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INSTANT VIEW: U.S. backs away from missile shield plan

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Thu Sep 17, 2009 3:23pm EDT

Following is reaction to U.S. President Barack Obama's announcement that he is rolling back plans for an anti-missile shield based in Eastern Europe, which had drawn fierce opposition from Russia.

RUSSIAN PRESIDENT DMITRY MEDVEDEV

"We value the U.S. president's responsible approach toward implementing our agreements ... I am ready to continue the dialogue."

(When he meets Obama in New York on September 23) "we will have a good opportunity to exchange views on all aspects of strategic stability, including anti-missile defense"

"I believe that we will proceed with giving orders to the respective bodies in our two countries to step up cooperation, including on attracting European and other interested nations," he said of a meeting with

"We will work together to forge efficient measures to counter the risks of missile proliferation, measures that would allow us to take into account the interests and concerns of all parties and ensure equal security for all the nations in the European arena."

GERMAN FOREIGN MINISTER FRANK-WALTER STEINMEIER

"I am pleased that, after today's decision, we now have the possibility to again discuss the issue of missile defense in Europe with all partners.

"I have stressed from the outset: in the end we need more and not less collective security. Therefore, I have always been convinced that we must find common answers to common threats.

"The Obama administration's move today is a signal to all partners that the American government aspires to such common solutions. That is the right way."

SENIOR IRANIAN GOVERNMENT SOURCE:

"There could be two reasons behind such a decision, either the U.S. has reached the conclusion that Iran is not a threat, or the Russians may have convinced the Americans there is no need for such defense shield."

RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESMAN ANDREI NESTERENKO:

"I can tell you that if the new U.S. administration has revised its position on the missile shield then this is probably a positive sign for us."

CZECH PRIME MINISTER JAN FISCHER:

"There are no reasons for changes in our relationship with the United States. We are on a perfect level on bilateral basis and in the framework of NATO. We have strong allies and strong partners," he said ahead of the pre-G20 summit of European Union leaders in Brussels on Thursday.

DEMOCRATIC U.S. SENATOR CHARLES SCHUMER

"It is no secret that this missile defense shield has been a thorn in Russia's side. President Obama is clearly demonstrating his willingness to reset relations between our two countries, and the Russians should return the gesture. It is time for Russia to join our push to impose stricter sanctions on Iran in order to halt its nuclear weapons program."

REPUBLICAN U.S. SENATOR LINDSEY GRAHAM

"President Obama's decision also emboldens Russia and pulls the rug out from under our Polish and Czech Republic allies. They may try to call this hitting the reset button on our relationship with Russia. It looks more like retreat. The Russians will take our actions not as a sign of goodwill, but weakness."

REPUBLICAN U.S. SENATOR JOHN MCCAIN

"This decision calls into question the security and diplomatic commitments the United States has made to Poland and the Czech Republic, and has the potential to undermine perceived American leadership in Eastern Europe.

JOANNA GORSKA, EXCLUSIVE ANALYSIS, DEPUTY HEAD OF EURASIA DESK: "I would not say it will have an immediate impact on investment or most investment risks in the region. In the longer term, however, if the prospect of the missile shield goes away I would expect it to improve relations between central European countries and Moscow, probably reducing trade barriers and restrictions."

ZACHARY ROTHSTEIN, ASSOCIATE EUROPE ANALYST, CONTROL

RISKS:

"The decision will likely dent the popularity of the center-right government in Poland, since the Polish population has been a stauncher supporter of missile defense from the beginning and the government has staked much of its credibility on a pro-US foreign policy."

"The (Czech) Social Democrats (CSSD) have always opposed missile defense, as has a majority of the Czech population, and thus they will likely gain some support vis a vis ODS (Civic Democrats) at an especially crucial time ahead of elections (now likely to be in May 2010). It might be enough to crack the political stalemate between right and left that has caused the Czech Republic's recent political incapacity."

FORMER CZECH PRIME MINISTER MIREK TOPOLANEK, WHOSE

GOVERNMENT SIGNED THE MISSILE DEFENSE DEAL:

"This is bad news ... after 20 years of our path into Euro-Atlantic structures and our very active involvement there, the process is being halted."

IWONA JAKUBOWSKA-BRANICKA, SOCIOLOGY PROFESSOR AT WARSAW

UNIVERSITY:

"I don't think the enemy is just outside our gate. I don't think this decision directly impacts Poland's security status. ... We are within the EU, we are part of the truly democratic world and there is no direct threat to our borders from our neighbors, including Russia."

BORIVOJ HNIZDO, POLITICAL SCIENCE PROFESSOR, CHARLES

UNIVERSITY, PRAGUE:

"The Obama administration has mainly domestic problems now -- the health reform -- so I have the feeling they want to show they are able to listen to other parties in foreign policy."

"Russia will not see it as a concession, but it will use it in propaganda on the domestic scene as a concession and it will talk about it as a diplomatic success."

MARK FITZPATRICK, NON-PROLIFERATION SCHOLAR AT LONDON'S

INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STRATEGIC STUDIES:

"Iran does not today pose a missile threat to most of Europe and could not do so for several years, during which time the flight tests they would need to conduct would give ample warning.

"In addition, the planned locations in the Czech Republic and Poland are not ideal for protecting Europe. So from a technical point of view I am not surprised at all."

CARLO GALLO, SENIOR RUSSIA ANALYST, CONTROL RISKS: "In the longer term, any improvement in Russia-US relations will be positive for US companies operating in Russia.

"In the oil sector, European companies such as BP and Shell are the dominant international players, even with all the problems they have faced, and I would not expect that to change, although they could see more competition from US companies."

(Reporting by Reuters bureaux; Editing by Jon Boyle and David Storey)

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