NYMEX-Crude down on mixed economic data, technicals
* Consumer sentiment slips, weighing on crude
* U.S. retail sales up unexpectedly in February
* IEA raises global oil demand estimate for 2010
* Coming up: U.S. industrial output Monday morning
NEW YORK, March 12 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil futures fell back below $81 a barrel on Friday, as downbeat consumer sentiment data trumped an unexpected rise in retail sales, clouding the economic recovery outlook.
A break below trendline support for the front-month April contract also triggered sell stops, traders and analysts said.
"Looks like it broke trendline support around $81.64," said Tom Bentz, broker at BNP Paribas Commodity Futures Inc in New York.
U.S. consumer sentiment declined slightly in early March, with Americans less positive about the job outlook, according to Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers. [ID:nN12123839]
Sales at U.S. retailers rose unexpectedly in February despite a drop in vehicle purchases and inclement weather that was expected to curtail shopping. [ID:nN12202974]
January sales were, however, revised down to a gain of only 0.1 percent from the previously reported 0.5 percent rise.
"People are taking profits after the recent surge to above $83, and it looks like we've hit a double-top," said Mark Waggoner, president of Excel Futures in Newport Beach, California.
"People are preparing for next week's roll to May before the expiration of the April contract on March 22.... Some people are thinking there is no reason to hold on to longs here," Waggoner said.
"At the same time, you're seeing a weakening of the stock markets and that's also pulling down oil," he added.
On Wall Street, prices were barely changed as the retail sales data was offset by the weaker consumer sentiment, sending mixed signals about the economic outlook. [.N]
The dollar fell to a one-month low against the euro as risk tolerance rose on strong euro zone economic data. [USD/]
PRICES
* On the New York Mercantile Exchange at 12:50 p.m. EST (1750 GMT), April CLJ0 crude was down $1.17, or 1.42 percent, at $80.94 a barrel, trading from $80.67 to $83.16, highest front-month price since the 2010 peak at $83.95 on Jan. 11.
* In London, April Brent crude LCOJ0 was down $1.21, or 1.51 percent, at $79.07 a barrel, trading from $78.81 to $81.29.
* NYMEX April RBOB RBJ0 dropped 3.04 cents, or 1.34 percent, to $2.2416 a gallon, trading from $2.2380 to $2.2952.
* NYMEX April heating oil HOJ0 fell 3.28 cents, or 1.55 percent, to $2.0822 a gallon, trading from $2.0785 to $2.1442.
* The April/April heating oil crack spread <0#CL-HO=R> was at $6.51. It ended at $6.72 on Thursday. The April/April RBOB crack spread <0#RB-CL=R> was at $13.21. It ended Thursday at $13.31.
* The spread between the current front month and the five-year forward crude contract CLc61 was at $8.99, based on the April 2015 contract Thursday settlement at $89.93. The spread ended Thursday at $7.82.
TECHNICALS
NYMEX crude 10-day/20-day moving average: $81.12/$79.77
Technical support/resistance:
NYMEX crude: $80.81/$83.03
NYMEX heating oil: $2.0840/$2.1460
NYMEX RBOB: $2.2335/$2.31
For a full report on technicals, click on [ID:nLDE62B16V]
MARKET NEWS
* International Energy Agency on Friday lifted its absolute global demand estimate for 2010 from its forecast in February due to rising demand in developing countries. [ID:nLDE62B19O]
* IEA said global oil processing will rise by 50,000 barrels per day to 72.6 million in the second quarter compared with the January-March first quarter. [ID:nLDE62B0RD]
* Falling stocks and demand recovery will boost spot crude prices this summer, moving the market into backwardation for the first time since 2008, Goldman Sachs (GS.N) said. [ID:nLDE62B0XV] (Reporting by Gene Ramos and Robert Gibbons; Editing by Lisa Shumaker)
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