U.S. Army Captain Michael Kelvington, commander of the Battle company, 1-508 Parachute Infantry battalion, 4th Brigade Combat Team, 82nd Airborne Division, bows next to remains of Gulam Dostager, a member of Afghan Local Police who was killed in the blast of an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) during the joint Tor Janda (Black Flag in Pashtu) operation, in Zahri district of Kandahar province, southern Afghanistan May 25, 2012.  REUTERS/Shamil Zhumatov  (AFGHANISTAN - Tags: MILITARY CIVIL UNREST CONFLICT TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY)

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Members of the U.S. Navy Blue Angels fly over the World Trade Center in lower Manhattan as part of the 25th annual Fleet Week celebration in New York, May 23, 2012.  REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz (UNITED STATES - Tags: MILITARY ANNIVERSARY TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY)

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Q&A: Does Abbas really intend to step aside?

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Fri Nov 6, 2009 9:09am EST

(Reuters) - Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas said on Thursday he did not wish to run for re-election in January, voicing disappointment at Washington for "favoring" Israel in arguments over relaunching peace talks.

His announcement immediately raised these questions.

IS ABBAS SERIOUS?

* Abbas insisted his decision is not a tactical move, but analysts believe the 74-year-old leader is maneuvering. Two top bodies have unanimously asked him to stay on. Analysts say many people do not expect the elections to be held anyway.

WHAT PROMPTED HIS DECISION?

* The United States dropped its stand that Israel freeze the building in Jewish settlements in the occupied West Bank and Arab East Jerusalem. Aides said Abbas felt "betrayed and frustrated" when U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said Israel's offer to restrain settlement activities was "unprecedented" and urged Abbas to restart peace talks without demanding more.

WHAT DOES HE REALLY WANT?

* He has based his career on peace talks and still believes there can be peace with Israel if world powers pressure it to accept a Palestinian state on territories Israel occupied in the 1967 war with East Jerusalem as its capital. Analysts believe he aims to put pressure on the United States to do this.

IS THERE AN ALTERNATIVE TO HIM?

* Abbas has no obvious successor. A few names are mentioned as potential leaders but it remains to be seen who might step forward. Nominations for the January 24 presidential election commences on November 30 and runs for 12 days. Among possible candidates are former security chief Mohammad Dahlan who has been building up a following; Marwan Barghouthi, a popular figure who is however serving a life sentence in an Israeli prison, and Prime Minister Salam Fayyad, a former World Bank and IMF technocrat favored by the West but with not by Abbas's dominant Fatah movement.

(Writing by Mohammed Assadi; Editing by Douglas Hamilton and Angus MacSwan)

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