UPDATE 2-Nvidia shares down on product transition concerns
Feb 18 (Reuters) - Shares of Nvidia Corp fell about 9 percent on Thursday on investors' concerns about upcoming product transitions away from the company's chipset business.
Several analysts, however, noted that the share drop could be a good entry point for investors and raised their price targets on the stock.
"We advise clients to buy on this negative reaction, noting that revenues, gross margins and earnings per share all have noticeable upside, both cyclically and secularly," Citigroup analyst Glen Yeung wrote in a note.
On Wednesday, the graphics chipmaker posted a better-than-expected fourth-quarter profit but revenue came in slightly below Wall Street's most bullish expectations.
For months, Nvidia has been discontinuing investment in
parts of its business due to a lawsuit with Intel Corp (INTC.O)
[ID:nN13201671].
It is shifting its focus to high-performance computing and mobile chips for devices such as tablet computers, while maintaining a core business selling graphics chips designed for games, high-definition video and advanced photo editing.
As a result, its chipset business, or collections of chips on a board that connect a computer's microprocessing brain to other parts of the computer, fell 19 percent from the last quarter.
"The chipset revenue decline is probably driving a lot of the disappointment there," said Wedbush Morgan analyst Patrick Wang.
In an early morning note to investors, he reiterated his "neutral" rating on the stock based both on increased competition from arch-foe Advanced Micro Devices's ATI, and chipset revenue declines.
He noted that although "legacy chipset sales essentially disappeared," they are expected to pick up in the fiscal first quarter.
Nvidia Chief Financial Officer David White told Reuters he expects the company's chipset business to be roughly flat this year, with no significant falloff until next year.
However, JMP Securities analyst Alex Gauna said in a note to clients that flat guidance for the April quarter is likely to prove overly conservative owing to the ramp of new products and the likelihood of share gains with the spring PC refresh cycle.
INVENTORIES AND TECHNOLOGY
Investors were also concerned about Nvidia's inventories, which analysts noted had increased by more than $53 million from the previous quarter to $330.67 million. But, that's still down 38.5 percent from the same time last year.
Nvidia should see revenue pick up pace as this inventory, mostly back-end related, moves through testing, Citigroup's Yeung wrote in a note.
However, analysts seem bullish about the company's growth trajectory and the increased focus on the new products.
Nvidia has the potential for further gross margin expansion due to the ramp of new products, JMP Securities analyst Alex Gauna wrote in a note.
"If macroeconomic conditions continue to improve, these milestones now put the company on a clear path back towards achieving and perhaps surpassing peak earnings power in the 2011 timeframe," Gauna wrote.
Nvidia's gross margins could approach 50 percent, helped by its new products and substantial growth in workstations, Yeung added.
Shares of the company fell 6.5 percent to $16.67 in afternoon trade on Nasdaq. They touched a low of $16.21 earlier in the session.
See below for price target and rating changes by various brokerages on Nvidia shares:
Brokerage Price Target ($) Rating
New Old
Canaccord Adams 21 17 Buy
Citigroup 23 21 Buy
JMP Securities 22 21 Market outperform
S&P Equity 18 16 Hold
UBS 18 16.5 Neutral (Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed in Bangalore; Editing by Unnikrishnan Nair and Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)
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