Fitch Affirms Niagara Tobacco Asset Securitization Corporation, Series 2000
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NEW YORK--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings affirms 13 classes of tobacco settlement asset-backed bonds from Niagara Tobacco Asset Securitization Corporation, series 2000, as follows: Current Interest Serial Bonds --$530,000 due May 15, 2018 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$260,000 due May 15, 2019 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$820,000 due May 15, 2019 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$105,000 due May 15, 2019 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$780,000 due May 15, 2020 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$490,000 due May 15, 2020 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$485,000 due May 15, 2021 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$875,000 due May 15, 2021 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$210,000 due May 15, 2022 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$1,175,000 due May 15, 2022 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable. Current Interest Turbo Term Bonds --$11,995,000 due May 15, 2029 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$10,575,000 due May 15, 2034 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable; --$14,945,000 due May 15, 2040 at 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable. The affirmations are based on the level of stress each class is able to withstand as indicated by Fitch's new breakeven cash flow model. The model indicates, for each class of bonds, the level of the annual Master Settlement Agreement (MSA) payment percent change the trust would be able to sustain and still pay the bond in full by the legal final date. The base case 'B' corresponds to a 1% increase in the MSA payment received by the trust every year. The 'BBB' category corresponds to an annual MSA payment decline of 1.25%. The cash flow model accounts for the amount of the latest reported MSA payment that the transaction has received, the capital structure, the reserve account, and the bonds' legal final dates. The bond payments are also tied to the tobacco companies making MSA payments. Tobacco settlement bonds can be rated up to 'BBB+' based on Fitch's view of the whole tobacco industry and the executory nature of the MSA. In the event of a bankruptcy of a tobacco company, Fitch believes there is an incentive for the company to continue to make payments under the MSA. Although the delinked ratings of the serial and turbo bonds suggested by the model are 'A-' or higher, the bonds are being affirmed at the cap rating of 'BBB+' with a Stable Outlook. New York Counties Tobacco Trust II bonds are secured by the pledged payments made under the MSA. The pledged payments consist of New York's share of perpetual annual payments and strategic contribution payments by the original participating manufacturers (OPMs) and subsequent participating manufacturers (SPMs). The OPMs at the time of the original agreement were Philip Morris USA, Inc.; R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company; Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corporation; and Lorillard Tobacco Company. The amount of annual MSA payments received by the trust are mainly affected by the tobacco consumption level and inflation rate, as well as state specific adjustments, as specified in the MSA Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, New York Aoto Kenmochi, +1-212-908-0867 Cynthia Ullrich, +1-212-908-0609 Stefanie Leung, +1-212-980-0826 or Media Relations Sandro Scenga, +1-212-908-0278, New York sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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