TABLE-Reuters Tankan June business confidence survey

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Wed Jun 17, 2009 7:33pm EDT

 (Click on [JP/TAN1] for main story)
 TOKYO, June 18 (Reuters) - Japanese manufacturers became far less
pessimistic about business conditions in June, a Reuters poll showed, adding
to signs the world's No. 2 economy has overcome the worst of recession as
exports and output rise.
 Following is a table of indexes for key sectors and a comparison with the
BOJ's tankan survey:
                      SEPT(f'cast) JUN   MAY   APR   MAR   FEB   JAN
 ========================================================================
 MANUFACTURERS                (-31)   -50   -69   -76   -78   -74   -76
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------
 (Materials)                  (-16)   -39   -68   -84   -87   -81   -83
 - Textile/paper              (-13)   -38   -63   -80   -67   -89   -67
 - Chemicals                  ( -9)   -21   -65   -81   -86   -75   -85
 - Oil refinery/ceramics      (-10)   -50   -67   -89  -100   -78   -89
 - Steel/nonferrous metals    (-60)  -100  -100  -100  -100  -100  -100
 (Manufactured products)      (-41)   -56   -68   -70   -73   -69   -72
 - Food                       (  0)     0     0     0     0     0   -20
 - Metal products/machinery   (-40)   -55   -68   -81   -81   -85   -86
 - Electric machinery         (-49)   -66   -86   -83   -83   -76   -78
 - Autos/transport equipment  (-54)   -69   -88  -100  -100   -88   -89
 - Precision machinery/others (-38)   -67   -67   -44   -78   -67   -63
 ========================================================================
 NON-MANUFACTURERS            (-17)   -31   -44   -38   -37   -39   -31
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------
 - Real estate/construction   (-30)   -39   -50   -40   -47   -47   -30
 - Retail/wholesale           (-18)   -23   -37   -36   -28   -29   -35
 - Wholesalers                (-13)   -31   -43   -54   -36   -47   -29
 - Retailers                  (-21)   -17   -33   -26   -22   -16   -39
 - Information/communications (-18)   -27   -40   -20   -22   -40   -22
 - Transport/utility          (-25)   -50   -60   -47   -38   -50   -50
 - Other services             ( -3)   -26   -42   -44   -44   -40   -23
 ========================================================================
 *** COMPARISON WITH BANK OF JAPAN TANKAN ***
 ====================================================================
            MANUFACTURERS         NON-MANUFACTURERS
            RTRS     BOJ             RTRS     BOJ
 --------------------------------------------------------------------
 SEPT(f'cast)   -31      -               -17      - 
 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 JUNE           -50     -51(f'cast)      -31     -30(f'cast)
 MAY            -69      -               -44      - 
 APR (2009)     -76      -               -38      - 
 MAR            -78     -58              -37     -31
 FEB            -74      -               -39      - 
 JAN            -76      -               -31      - 
 DEC (2008)     -64     -24              -26      -9
 NOV            -42      -               -16      - 
 OCT            -25      -                -9      - 
 SEPT           -14      -3              -10      +1
 AUG            -16      -                -6      - 
 JULY           -10      -                -3      - 
 JUNE            -2      +5               -2     +10
 MAY             -2      -                 0      - 
 APR             +1      -                +3      - 
 MAR             +8     +11               +2     +12
 FEB             +9      -                +2      - 
 JAN            +17      -                +1      - 
 DEC (2007)     +21     +19              +13     +16
 NOV            +23      -                +9      - 
 OCT            +21      -               +19      - 
 SEPT           +24     +23              +14     +20
 AUG            +30      -               +14      - 
 JUL            +28      -               +19      - 
 JUN            +31     +23              +16     +22
 MAY            +29      -               +21      - 
 APR            +28      -               +26      - 
 MAR            +28     +23              +23     +22
 FEB            +30      -               +20      - 
 JAN            +35      -               +23      - 
 DEC (2006)     +34     +25              +21     +22
 NOV            +34      -               +22      - 
 OCT            +34      -               +20      - 
 SEPT           +30     +24              +20     +20
 AUG            +30      -               +22      - 
 JUL            +35      -               +24      - 
 JUN            +39     +21              +20     +20
 MAY            +35      -               +23      - 
 APR            +34      -               +24      - 
 MAR            +25     +20              +16     +18
 FEB            +34      -               +17      - 
 JAN            +33      -               +22      - 
 ================================================================
 ***ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS***
 Q2. Where do you expect the Nikkei to be at the end of July?
                           AVERAGE         HIGHEST      LOWEST
 OVERALL                       9,637          12,000        8,000
 MANUFACTURERS                 9,618          12,000        8,000
 NON-MANUFACTURERS             9,656          12,000        8,500
 ----------------------------------------------------------------
 Q3. Where do you expect the dollar/yen exchange rate to be at the end of
July?
                           AVERAGE        HIGHEST       LOWEST
 OVERALL                       96.65         110.00         86.00
 MANUFACTURERS                 96.65         105.00         90.00
 NON-MANUFACTURERS             96.66         110.00         86.00
 ----------------------------------------------------------------
 Q4. Where do you expect the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to be at
the end of September? (percentage of respondents)
         below    1.2-     1.4-    1.6-    1.8-     2.0-    2.2-     2.4 or
         1.2 %    1.39%    1.59%   1.79%   1.99%    2.19%   2.39%    above
 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
 OVERALL      4       16       60      17       3        0       0       0
 MANUF'S      3       17       59      17       3        1       0       0
 NON-MANUF'S  5       15       60      17       2        0       1       0
 The Reuters Tankan covers 200 large manufacturers and 200
non-manufacturers excluding the financial sector. A total of 244 responded to
the first question in the poll taken from May 29 to June 15.
 The index readings are derived by subtracting the percentage of
respondents who say conditions are poor from those who say they are good. A
negative reading means most of those surveyed are pessimistic about
conditions.
 (For more stories on the Japanese economy, click [ID:nECONJP])
 (Reporting by Izumi Nakagawa)


























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