Chicago Fed national activity index rises in Jan

Mon Feb 22, 2010 8:30am EST

 NEW YORK, Feb 22 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago on Monday
said its gauge of the national economy rose in January to 0.02 from -0.58 in
December. January was its second positive level in the past three months. The
index had been consistently negative from June 2007 to October 2009.
 Monthly index:
        Jan 10   Dec 09   Nov 09   Oct 09   Sep 09        Jan 09
Current     +0.02    -0.58    +0.06    -0.88    -0.93        -4.14
Previous     N/A     -0.61    -0.39    -0.83    -0.83        -3.80
 Three-month moving average:
        Jan 10   Dec 09  Nov 09   Oct 09    Sep 09        Jan 09
Current    -0.16     -0.47   -0.59    -0.84    -0.61          -3.68
Previous     N/A     -0.61   -0.68    -0.76    -0.54          -3.64
 The three-month moving average indicates subdued inflationary pressure from
economic activity over the coming year, the Chicago Fed said.
Index subcategories:
                        Contribution to monthly index
                        in Jan 10       in Dec 09
Employment                 -0.01              -0.26
Consumption and housing    -0.45              -0.49
Production-related         +0.45              +0.14
Sales, orders, inventory   +0.04              +0.03
 NOTES:
 Zero values in the index indicate a national economy expanding at
historical trends, while negative values indicate below-trend growth and
positive values signal growth above trend, the Chicago Fed said.
 The 85 economic indicators that comprise the Chicago Fed's index are drawn
from four categories: production and income; employment, unemployment and
hours; personal consumption and housing; and sales, orders and inventories.
 The three-month moving average provides a more consistent picture of
national economic growth compared to the more volatile monthly index.




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