Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day Highlights: Guess?, Washington Federal, J.P. Morgan, Citigroup and Costco Wholesale Corporation

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Thu Oct 8, 2009 5:00pm EDT

CHICAGO--(Business Wire)--
Zacks Equity Research highlights Guess? (NYSE: GES) as the Bull of the Day and
Washington Federal (Nasdaq: WFSL) the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity
Research provides analysis on J.P. Morgan (NYSE: JPM), Citigroup (NYSE: C) and
Costco Wholesale Corporation (Nasdaq: COST). Full analysis of all these stocks
is available at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2676. 

Here is a synopsis of all five stocks: 

Bull of the Day: 

Guess? (NYSE: GES) reported better-than-expected results for the first half of
2010, thanks to strong North American sales, operating cost controls and smart
inventory management. In addition, the company's strong cost-control efforts
helped it maintain a lower operating cost structure, which in turn helped it
navigate through the difficult economic conditions. 

Management also issued optimistic guidance for the third quarter, although it
declined to provide guidance for fiscal year 2010. For the third quarter, Guess
expects revenue of $465-$485 million and EPS of 46-49 cents. 

Given the company's positive outlook and strong control mechanisms, we upgrade
the shares of Guess Inc. from Neutral to Outperform. 

Bear of the Day: 

Washington Federal's (Nasdaq: WFSL) third quarter earnings were in line with the
Zacks Consensus Estimate. However, the results significantly deteriorated from
the prior-year quarter due to a huge increase in provision for loan losses,
primarily in response to a deteriorating residential land and construction
portfolio. 

Credit quality drastically worsened during the quarter. However, declining
deposit rates helped improve funding concerns to a great extent and capital
position remained strong. 

Though margin expansion and increased market share through acquisitions will be
a great support going forward, we are concerned about the company's significant
exposure to real estate markets and suspect that it will continue to experience
credit quality deterioration. Therefore, we recommend the shares as
Underperform. 

Latest Posts on the Zacks Analyst Blog: 

Fed to Be On Hold a Long Time

There is a chance, however, that this policy could start to develop a bubble in
stocks. There is a lot of money that has been pushed into the system. There is
not that much demand by corporations -- especially the solvent ones that the
banks would like to lend to -- to borrow lots of money to build new plants, or
even take on more inventory. That money will try to find a home, and if it can't
find it in the real economy, it will gravitate to the financial economy. 

Thus, while keeping rates low does pose a risk, that risk looks mostly
theoretical at this point. The very low Fed Funds rate means that there will
also be a very steep yield curve. 

This is good news for the banks, since their core economic function is to borrow
short term -- for example by taking in checking deposits -- and to lend long
term, for example making commercial and industrial loans. This will help big
banks like J.P. Morgan (NYSE: JPM) and Citigroup (NYSE: C) earn enough from
their current loans to help offset the massive losses they have hidden on other
books of previous loans that have gone bad. 

Costco Beats Zacks Estimates

Costco Wholesale Corporation (Nasdaq: COST), the fifth largest general retailer
in the U.S., has reported better-than-expected fourth quarter fiscal 2009
results with net income of $374 million or 85 cents per share, compared to $398
million or 90 cents in the year-earlier quarter. The quarterly earnings well
surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 77 cents per share. 

For fiscal year 2009, net income was $1.09 billion or $2.47 per share compared
to $1.28 billion or $2.89 per share in the previous fiscal year. The
year-over-year decrease in the fiscal results was primarily due to the
continuing softness in the U.S. economy, higher employee benefit costs and
negative impact of foreign currency translation. 

Net sales during the quarter totaled $21.89 billion compared to $22.63 billion
in the year-ago quarter, while net sales in fiscal 2009 were $69.89 billion
compared to $70.98 billion in fiscal 2008. Although both the quarterly and
yearly sales declined year over year, the figures were comparatively better than
analysts` expectations, suggesting an overall improvement in the weak U.S.
retail environment. 

Get the full analysis of all these stocks by going to
http://at.zacks.com/?id=2649. 

About the Bull and Bear of the Day

Every day, the analysts at Zacks Equity Research select two stocks that are
likely to outperform (Bull) or underperform (Bear) the markets over the next 3-6
months. 

About the Analyst Blog

Updated throughout every trading day, the Analyst Blog provides analysis from
Zacks Equity Research about the latest news and events impacting stocks and the
financial markets. 

About Zacks Equity Research

Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis
to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term. 

Continuous coverage is provided for a universe of 1,150 publicly traded stocks.
Our analysts are organized by industry which gives them keen insights to
developments that affect company profits and stock performance. Recommendations
and target prices are six-month time horizons. 

Zacks "Profit from the Pros" e-mail newsletter provides highlights of the latest
analysis from Zacks Equity Research. Subscribe to this free newsletter today by
visiting http://at.zacks.com/?id=2677. 

About Zacks

Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed in
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in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his
many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system;
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Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance
numbers displayed in this press release. 

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should
always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing
herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any
security.

Zacks.com
Mark Vickery, 312-265-9380
Visit: www.zacks.com



Copyright Business Wire 2009

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