METALS-Copper ends away from 14-mth high, China data caps
* Weaker dollar helps boost industrial metals
* China Oct copper imports slide 40 pct
* U.S. existing home sales at highest in 2-1/2 years
(Recasts, updates with New York closing copper prices and analyst comments, adds NEW YORK to dateline)
By Chris Kelly and Pratima Desai
NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 23 (Reuters) - Copper backed away from 14-month highs by the close on Monday, as rising inventories and bearish import data from the world's top consumer China slowed earlier dollar-induced buying momentum, but the red metal's price outlook remained strong.
"Not surprising to see a little pullback from the highs, particularly when (Chinese) import data continues to throw the same concern out there about demand from China moving forward," said David Meger, vice president and director of metals trading with Vision Financial Markets in Chicago.
China's refined copper imports fell 40 percent to 169,374 tonnes in October. [ID:nPEK295836]
"The copper market certainly could be missing a key demand-driven type component, but these markets remain strong, driven by the weaker dollar and firm equity markets," he said.
"The momentum technically based trade continues. The speculative forces are certainly still present to push markets to new highs."
Copper for December delivery HGZ9 on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division ended up 2.75 cents at $3.1355 a lb, after dealing between $3.1280 and $3.1790, a new high dating back to late September 2008.
On the London Metal Exchange (LME), three-month copper MCU3 closed up $160 at $6,950 a tonne.
Earlier, the metal used in power and construction touched $7,010 a tonne, another 14-month peak and a gain of about 125 percent since January.
"We're not trading copper fundamentals. It's all about sentiment," said Andrey Kryuchenkov, analyst at VTB Capital. "We've got a tumbling greenback, which is also helping, and U.S. home sales, which is good for sentiment," he said.
"There's a lot of investment interest," he added.
The dollar fell broadly after a Federal Reserve official affirmed expectations U.S. interest rates would stay low for some time, making industrial metals cheaper for local currency holders. [FRX/]
A U.S. housing report showing a jump in existing home sales in October further spurred the market's risk appetite and dampened the dollar's safe-haven appeal. [ID:nN23252398]
BUYING IMPETUS
Traders also said the end of a strike in Chile's Spence copper mine, owned by mining giant BHP Billiton (BHP.AX) (BLT.L), was a reason not to expect further price gains. [ID:nN23225190]
"Physical market indicators highlighting an increased availability of metal for prompt delivery suggest that the major buying impetus last week came from the financial sector," Morgan Stanley said in a note.
Stocks of copper in LME warehouses at 424,925 tonnes are up about 65 percent since the middle of July and the highest since April. Aluminum stocks at above 4.59 million tonnes are holding near a record high of 4.629 million touched on Sept. 16.
Aluminum MAL3 ended down $22 at $2,038 a tonne. The market is up more than 30 percent this year, partly due to financing deals, which mean a lot of the LME stocks are tied up until next May.
"There appears to be ample supply of aluminum to come online. China has demonstrated its ability to bring on capacity over the past five years and there is substantial spare capacity both in and outside of China," Macquarie said in a note.
"However a strong global demand recovery could see the size of the aluminum market rise to as big as 42 million to 45 million tonnes by 2011/12...with potentially higher input costs...putting a floor under aluminum prices over that time period."
Aluminum consumption for this year is estimated at about 35 million tonnes.
Stainless steel ingredient nickel MNI3 had a kerb close of $16,905 a tonne from $16,600. Zinc MZN3 was at $2,272 from $2,255, lead MPB3 at $2,410 from $2,346 and tin MSN3 was at $15,150 from Friday's last bid at $14,950 a tonne.
Metal Prices at 1930 GMT Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2008 Ytd Pct
move COMEX Cu 312.75 2.25 +0.72 139.50 124.19 LME Alum 2025.00 -35.00 -1.70 1535.00 31.92 LME Cu 6910.00 120.00 +1.77 3060.00 125.82 LME Lead 2387.25 41.25 +1.76 999.00 138.96 LME Nickel 16825.00 225.00 +1.36 11700.00 43.80 LME Tin 15175.00 315.00 +2.12 10700.00 41.82 LME Zinc 2272.00 17.00 +0.75 1208.00 88.08 SHFE Alu 15850.00 200.00 +1.28 11540.00 37.35 SHFE Cu* 55020.00 1330.00 +2.48 23840.00 130.79 SHFE Zin 18525.00 555.00 +3.09 10120.00 83.05 ** 1st contract month for COMEX copper * 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
(Additional reporting by Humeyra Pamuk, Editing by Sue Thomas and Lisa Shumaker)
((pratima.desai@thomsonreuters.com; +44 207 542 5113))
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