Fitch Rates Lynchburg, Virginia's $54MM GOs 'AA'; Outlook Stable
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NEW YORK--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings assigns an 'AA' rating to the City of Lynchburg (the city), Virginia's approximately $53.7 million general obligation (GO) public improvement bonds, consisting of $46.1 million GO public improvements bonds, series 2009A and $7.6 million GO public improvement refunding bonds, series 2009B. The bonds are scheduled to sell on July 21, with bond proceeds funding various general government projects and redeeming certain outstanding GO bonds. Fitch also affirms the 'AA' rating on the city's approximately $169 million of outstanding GO bonds. The Rating Outlook is Stable. The 'AA' rating reflects the City of Lynchburg's strong financial management, moderate debt levels, and mature economy. The traditional employment concentration in the manufacturing sector has been diffused by the city's role as a retail, health care, and education center for the surrounding area. Future debt needs are manageable, and the debt burden should remain moderate given the rapid amortization of outstanding bonds and the availability of user fees to support a portion of the city's GO bonds. Located in central Virginia, Lynchburg has effectively dealt with many of the challenges that face historically manufacturing-based economies. Economic diversification emphasizing engineering, education, and health care continues, while significant public and private investment has bolstered development of the city's downtown and riverfront. Liberty University, one of the 10 largest employers, is completing significant capital expansion projects and expects to more than double its current student enrollment of 11,300 by 2020. The nuclear engineering firm Areva NP North America announced a $25 million capital investment and the anticipated addition of 500 employees by 2011 arising from its role in a commercial nuclear reactor construction consortium. The 7.8% April 2009 unemployment rate remains above the Commonwealth's 6.6% but below the nation's 8.6%. Per capita money income levels, while below average at 69% of the Commonwealth and 80% of the national figures, are somewhat reflective of the city's significant student population. Financial management is strong, as evidenced by adherence to formalized policies regarding fund balance, debt affordability, quarterly reporting, and midyear budget reviews. Reserve levels consistently exceed the adopted policy target of undesignated fund balance equal to at least 10% of general fund revenues. The city ended fiscal 2008 with an unreserved general fund balance equal to 20.2% of spending, a measure more commonly employed by Fitch. Hiring freezes, a two-and-a-half day furlough, and departmental reductions were implemented in fiscal 2009 in response to projected revenue declines and the city anticipates a general fund balance reduction of $7.6 million, inclusive of $5.9 million of pay-as-you-go capital financing. Projected fiscal 2009 year-end results as well as the fiscal 2010 budget are expected to adhere to city reserve policies. City enterprise funds are healthy, aided by steady rate increases. However, the city remains under a special consent order to separate its storm water and sanitary sewer systems, and future sewer utility rate increases are envisioned, keeping them above average for the area. Overall debt levels are moderately low at $2,127 per capita and 2.9% of taxable assessed value; outstanding debt amortizes at an above-average 62.8% within 10 years. Capital needs outside of the sewer system upgrades are modest due to the low rate of population growth and the presence of an established infrastructure. The $178 million fiscal 2010-2014 capital improvement plan (CIP) represents a decrease from previous plans due to the deferment of a large school reconstruction project. About one-half of the CIP relates to the sewer system, which includes compliance with the special consent order regarding combined sewer overflows. GO bonds, revenue bonds, and combined pay-as-you-go capital financing and intergovernmental grants each provide about one-third of CIP funding. Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are available on the agency's public site, 'www.fitchratings.com'. Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of this site. Fitch Ratings, New York Barbara Ruth Rosenberg, 212-908-0731 Alexandra Knight, 212-908-9181 Media Relations: Cindy Stoller, 212-908-0526 cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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