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Economy not "out of woods": Bernanke

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Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies on Capitol Hill, March 25, 2010. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies on Capitol Hill, March 25, 2010.

Credit: Reuters/Kevin Lamarque

DALLAS | Wed Apr 7, 2010 4:35pm EDT

DALLAS (Reuters) - The U.S. economy still faces significant headwinds, including a housing sector that has yet to recover convincingly and an ailing employment market, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday.

In a speech that suggested the central bank chief was in no rush to begin raising interest rates, Bernanke outlined a number of challenges to the country's growth outlook.

"Many Americans are still grappling with unemployment or foreclosure, or both," Bernanke said in prepared remarks to the Dallas Regional Chamber of Commerce. "We are far from being out of the woods.

In particular, Bernanke flagged continuing weakness in housing as a danger to the recovery, which he nonetheless said would be sustainable enough to bring down the unemployment rate slowly over time.

"We have yet to see evidence of a sustained recovery in the housing market," he said.

Against that backdrop, the Fed chairman saw no immediate reason to be worried about inflation, which he characterized as "well controlled."

In addition, inflation expectations, which Fed officials have singled out as a crucial guidepost for policy, appear to be stable, Bernanke said, both as measured by market indicators and surveys.

"Several comments by Bernanke reinforce the sense that he does not favor policy tightening given the challenges facing an economy operating well below its potential," Goldman Sachs' New York-based U.S. economists wrote in a research note.

In response to the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, the Fed slashed interest rates close to zero and undertook a host of emergency measures in an effort to thaw frozen credit markets.

Some investors are betting the central bank could begin tightening policy in the second half of this year. Others believe lingering economic fragility will keep the Fed on hold until at least 2011.

Bernanke said the Fed's ability to prevent future crises will hinge in part on the development of a resolution authority that would allow regulators to break up or wind down large financial institutions that run into trouble in an orderly fashion.

He said the Fed had already made significant changes to its regulatory approach to reflect lessons learned from the crisis.

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Comments (9)
ThricePhxFire wrote:
It is good to see a Fed chairman who understands that the American people are still going through tough times. Whether it be debts due to home loans or credit cards or the simple fact that unemployment percentages still need to go down a little more before we state “We’re OK”. For once a good decision by a Fed Chairman.

Apr 07, 2010 1:50pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
Gotthardbahn wrote:
Mr. Bernanke, along with some members of the FOMC, may appear to be talking to politicians and the American people, but in reality their remarks are directed at the bond market and the traders toiling therein. These scholarly gentleman at the Fed are mortified at the vast supply of debt being issued by Washington on a weekly basis with no let-up in sight. Their major fear is of a huge back-up in interest rates on the back of rising bond yields. The only thing they can do to forestall, if not actually prevent, such an occurence is to convince the bond market vigilantes that inflation is not a problem (check); that the housing market is still in disarray (check); the labour market is weak (check); and any other measures Mr. Bernanke & Co. can think of to assure the bond market that administered rates will stay low for a very long time, thus no need for the bond market to sell off. It certainly doesn’t hurt to have Mr. Hoenig of Kansas city sounding a note of scepticism about the whole strategy. Bottom line: Managing the expectations of the rather intense individuals trading bonds for a living is no easy task – Mr. Bernanke, I believe, is up to the task.

Apr 07, 2010 2:12pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
karl12345 wrote:
I see young men walking with their bedding on their shoulder. They have no job, no place to live and no future. These people are not counted as out of work because they ran out of all payment for out of work for a year or more.

The Fed Chairman knows the DOW has been staggering along for 6 months with no change. It will not change until the investors see some stability. This will happen after November 2010.

Apr 07, 2010 2:22pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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