TABLE-Reuters Tankan June business confidence survey
(Click on [JP/TAN1] for main story)
TOKYO, June 18 (Reuters) - Japanese manufacturers became far less pessimistic about business conditions in June, a Reuters poll showed, adding to signs the world's No. 2 economy has overcome the worst of recession as exports and output rise.
Following is a table of indexes for key sectors and a comparison with the BOJ's tankan survey:
SEPT(f'cast) JUN MAY APR MAR FEB JAN ======================================================================== MANUFACTURERS (-31) -50 -69 -76 -78 -74 -76 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ (Materials) (-16) -39 -68 -84 -87 -81 -83 - Textile/paper (-13) -38 -63 -80 -67 -89 -67 - Chemicals ( -9) -21 -65 -81 -86 -75 -85 - Oil refinery/ceramics (-10) -50 -67 -89 -100 -78 -89 - Steel/nonferrous metals (-60) -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 -100 (Manufactured products) (-41) -56 -68 -70 -73 -69 -72 - Food ( 0) 0 0 0 0 0 -20 - Metal products/machinery (-40) -55 -68 -81 -81 -85 -86 - Electric machinery (-49) -66 -86 -83 -83 -76 -78 - Autos/transport equipment (-54) -69 -88 -100 -100 -88 -89 - Precision machinery/others (-38) -67 -67 -44 -78 -67 -63 ======================================================================== NON-MANUFACTURERS (-17) -31 -44 -38 -37 -39 -31 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ - Real estate/construction (-30) -39 -50 -40 -47 -47 -30 - Retail/wholesale (-18) -23 -37 -36 -28 -29 -35 - Wholesalers (-13) -31 -43 -54 -36 -47 -29 - Retailers (-21) -17 -33 -26 -22 -16 -39 - Information/communications (-18) -27 -40 -20 -22 -40 -22 - Transport/utility (-25) -50 -60 -47 -38 -50 -50 - Other services ( -3) -26 -42 -44 -44 -40 -23 ======================================================================== *** COMPARISON WITH BANK OF JAPAN TANKAN *** ====================================================================
MANUFACTURERS NON-MANUFACTURERS
RTRS BOJ RTRS BOJ -------------------------------------------------------------------- SEPT(f'cast) -31 - -17 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - JUNE -50 -51(f'cast) -31 -30(f'cast) MAY -69 - -44 - APR (2009) -76 - -38 - MAR -78 -58 -37 -31 FEB -74 - -39 - JAN -76 - -31 - DEC (2008) -64 -24 -26 -9 NOV -42 - -16 - OCT -25 - -9 - SEPT -14 -3 -10 +1 AUG -16 - -6 - JULY -10 - -3 - JUNE -2 +5 -2 +10 MAY -2 - 0 - APR +1 - +3 - MAR +8 +11 +2 +12 FEB +9 - +2 - JAN +17 - +1 - DEC (2007) +21 +19 +13 +16 NOV +23 - +9 - OCT +21 - +19 - SEPT +24 +23 +14 +20 AUG +30 - +14 - JUL +28 - +19 - JUN +31 +23 +16 +22 MAY +29 - +21 - APR +28 - +26 - MAR +28 +23 +23 +22 FEB +30 - +20 - JAN +35 - +23 - DEC (2006) +34 +25 +21 +22 NOV +34 - +22 - OCT +34 - +20 - SEPT +30 +24 +20 +20 AUG +30 - +22 - JUL +35 - +24 - JUN +39 +21 +20 +20 MAY +35 - +23 - APR +34 - +24 - MAR +25 +20 +16 +18 FEB +34 - +17 - JAN +33 - +22 - ================================================================ ***ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS*** Q2. Where do you expect the Nikkei to be at the end of July?
AVERAGE HIGHEST LOWEST OVERALL 9,637 12,000 8,000 MANUFACTURERS 9,618 12,000 8,000 NON-MANUFACTURERS 9,656 12,000 8,500 ---------------------------------------------------------------- Q3. Where do you expect the dollar/yen exchange rate to be at the end of July?
AVERAGE HIGHEST LOWEST OVERALL 96.65 110.00 86.00 MANUFACTURERS 96.65 105.00 90.00 NON-MANUFACTURERS 96.66 110.00 86.00 ---------------------------------------------------------------- Q4. Where do you expect the 10-year Japanese government bond yield to be at the end of September? (percentage of respondents)
below 1.2- 1.4- 1.6- 1.8- 2.0- 2.2- 2.4 or
1.2 % 1.39% 1.59% 1.79% 1.99% 2.19% 2.39% above --------------------------------------------------------------------------- OVERALL 4 16 60 17 3 0 0 0 MANUF'S 3 17 59 17 3 1 0 0 NON-MANUF'S 5 15 60 17 2 0 1 0
The Reuters Tankan covers 200 large manufacturers and 200 non-manufacturers excluding the financial sector. A total of 244 responded to the first question in the poll taken from May 29 to June 15.
The index readings are derived by subtracting the percentage of respondents who say conditions are poor from those who say they are good. A negative reading means most of those surveyed are pessimistic about conditions. (For more stories on the Japanese economy, click [ID:nECONJP]) (Reporting by Izumi Nakagawa)
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