EMERGING MARKETS-Argentina spreads improve, Mexican peso falls
* Argentina CDS spreads narrow after debt swap initiative
* Emerging market stocks mixed, LatAm a laggard
By Daniel Bases
NEW YORK, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Argentina's credit spreads narrowed while its currency firmed after a new government proposal to swap defaulted debt resonated with investors, while weaker U.S. equities dampened demand elsewhere in the region.
Mexico's peso fell sharply on concerns a proposal to raise taxes to help underpin the country's fiscal position may be scuttled by opposition leaders. [ID:nN23104986]
In Argentina, there were mixed messages in the market after the government announced its debt proposal late on Thursday in a bid to try to clean up the $20 billion in debt still held by investors who did not accept a 2005 restructuring offer.
Argentina's five-year credit default swaps narrowed by 10 basis points to a bid/ask spread of 920/970, according to market sources.
The Argentine peso strengthened 0.33 percent to 3.83 per U.S. dollar ARSB=, according to trades registered between brokerages.
"People are putting very high odds that this will be accepted by the market and get through the legislature in Buenos Aires. That's having a positive impact on Argentine assets," said Benito Berber, Latin America strategist at RBS in Greenwich, Connecticut.
While credit spreads narrowed, indicating a small increase in risk appetite, Argentina's restructured existing 2033 Discount bonds ARGGLB33=RR weakened, according to Reuters data. The price dropped 0.88 to a 72.50.
Argentina has been frozen out of the international capital markets ever since its massive debt default in 2001-2002 that totaled more than $100 billion.
In equity markets, the MSCI Latin American stock index fell 0.12 percent while the broad-based MSCI emerging markets stock index was up 0.72 percent on the day.
Yield spreads narrowed by 6 basis points to 301 basis points between emerging markets and underlying benchmark U.S. Treasuries even as both markets suffered losses, JP Morgan's Emerging Markets Bond Index Plus 11EMJ.JPMEMBIPLUS showed.
New supply from Brazilian state-owned oil company Petrobras also pulled away cash from the secondary market. According to Thomson Reuters IFR publication, the order book for a $4 billion dual tranche 10-year and 30-year debt offering, topped $12 billion.
The Brazil 2040 bond BRAGLB40=RR, the most actively traded emerging market bond, was down 1 point in price to bid 133.375, yielding 4.415 percent.
Mexico's benchmark 2019 MEXGLB19N=RR fell 0.125 point in price to bid 105.75, yielding 5.169 percent.
The Mexican peso dropped 1.40 percent to 13.0725 per U.S. dollar MXN=MEX01 on concerns the main opposition party in the Senate, the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), will try to kill a proposal to raise a consumption tax.
"The debate over what will happen with the VAT hike has put the brakes on the peso's advance," said Ramon Cordova, a trader at Base Internacional brokerage firm in Monterrey.
A rejection of the VAT hike in the Senate when it votes next week could raise the chance of a debt downgrade by ratings agencies concerned about Mexico's over-dependence on revenues from waning oil production.
Mexican oil production fell 4.5 percent in September from a year ago, but was higher than in August. [ID:nN23115092]
Elsewhere, Colombia's central bank meets later on Friday with expectations tilting toward no change in the benchmark interest rate, currently at 4 percent.
A large minority, 14 out of the 40 analysts polled, did say they expect a cut between 25 and 100 basis points in a bid to revive economic growth and slow the Colombian peso's appreciation. (Additional reporting by Jason Lange and Robert Campbell in Mexico City, Guillermo Parra-Bernal in Sao Paulo and Brian Ellsworth in Rio de Janierio; Editing by Leslie Adler)
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