Chicago Fed national activity index rises in Jan
NEW YORK, Feb 22 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago on Monday said its gauge of the national economy rose in January to 0.02 from -0.58 in December. January was its second positive level in the past three months. The index had been consistently negative from June 2007 to October 2009.
Monthly index:
Jan 10 Dec 09 Nov 09 Oct 09 Sep 09 Jan 09 Current +0.02 -0.58 +0.06 -0.88 -0.93 -4.14 Previous N/A -0.61 -0.39 -0.83 -0.83 -3.80
Three-month moving average:
Jan 10 Dec 09 Nov 09 Oct 09 Sep 09 Jan 09 Current -0.16 -0.47 -0.59 -0.84 -0.61 -3.68 Previous N/A -0.61 -0.68 -0.76 -0.54 -3.64
The three-month moving average indicates subdued inflationary pressure from economic activity over the coming year, the Chicago Fed said. Index subcategories:
Contribution to monthly index
in Jan 10 in Dec 09 Employment -0.01 -0.26 Consumption and housing -0.45 -0.49 Production-related +0.45 +0.14 Sales, orders, inventory +0.04 +0.03
NOTES:
Zero values in the index indicate a national economy expanding at historical trends, while negative values indicate below-trend growth and positive values signal growth above trend, the Chicago Fed said.
The 85 economic indicators that comprise the Chicago Fed's index are drawn from four categories: production and income; employment, unemployment and hours; personal consumption and housing; and sales, orders and inventories.
The three-month moving average provides a more consistent picture of national economic growth compared to the more volatile monthly index.
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