MONEY MARKETS-Dlr Libor up on Fed move, caution on Spanish repo
* Dollar Libor rates edge up after Fed discount move
* US/Euro zone rate differentials widen
* First signs of caution over Spanish repo
By Kirsten Donovan
LONDON, Feb 19 (Reuters) - Dollar interbank rates edged up on Friday after the Fed raised an emergency lending rate, a move seen as a step towards normalising ultra-loose policy which stoked expectations policy rates could go up this year.
The increase in the discount rate, the timing of which surprised markets, hit short-term rates on speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve was moving faster than expected to wind down its emergency efforts to fight the financial crisis and recession.
Meanwhile, there were further signs of tightening credit conditions in the euro zone on concerns over some countries' fiscal positions, raising expectations the European Central Bank will find it hard to unwind its extraordinary measures. The difference in outlook for future interest rates saw the euro fall to a nine-month low against the dollar and December Euribor and Eurodollar prices FEIZOEDZ0 converge to their tightest since May 2009 as the implied yield spread widened.
"While raising the discount rate will not have any tangible impact on the economy, it does send a very powerful message," Societe Generale said in a note.
"The Fed is surprising the market and moving faster than anticipated, which should move forward expectations on outright rate hikes."
Implied prospects that the Fed will raise its benchmark overnight lending target by its September meeting rose to 70 percent, from 54 percent before the Fed's announcement [ID:nN18611988].
Three-month dollar Libor rates USD3MFSR= were slightly higher at 0.25194 percent, while equivalent euro rates also edged up to 0.60625 percent EUR3MFSR= [ID:nEAP000041].
SPANISH REPO
Greek repo remained closed for business this week and analysts said there were signs of caution in the Spanish market.
"The perceived risk of a Greek government default has been pushing Greek general collateral prices wider since mid-November, but it has been the lack of appetite to take on counterparty risk with the natural holders of that debt -- Greek domestic banks -- that has, over the past month, effectively frozen the market altogether," said ICAP strategist Chris Clark.
Central clearing systems remove this counterparty risk for Italian, Irish and Portuguese repo but for the Spanish, as with the Greek, trades are settled on a bilateral basis.
"This past week has brought rumblings of Greek-style developments for Spain's repo market although the price implications of this remain modest," Clark said.
"Term Spanish general collateral has underperformed slightly against other peripherals over the period," Clark said.
Tullett Prebon quoted the one-month German general collateral rate at 0.29/0.27 percent, with the Spanish equivalent at 0.31/0.35 percent.
The broker's head of G7 market economics, Lena Komileva, said a tightening in euro zone credit conditions was worrying.
"It is concerning that tighter credit lines are drying up funding in very short maturities which makes it difficult for banks to forecast their liquidity needs and manage commercial activities," she said.
"Market confidence is fragile and credit conditions are tightening in the most vulnerable areas of the region which have been hit by deteriorating sovereign credit quality."
The spike in overnight borrowing from the ECB over the last week also indicated funding strains for some banks.
Analysts said the jump in the marginal lending was likely due to one bank misjudging its funding requirements and finding itself still shut-out from the interbank lending market, even at the shortest overnight maturities.
"The developments from the past week underscore that some banks seem to even have problems accessing the overnight market for funding," said Commerzbank strategist Christoph Rieger, adding that persistent EMU tensions will "bind the ECB's hands for longer" when it comes to tightening policy.
- Tweet this
- Link this
- Share this
- Digg this
- Reprints
Comments (0)
This discussion is now closed. We welcome comments on our articles for a limited period after their publication.



Follow Reuters