Final results, however, are contingent on the receipt of delayed state grants. Fiscal 2010 will be a difficult year for CPS, as pension payments have increased more than tenfold since 2006 and teacher contracts, though settled through 2012, provide somewhat generous wage increases of 4% annually. Fitch anticipates that CPS will again adjust staffing levels as well as seek efficiencies in other areas of spending. Management plans to use stimulus funds to help maintain existing special education, bilingual, and preschool programs. The board has reduced its variable rate debt exposure significantly in the past year; currently less than 20% of total debt is in variable rate modes compared to over 40% in 2008. Many of its variable rate demand obligations have also become bank-held bonds. Although the board faced elevated interest rates, debt servicing costs have been manageable and within budget, according to board management. The board's overall debt burden is moderate to moderately high, at $4,870 per capita and 4.3% of market value, primarily the result of $9.4 billion in outstanding overlapping debt. The board's pension system was 80% funded as of June 30, 2008, but Fitch expects a significant drop in the funding ratio due to investment losses in the current fiscal year. The board adopted GASB 45 two years early, and its total liability to the Health Insurance Program for retiree health care is a significant $2.1 billion as of June 30, 2008. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings Melanie A.J. Shaker, +1-312-368-3143 (Chicago) Amy R. Laskey, +1-212-908-0568 (New York) Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526 (Media Relations, New York) cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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