Fitch Downgrades MLMT 2008-C1; Assigns LS Ratings
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CHICAGO--(Business Wire)-- Fitch Ratings has downgraded 12 classes of Merrill Lynch Mortgage Trust series 2008-C1 commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. In addition, Fitch has assigned, maintained, or revised Rating Outlooks and Loss Severity (LS) ratings as applicable. A detailed list of rating actions follows at the end of this release. The downgrades are the result of loss expectations on specially serviced loans as well as Fitch's prospective views regarding commercial real estate market value and cash flow declines. Fitch foresees potential losses of 6.4% for this transaction should market conditions not recover. Today's rating actions are based on losses of 3.8%, including 100% of the term losses and 25% of the losses anticipated to occur at maturity; the 3.8% recognizes all of the losses anticipated in the next five years. Given the significant remaining term to maturity, Fitch's actions today do not account for the full magnitude of possible maturity losses. The bonds with Negative Outlooks indicate classes that may be downgraded in the future should full potential losses be realized. Fitch analyzed the transaction and calculated expected losses by assuming cash flows on each of the properties decline 15% from year-end (YE) 2007 and property values decline 35% from issuance. These loss estimates were reviewed in more detail for certain loans representing 66.0% of the pool and, in some cases, revised based on additional information and/or property characteristics. Approximately 29.0% of the mortgages mature within the next five years as follows: 21.6% in 2012 and 7.4% in 2014. All losses associated with these loans are fully recognized in the rating actions. Fitch identified 18 Loans of Concern (15.9%) within the pool, 11 of which (10.1%) are specially serviced. Ten of the specially serviced loans (9.9%) are related to the bankruptcy of the loans' sponsor, DBSI, Inc. (DBSI), which filed for bankruptcy in November 2008. All but two of the loans related to DBSI are in the final stages of replacing the sponsor and ultimately being reinstated as performing loans with the master servicer, with no losses expected. Only one of the loans (1.5%) within the top 15 is expected to default during the term and experience a loss severity of approximately 20%. The largest contributors to loss across the transaction are the Biewend Building (5.2%) and the Village at Old Trace (1.3%). The Biewend Building loan is collateralized by a 154,528 square foot (sf) Medical Office building on the campus of Tufts-New England Medical Center in downtown Boston. The property is 100% leased to New England Medical Center, a nonprofit acute care hospital and the principal teaching hospital for Tufts University School of Medicine. The building was constructed in 1924 and was last renovated from 1999-2003. The most recent debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) for the property is 1.37 times (x) as of YE 2008. The sponsor for the loan is NNN Realty Advisors, Inc. The loan is not expected to default during the term, but Fitch expects that the loan will default upon maturity and incur losses of approximately 20%, based upon a projected value decline of 35% over the term of the loan. The Village at Old Trace is secured by a 52,681 sf retail center located in Marietta, GA. Occupancy as of January 2009 was 65%. The loan is 90+ days delinquent and is currently being specially serviced. The loan's sponsor DBSI filed for bankruptcy in November 2008. However, unlike the majority of the other DBSI loans in the transaction, this loan is not performing and may not be reinstated with the master servicer. A receiver was put in place on Sept. 28, 2009 as the special servicer determines a course of action for the loan resolution. The loan has experienced an appraisal reduction, based upon a recently received valuation. Fitch expects that this loan will incur losses of approximately 48% upon its additional stresses. Fitch has downgraded, removed from Rating Watch Negative and assigned Rating Outlooks and LS ratings to the following classes: --$8.3 million class E to 'A/LS5' from 'A+'; Outlook Negative; --$9.5 million class F to 'BBB/LS5' from 'A'; Outlook Negative; --$9.5 million class G to 'BBB/LS5' from 'A-'; Outlook Negative; --$10.7 million class H to 'BB/LS5 ' from 'BBB+'; Outlook Negative; --$11.9 million class J to 'BB/LS5' from 'BBB'; Outlook Negative; --$10.7 million class K to 'B/LS5' from 'BBB-'; Outlook Negative; --$8.3 million class L to 'B-/LS5' from 'BB+'; Outlook Negative; --$3.4 million class M to 'B-/LS5' from 'BB'; Outlook Negative; --$3.6 million class N to 'B-/LS5' from 'BB-'; Outlook Negative; --$3.6 million class P to 'CCC/RR6' from 'B+'; --$2.4 million class Q to 'CCC/RR6' from 'B'; --$3.6 million class S to 'CCC/RR6' from 'B-'. Additionally, Fitch has affirmed, maintained the Rating Outlooks and assigned LS ratings to the following classes as indicated: --$14.1 million class A-1 at 'AAA/LS-1'; Outlook Stable; --$55.6 million class A-2 at 'AAA/LS-1'; Outlook Stable; --$65.6 million class A-3 at 'AAA/LS-1'; Outlook Stable; --$32.4 million class A-SB at 'AAA/LS-1'; Outlook Stable; --$326.4 million class A-4 at 'AAA/LS-1'; Outlook Stable; --$43.5 million class A-1A at 'AAA/LS-1'; Outlook Stable; --$122.3 million class A-1AF at 'AAA/LS-1'; Outlook Stable; --$71.2 million class AM at 'AAA/LS-3'; Outlook Stable; --$6.32 million class AM-A at 'AAA/LS-3'; Outlook Stable; --$17.5 million class AM-AF at 'AAA/LS-3'; Outlook Stable; --$41.8 million class AJ at 'AAA/LS-3'; Outlook Negative; --$3.7 million class AJ-A at 'AAA/LS-3'; Outlook Negative; --$10.3 million class AJ-AF at 'AAA/LS-3'; Outlook Negative; --$19.5 million class B at 'AA+/LS-5'; Outlook Negative; --$11.9 million class C at 'AA/LS-5'; Outlook Negative; --$8.3 million class D at 'AA-/LS-5'; Outlook Negative; --Interest only class X at 'AAA'; Outlook Stable. The $53.6 million class T is not rated by Fitch. Additional information on Fitch's amended criteria for analyzing recent vintage U.S. CMBS is available in the July 8, 2009 report, 'Surveillance Methodology for Recent Vintage U.S. CMBS', which is available at 'www.fitchratings.com' under the following headers: Structured Finance then CMBS then Criteria Reports Fitch will release a report titled 'Merrill Lynch Mortgage Trust 2008 C-1' that will contain a graph of revised loss expectations for the transaction on Fitch's web site at 'www.fitchratings.com' under the following headers: Structured Finance then CMBS then Special Reports Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. Fitch Ratings, Chicago Lauren Cerda, 312-606-2317 Britt Johnson, 312-606-2341 or Media Relations: Sandro Scenga, 212-908-0278, New York Email: sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com Copyright Business Wire 2009
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