Fitch Downgrades North Las Vegas, NV's $349MM LTGOs to 'AA-'; Outlook to Negative

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Mon Nov 2, 2009 6:06pm EST

NEW YORK--(Business Wire)--
In the course of routine surveillance, Fitch Ratings downgrades North Las Vegas
(the city), Nevada's $349.1 million general obligation (limited tax) bonds
(LTGOs) to 'AA-' from 'AA'. The Rating Outlook is Negative. 

All of the city's LTGOs are payable from statutorily- and
constitutionally-limited ad valorem property taxes and are secured by the full
faith and credit of the city. In addition, most are additionally secured by
pledged revenues ($169 million by net revenues of the water and wastewater
systems (the utility) and $133 million by a portion of the city's share of
consolidated tax revenues). 

The downgrade to 'AA-' from 'AA' reflects the markedly weaker financial profile
of the city, as evidenced by sizeable declines in property tax and consolidated
tax receipts (largely consumption and development related) which have been
caused by the severe housing-led recession. This loss of revenue was beyond the
city's immediate ability to respond with spending cuts, resulting in use of fund
balance. The rating also reflects the diminished but still adequate reserve
levels, management's multi-year plan to return the city to fiscal balance, a low
direct debt burden, as well as the ongoing economic downturn as evidenced by a
contracting job base and high unemployment rates. The Negative Outlook reflects
the uncertainty of economic and financial recovery for the city. A rating
downgrade could be triggered if the city is unable to make progress toward
achieving structural budgetary balance in the next couple of years, if reserves
fall significantly below current levels, or if the area economy and specifically
the local real estate market does not stabilize over the same timeframe. 

The city's financial position is strained but adequate. Despite a hiring freeze,
budget cuts, and other reductions in spending, the district's unreserved general
fund balance declined to an estimated $29.3 million or 14.4% of spending at
fiscal year end 2009, down from $45.3 million or 22.7% of spending in fiscal
2008 and well-below the city's 18% fund balance policy. For fiscal 2010, the
budget includes additional use of reserves, bringing the fund balance to $22.3
million or 12% of spending, and includes $14 million in expenditure reductions
which are pending city council approval. The city's five-year projection, which
is based on a moderate economic recovery in fiscal 2011 shows deficits through
fiscal 2013, at which point the unreserved fund balance is projected to be $12.3
million or 5% of spending. An erosion in reserves of this magnitude would not be
consistent with a rating in the 'AA' category. 

The city's wealth indicators are mixed; per capita wealth levels are below
national averages but per household levels are above average, reflecting the
large number of persons per household typical of lower income areas. The city's
unemployment rate trends well above state and national averages and rose to
14.9% in August 2009 compared to the state jobless rate of 9.6%. Assessed
valuation (AV) declined 27% in fiscal 2010 from fiscal 2009, and with mortgage
foreclosure rates among the highest in the nation, future AV declines are
likely. 

Debt levels are moderate at $2,572 per capita and 2.9% of market value including
overlapping debt. Amortization is slightly better than average with 56.1% repaid
in 10 years. The city is planning a $170 million issuance of LTGOs additionally
secured by net revenues of the utility for April 2010 to expand its water
reclamation facility. Most other capital projects have been delayed. 

Fitch never explicitly assigned a rating to the following bonds. However, Fitch
has considered the bonds in prior rating affirmations: 

--GO limited tax judicial public safety bonds series 2002A; 

--GO limited tax street rfdg bonds series 2002B; 

--GO limited tax judicial/public safety bonds series 2003; 

--GO water & sewer refunding bonds series 2003; 

--GO water & sewer refunding bonds series 2005A; 

--GO water & sewer refunding bonds series 2005B; 

--GO water refunding bonds series 2003B. 

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'. 

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS.
PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK:
HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING
DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S
PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND
METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF
CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE
AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF
CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE.

Fitch Ratings
Jonathan Bodner, +1-212-908-0803 (New York)
Karen Ribble, +1-415-732-5611 (San Francisco)
Media Relations:
Cindy Stoller, +1-212-908-0526 (New York)
cindy.stoller@fitchratings.com



Copyright Business Wire 2009

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