TIMELINE-Russian banks struggle with bad loans
MOSCOW, Dec 31 (Reuters) - Russian banks have yet to see a peak in bad loans which have forced them to channel $28 billion into provisions this year, wiping out profits across the banking sector.
Following is a chronology of recent key events in the sector:
MAY
May 19 - Problem loans could soar to 35 percent to 50 percent of total lending in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan, Standard & Poor's says. [ID:nLJ957879]
JUNE
June 1 - Russian banks may need to be recapitalised with around 1.3 trillion roubles ($43.10 billion) in 2009, Moody's says. [ID:nL1554029]
June 5 - President Dmitry Medvedev rules out creating a "bad bank" to clean up bad loans. [ID:nL534983]
June 19 - VTB says bad debts could rise to $9 billion by June 2010. [ID:nLJ543168]
June 29 - VTB says will likely make a loss this year. [ID:nLT624294] [ID:nLT718543] [ID:nLT16910]
June 30 - Alfa Bank President Pyotr Aven says defaults may hit $130 billion in the next 12 months. [ID:nLU501949]
- Russian banks require $20 billion to $80 billion in additional capital within a year as non-performing loans will reach 15 percent to 40 percent of banks' loan portfolios by year-end, Fitch says. [ID:nLU368648]
JULY
July 9 - Russia says it will spend 150 billion roubles in 2009 and 310 billion in 2010 on recapitalising banks via OFZ treasury bills. [ID:nL9317896]
July 14 - Sberbank restructures 6.5 percent of its corporate loan portfolio and 5 percent of its retail loans. [ID:nLE295374]
July 22 - Oleg Vyugin, chairman of MDM bank, says bad loan levels in the banking system are already at 10 percent. [ID:nLM83854]
AUGUST
Aug 27 - Sberbank will complete and sell real estate projects it has accumulated, as non-performing loans rise and it forecloses on pledged assets. [ID:nLR76657]
Aug 28 - Russian officials cut forecasts for banks' bad loans to less than 10 percent by year-end and said state help for the sector could be scaled back. [ID:nLR695672]
SEPTEMBER
Sept 7 - VTB sells 41.5 percent of a new share issue for 180.03 billion roubles ($5.7 billion) to the state. [ID:nL0449822]
Sept 16 - Russian companies have restructured the lion's share of problem debts but the issue will stay on the 2010 agenda, the local head of Raiffeisen RIBH.VI says. [ID:nLG149961]
Sept 21 - Sberbank SBER03.MM says it expects provisions to rise above the forecast of 10 percent in 2009. [ID:nNLP502374]
Sept 30 - Central bank Chairman Sergei Ignatyev says the Russian banking system as a whole will likely end 2009 in the black, and Russia's Alfa Bank backtracks from an earlier gloomy prognosis and says "there is no danger of catastrophe" for the financial system. [ID:nLU343674]
OCTOBER
Oct 15 - Russia's top 20 banks had restructured about 26 percent of loans to their largest borrowers by Sept. 1. [ID:nLF592601]
Oct 21 - Russia's central bank has conducted a series of banking stress tests which showed no major threat to the system. [ID:nLL682825]
- VTB (VTBR.MM) said it posted a net loss of 11.0 billion
roubles ($374.8 million) in the second quarter of 2009, but said
the worst was over. [ID:nLL696643]
Oct 29 - Moody's expects bad loans at Russian banks to rise to 20 percent of the total portfolio this year and to 25 percent in 2010. [ID:nL012582]
Oct 30 - The Russian government will more than halve the funds aimed at supporting banks in 2010 to 100 billion roubles. [ID:nLU657368]
NOVEMBER
Nov 20 - Moody's sees VTB, Sberbank loan losses at 16-27 percent. [ID:nLK587383]
Nov 23 - Russia central banker says bad loan growth yet to peak. [ID:nGEE5AM2LM]
DECEMBER
Dec 9 - The share of bad loans in Russian banks' portfolios may stop growing by the second half of 2010, and total loan losses may reach 14 percent of banks' portfolios by 2012, Standard & Poor's ratings agency said. [ID:nGEE5B8194]
Dec 17 - Russia central bank sees more bank failures in 2010. [ID:nLDE5BG1QK]
- VTB said it may return to black in the second quarter of 2010, and provisions should peak at 10 percent to 12 percent in the first half. [ID:nLDE5BG0BV]
Dec 30 - Non-performing loans at Russian banks' picked up slightly to stand at 5.2 percent of the total loan portfolio as of Dec. 1. [ID:nLDE5BT0DT] ($1=30.16 Rouble) (Compiled by Dmitry Sergeyev; editing by Simon Jessop)
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