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U.S., Germany say Iran not ready for nuclear deal
ANKARA/MUNICH, Germany |
ANKARA/MUNICH, Germany (Reuters) - The United States and Germany said on Saturday they saw no sign Tehran would make concessions on its nuclear programme, despite upbeat comments from Iran's foreign minister over prospects for a deal.
Iran's Manouchehr Mottaki said he had "a very good meeting" with the head of the U.N. nuclear agency on a plan to swap Iran's low-enriched uranium for higher-grade nuclear fuel to be used in a Tehran reactor producing medical isotopes.
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director-General Yukiya Amano said he wanted dialogue with Iran to speed up.
"Dialogue is continuing, this should be accelerated. That's the point," he told reporters on the sidelines of an annual security conference in Munich. He added that during the meeting Mottaki had made no new proposal on the swap plan.
An accord on exchanging fuel could mark a major breakthrough in the long-running dispute over Iran's nuclear programme, which the West fears could be used to produce an atomic bomb.
But U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Iran had failed to address Western concerns and suggested it was time for more sanctions on the Islamic Republic, which denies its nuclear programme has a military goal.
"I don't have the sense that we're close to an agreement," Gates told reporters in Ankara where he met Turkish leaders.
Mottaki said on Friday he saw good prospects for agreement, but restated two conditions that could be stumbling blocks -- that any fuel exchange must be simultaneous and that Iran would determine quantities involved.
After his talks on Saturday with the IAEA'S Amano, Mottaki said Iran might want to exchange less than the 1,200 kg of uranium which world powers have asked it to part with in one go.
"We determine the quantity on the basis of our needs and we would inform the parties about our requirements," he told reporters at a Munich security conference.
Tomas Valasek, director of foreign policy and defense, Center for European Reform, said if the needs of Iran's research reactor were to dictate the process there would be no agreement.
"That's a deal breaker, because of course the whole idea behind the deal is let's get all of the stuff out so that we win more time so that the Israelis don't feel itchy and don't bomb Iran in the next few weeks," he said.
The five permanent U.N. Security Council members plus Germany met on Friday to discuss efforts to persuade Iran to halt its nuclear enrichment programme, but China made clear it was too soon to discuss further sanctions.
A Chinese diplomat said the major powers should respond to comments from President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad who, in contrast to Mottaki, said on Tuesday Iran could send low-enriched uranium (LEU) abroad before getting reactor fuel back.
"REACHING INTO NOTHING"
Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Ivanov told reporters in Munich that any sanctions against Iran should focus on stopping nuclear proliferation rather than target its economy.
German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle said Iran had so far failed to dispel Western scepticism that it was prepared to make meaningful concessions over its nuclear programme.
"Our hand is still reaching out toward them. But so far it's reaching out into nothingness," he said. "And I've seen nothing since yesterday that makes me want to change that view."
Gates said Iran's response had been disappointing and suggested it was time to move ahead with more sanctions on Iran, which has already had three sets of United Nations sanctions imposed for its failure to halt uranium enrichment.
"If they are prepared to take up the original proposal of the P-5 plus one of delivering 1,200 kilograms of their low enriched uranium, all at once to an agreed party, I think there would be a response to that," he added, referring to the five permanent U.N. Security Council members plus Germany.
"But...they have done nothing to reassure the international community that they are prepared to comply with the NPT (Non-Proliferation Treaty) or stop their progress toward a nuclear weapon, and therefore I think various nations need to think about whether the time has come for a different tack."
Western powers see the fuel swap as a means to ensure Tehran does not further enrich its uranium for use in a nuclear weapon. Iran denies it wants to make atomic bombs, but some Tehran officials have expressed strong opposition to the deal.
"In this connection you are after some kind of political fraud and intend to take away the enriched uranium material from the Iranians," parliament speaker Ali Larijani said, according to the semi-official Fars News Agency.
Some analysts interpret the mixed messages from Tehran as a sign of splits linked to political turmoil after Iran's disputed June presidential election. Others see it as a delaying tactic.
"It seems to be the old game. They are playing for time, while the international community is divided," Stephan Bierling, political science professor at the University of Regensburg.
U.S. National Security Adviser James Jones said Iran's "puzzling defiance" over its nuclear enrichment programme compelled the United States and its allies to work on a "second track of increased pressure," and said Iran could face wider sanctions or isolation.
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The deal offered Iran by the P5+1 is designed to confiscate all their unencapsulated fissile uranium, to make it impossible for them to build a nuclear bomb (as Larijani appears to suggest.) In return for abandoning this material, the Iranians would get all the nuclear fuel rods, medical isotopes and research materials they might need for ANY PEACEFUL nuclear activity; for a reasonable market price that is likely to be far lower than the Iranians would pay to do this for themselves.
The Iranians have been rumbled. They have actually refused this offer, and are offering the P5+1 a “slightly different” deal which would actually be fundamentally castrated in its effects on their nuclear bomb research. If they only wanted peaceful nuclear research, they would have accepted the P5+1 deal. There’s only one possible reason why they haven’t accepted the deal.
These deals? Imagine you say to your child,
“You can watch TV if you eat ALL of your dinner.” So the three year old replies,
“That sounds like a great deal. I agree. But I’d like to amend the deal a little bit. How about if I decide the amount of dinner I should eat, and which bits to throw away, and then I watch TV afterwards. Surely if you love me, you wouldn’t refuse a deal like that… After all, we’re exchanging the same stuff… It’s just a slight amendment.” What do you think – is this the same deal? Should you cave in? NO. You see, quantity is absolutely crucial to enforcement of the non-proliferation treaty in this case; which the Iranians have previously broken. The stubbornness of the Iranians on this point of quantity just gives us strong confirmation that Western intelligence estimates of the Iranians uranium stocks are accurate. If not so, they’d say either:
“But we don’t HAVE that quantity of uranium… We’ll prove it and straighten this out.” Or,
“Yes, we agree to the deal. [After all, it won't hurt our secret nuclear bomb programme.]” But they’re not saying either of these things, which gives us an eerie indication that the Western powers are right.
Now I don’t think the Iranians are like a three year old, that was just for the sake of argument. But really they’re currently behaving like the three-year-old in my analogy. I am stunned that ANYBODY actually believes they are acting in good faith. It’s so obvious.
There’s a darker side to this whole thing. Ahmadinejad and all his closest cohorts are hasteners. They are trying to hasten the onset of the end-times in which Mohamed, Jesus or whoever will return. They are playing a game of nuclear brinkmanship in the mistaken belief that it will ultimately help:
1. Defend Iran’s interests (grossly mistaken);
2. Start a big war (probably correct although I do not think this would be good for anyone);
3. Make the end-times come faster (they’ve been smoking something they shouldn’t have. If there are end-times, God won’t be goaded by any little Hitlers, Stalins or Ahmadinejads.)
If the Iranian dictatorship had any peaceful motives for nuclear technology they would never had needed to conceal a nuclear facility in the first place.
Their intentions should be obvious, but for those who actually believe the maniacal radicals ruling the country with an iron fist I have one question for you, how does the kool-aid taste?





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