Replacements and Modernization Drive $380 Billion in World Combat Aircraft Revenues Through 2019, According to New Research from G2 Solutions

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Tue Jun 16, 2009 3:30am EDT

KIRKLAND, Wash.--(Business Wire)--
A new research note (AB082) from G2 Solutions (www.g2globalsolutions.com)
"Combat Aircraft Markets: Analysis and Outlook" is available. The 30-page
research note presents combat aircraft and selected avionics market analysis
from 2008 to 2019. 

World Air Forces are at various combat aircraft replacement and upgrade cycles.
Most NATO countries are in an active replacement phase for their 1970s designed
aircraft while emerging nations such as India will evaluate entirely new
aircraft sources in the near future. More than 5,000 combat aircraft will be
entering service globally over the next decade, with a peak of 524 deliveries in
2014. 

Programs such the Lockheed Martin F-35 are set to dominate the marketplace
through 2029 while G2 Solutions expects aircraft such as the Dassault Rafale to
gain more traction on the export market through 2014. "Rafale has had issues
with some export tenders this decade, due to a mix of unfavorable political
considerations and system overall technical maturity," said Michel Merluzeau, G2
Solutions` Managing Partner. "However, the outlook has improved, with market
potential for Rafale around 300 aircraft to 2019, more if it wins the Indian
MMRCA competition." 

Airframes of concern this decade include the Saab Gripen and Boeing F-15 Silent
Eagle (SE). Gripen has been relatively successful, but now competes for tenders
in Brazil and India where the aircraft is clearly at a disadvantage against the
Boeing F-18E or Dassault Rafale. Failure to gain additional orders might see the
program come to a standstill by 2015, however there are smaller opportunities
such as Argentina that are possibly ideally suited for Gripen. "The upgraded
F-15SE is an interesting niche option for existing F-15 operators, but the
market opportunity window is tight and the addressable market is probably fewer
than 100 aircraft," stated Merluzeau. 

The study also highlights the remarkable longevity of the Lockheed Martin F-16
series, soon to be supplanted by the F-35. Thirty years since its entry in
service, G2 Solutions analysis predicts that more than 200 F-16s have/will be
delivered between 2008 and 2019. Lockheed Martin will maintain a commanding lead
with a market share greater than 43%, ahead of Boeing, AVIC1, Eurofighter-EADS
and Dassault Aviation. 

About G2 Solutions 

G2 Solutions provides customers with comprehensive, expert and cost effective
market intelligence services. Research notes deliver time and market critical
information, and are selected by relevance and expert analysis provided to our
customers. 

Please visit http://www.g2globalsolutions.com/



G2 Solutions
Ron Stearns, +1-888-482-6025 ext. 702
Research Director
rstearns@g2globalsolutions.com



Copyright Business Wire 2009

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