Fitch: Credit Card Businesses Not Expected to Affect Nordstrom & Target's Corporate Ratings
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NEW YORK--(Business Wire)-- Portfolios' issued today, Fitch Ratings says that credit card performance should not have a negative impact on Nordstrom, Inc. and Target Corporation's corporate ratings based on current write-off expectations. The report examines credit card profitability at various credit card charge-off assumptions, and calculations of leverage metrics for Nordstrom and Target on a consolidated basis, a retail-only level, and an adjusted retail metric to reflect any losses on the credit card portfolio. Fitch expects significant pressure on credit card profitability to continue through the balance of 2009 and into 2010, as charge-offs are expected to remain at elevated levels as long as unemployment remains high. While profit deterioration at the credit card operations at both retailers has been pronounced, the credit card businesses should show a modest improvement year-over-year profitability in 2010. In the event the write-off rates start trending higher than expected based on worsening unemployment and a continued recession, Fitch would expect the credit card businesses to be loss-making, pressuring the companies' credit ratings. Nordstrom's Issuer Default Rating (IDR) is 'A-' with a Negative Rating Outlook. Under a base case scenario for 2009/2010, Fitch assumes that net charge-offs will be in the 10%-12% range, versus the 9.4% that Nordstrom reported at the end of the second quarter. Based on the company's current and expected liquidity position, Fitch views its refinancing risk as manageable with $350 million in credit card secured debt due in 2010 and nothing due in 2011. Target's IDR is 'A' with a Stable Rating Outlook, with its credit card portfolio still profit-making at the current net charge-off trends, although 2009 profitability is projected to be closer to the $155 million generated in 2008 than the $797 million produced in 2007. Fitch does not expect the credit card business to become loss-making in 2009; however, in the event that write-offs start trending higher than 16%, the credit card portfolio could become loss-making in 2010. The report 'Spotlight on Retail-Owned Credit Card Portfolios' is now available on Fitch's web site, 'www.fitchratings.com'. This report is published in conjunction with 'Retailer Finance Arms: How Much Risk?' which presents an analysis of the risks related to the finance arms of five European retailers as well as Nordstrom and Target, and is also available on Fitch's web site. Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. Fitch Ratings, New York Monica Aggarwal, CFA, 212-908-0282 or Media Relations: Cindy Stoller, 212-908-0526 Email: cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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