PRECIOUS-Gold rises above $1,060 on weak dollar

Mon Oct 19, 2009 9:51pm EDT

 * SPDR Gold holdings XAUEXT-NYS-TT unchanged since Oct. 7
 * Dollar weakens on view Fed to keep rates near zero
 By Chikako Mogi
 TOKYO, Oct 20 (Reuters) - Gold rose above $1,060 an ounce on
Tuesday to near last week's record highs, as weakness in the
dollar helped bullion maintain its appeal as a currency
alternative.
 Record speculative net long futures positions, weak physical
demand and scrap hitting the markets as prices hover near record
peaks are slowing gold's climb back to their highs.
 But market expectations for U.S. interest rates to stay near
zero for several more months continue to weigh on the dollar,
whose weakness makes bullion less expensive for holders of other
currencies.
 At the same time, a lack of momentum in gold's rise despite
the dollar hitting a 14-month low against the euro suggests there
is slight wariness about the risk of U.S. interest rates rising
sooner than many think, some analysts said.
 The Federal Reserve holds its policy meeting on Nov. 3-4 and
few expect the U.S. central bank to raise interest rates at the
meeting.
 "If it's confirmed that the Fed does not raise interest rates
at next month's meeting, the dollar likely will face renewed
selling pressure, hoisting gold to fresh highs," said Masayo
Kondo, president at Fisco Commodity Inc.
 "While the chance of a rate rise is very small, there is also
growing wariness that the Fed may make suggestions at the meeting
about the future course of interest rates, and that is keeping
funds from aggressively putting money into gold," he said.
 Oil's jump towards $80 put upward pressure on U.S. gasoline
prices and worries about rising prices could make it easier for
the Fed to justify nudging up rates from near zero, Kondo said.
 Spot gold XAU= was at $1,064.5 per ounce at 0115 GMT, up
0.3 percent from $1,060.70 in late New York trade on Monday.
 U.S. gold futures for December delivery GCZ9 were at
$1,065.6 per ounce, up nearly 1 percent from $1,058.10 in the
COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
 Last week, spot gold soared to an all-time high of $1,070.40
an ounce, while New York gold futures hit a record peak of $1,072
on the greenback's weakness.
 Near-term resistance is seen around $1,068, a level it took
time to break through, when it hit a record high of $1.070.40 on
Oct. 14. Support is seen at $1,055.43, the 10-day moving average.
 Oil CLc1 hovered near 1-year highs on Tuesday after rising
more than 1 percent towards $80 a barrel the previous day when
stronger U.S. company earnings raised optimism about the economy
and offset weak fundamentals. Oil hit a high of $79.61 on Monday.
[O/R]
 Rising oil prices support gold as a hedge against oil-induced
inflation risks.
 A nationwide strike by miners in Peru, the world's sixth
largest gold producer, also improved buying sentiment.
 Reflecting slowing investor inflows into gold, the world's
largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, the SPDR Gold Trust
(GLD), said its holdings stood at 1,109.314 tonnes as of Oct. 19,
unchanged since Oct. 7. The holdings rose to a record high of
1,134.03 tonnes on June 1. [GOL/SPDR]
 PRICES
  Precious metals prices at 0120 GMT
 Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg Turnover
 Spot Gold        1064.70    2.00   +0.19     20.97
 Spot Silver        17.84    0.06   +0.34     57.60
 Spot Platinum    1360.00    4.50   +0.33     45.92
 Spot Palladium    332.00    0.00   +0.00     79.95
 TOCOM Gold       3107.00   26.00   +0.84     20.75        30808
 TOCOM Platinum   3967.00   41.00   +1.04     49.59         6722
 TOCOM Silver      518.80    9.70   +1.91     62.48          215
 TOCOM Palladium   968.00    9.00   +0.94     76.00           99
 Euro/Dollar       1.4977
 Dollar/Yen         90.47
 TOCOM prices in yen per gram, except TOCOM silver which is
 priced in yen per 10 grams. Spot prices in $ per ounce.
 (Additional reporting by Bruce Hextall in Sydney; Editing by
Edwina Gibbs)





































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