Fitch: Reduction in Global IT Spending Increases Risk to U.S. IT Distributors' Credit Profiles
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NEW YORK--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings expects that the ongoing reduction in global IT spending will further deteriorate operating profiles for U.S. IT distributors and could lead to weakened credit profiles. According to a new special report issued today, Fitch believes that while the rate of decline could moderate from levels the industry experienced in first quarter 2009 (1Q09), double-digit year-over-year sales declines will continue into the second half of 2009. Declines are likely to continue to be driven by weak demand, compounded by reduced access to credit and likely rising failures in the small and medium business space. "Our outlook for the IT distributors remains Negative," said Melissa Link-Cohen, Director at Fitch Ratings. "If declining sales result in significant and prolonged operating margin deterioration, negative rating actions could occur. Ratings pressures will also occur for companies that use cash from working capital reductions for acquisitions or share buybacks." Despite lower profitability, Fitch expects substantial cash generation in 2009 as lower sales drive reductions in working capital needs. Nonetheless, there is reduced flexibility for share repurchases and acquisitions under current ratings, given lower profitability, as well as the expectation of future cash needs to fund increased working capital once demand turns stronger. Fitch expects that liquidity preservation will remain a focus, thereby reducing this event risk. The special report, titled 'Distribute I.T. - Information Technology Distributors Industry Review and Outlook' includes analyses of industry operating performance, credit and liquidity, key industry trends and developments and individual credit and financial profiles of Fitch rated IT distributors. The report is available on Fitch's website at www.fitchratings.com. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, New York Melissa Link-Cohen, CFA, +1-212-908-0611 Nick P. Nilarp, CFA, +1-212-908-0649 Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526 (Media Relations) cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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