Independent evaluation recognizes Cenovus`s vast production potential

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Thu Apr 22, 2010 6:00am EDT

http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20100422005421/en

5.4 billion barrels of best estimate bitumen economic contingent resources
CALGARY, Alberta--(Business Wire)--
An external evaluation of Cenovus Energy Inc.`s (TSX, NYSE: CVE) bitumen
economic contingent resources by an independent qualified reserves evaluator
(IQRE), McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd., supports the company`s view that
the oil assets in its portfolio have great potential for long term development.
The estimates of Cenovus`s bitumen economic contingent resources, at the end of
2009, range from 3.9 to 7.3 billion barrels (Bbbls) of bitumen before royalties,
with a best estimate of 5.4 Bbbls of bitumen. These estimates of contingent
resources are economic at about US$61 WTI, the same commodity pricing assumption
used for Cenovus`s 2009 year end reserves evaluation. 

"I am excited that this external evaluation confirms Cenovus`s tremendous
potential. Investors are receiving lots of information from energy companies
about their resource bases, determined using a variety of methods," said Brian
Ferguson, Cenovus President & Chief Executive Officer. "There are a few items I
would like to highlight for investors as they assess what we've released today.
First of all, it is very important to understand that our numbers were
determined using some of the most rigorous standards in the industry. The
independent qualified reserves evaluator based the assessment on comprehensive
asset data, taking into account economic thresholds. It`s also important to note
that we have the track record to show that we can bring resources onto
production with industry leading in-situ projects such as Foster Creek and
Christina Lake. Finally, these resources represent only a portion of our assets.
As we continue to assess and develop our resource base, it will become even more
evident that Cenovus is on track to offer solid growth and returns for decades."


The abundant amount of information already gathered by Cenovus through its
assessment work helped the evaluator gain a solid understanding of the company`s
bitumen assets. Cenovus has drilled more than 2,600 individual stratigraphic
wells on its bitumen lands, including nearly 200 this year alone. The
information gathered from those wells is supplemented by about 17,000 kilometres
of 2D seismic and 555 square kilometres of 3D seismic. This work will continue
to play an important role in the years to come since about 50% of Cenovus`s
existing bitumen lands are not included in the contingent resource assessment
because the company has yet to do drilling and seismic work on those assets. 

"As we continue to appraise our assets through techniques such as seismic and
stratigraphic well drilling, we will gain a greater understanding of our total
resource potential," Ferguson said. "Our initial assessment work has revealed
immense opportunity from our in-situ bitumen lands and we`re only at the
beginning. As more data is collected, including information about the bitumen
potential of our carbonates, the economic contingent resource estimates are
expected to grow in future years." 

Evaluation guides future development

The economic contingent resources evaluation will help Cenovus prioritize and
potentially accelerate new projects as part of its plan to grow its oil
production. The evaluation looked at assets that have received limited attention
in the past, including future phases at Foster Creek and Christina Lake as well
as ten other identified properties - five in the Foster Creek and Christina Lake
areas that Cenovus jointly owns, and five in the Borealis and Pelican Lake-Grand
Rapids areas that Cenovus wholly owns. 

The best estimate for Cenovus`s bitumen economic contingent resources is about
four times the amount of year end 2009 proved plus probable bitumen reserves for
the company. The estimated economic contingent resources for a project will be
eligible for consideration as reserves when the regulatory application has been
submitted with no major issues raised and there is intent to proceed by Cenovus
and its partners as evidenced by major capital expenditures planned within five
years. 

The regulatory approval process is now underway for expansions at Foster Creek
and Christina Lake. The company anticipates obtaining regulatory approval for
Foster Creek phases F, G and H, representing 45,000 barrels per day (bbls/d) of
production capacity net to Cenovus, by the end of this year. Regulatory approval
for Christina Lake phases E, F and G, representing 60,000 bbls/d of production
capacity net to Cenovus, is anticipated by the end of 2011. 

The company expects to provide more details about its development plans in June
at its investor day events. At that time, Cenovus also plans to provide
additional disclosure on the petroleum initially in place for bitumen. That
assessment is under way and will give investors a more complete sense of the
amount of bitumen, beyond reserves and contingent resources, that could
eventually be accessed from the company`s existing lands, dependent upon
additional drilling data, future advancements in technology and sufficient oil
prices.

 2009 Cenovus Resources & Reserves1                                                                 
 (Before Royalties, at constant prices)                                                         
 (As of December 31, 2009)                                                                      
 Economic Contingent Resources2            Bitumen (billion barrels)                              
 Low Estimate (1C)                         3.9                                                    
 Best Estimate (2C)                        5.4                                                    
 High Estimate (3C)                        7.3                                                    
                                                                                                
 Reserves                                  Bitumen                        Future bitumen        
                                           (million barrels)              development capital   
                                                                          (C$ billions)         
 Total Proved                              866                            0.2                   
    Developed                              132                            4.3                   
    Undeveloped                            734                                                  
 Total Probable                            479                                                  


1 Reserves and contingent resources definitions provided below. 

2 For a description of the contingencies associated with Cenovus`s 2009
contingent resources, please see the definitions section below. 

External assessment provides credibility

"Cenovus strives to be transparent in all aspects of our business, including the
reporting of our contingent resources, which is why we have implemented this
rigorous standard of disclosure," Ferguson said. "We want to be among the best
in the industry, providing investors with the most credible information possible
to help them understand the growth potential of our company." 

Cenovus`s decision to use IQREs to assess its assets eliminates the potential
for internal company bias and provides a high level of credibility to the
evaluation. The evaluators reach their conclusions by analyzing raw asset data
and examining similar operating projects. They generally require at least one
drilled well per section for a resource to be classified as contingent. Cenovus
also asked that the economic viability of the contingent resources be tested at
the same commodity price assumptions that were used for the 2009 reserves
evaluation. These prices were determined in accordance with the U.S. Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC) requirements.

 Prices Used for Resources & Reserves Estimates                 
                                                2009 Average  
 Oil                                                          
 West Texas Intermediate (WTI) (US$ per bbl)    61.18         
 Western Canada Select (WCS) (US$ per bbl)      51.66         
 Natural gas (NYMEX) (US$ per Mcf)              3.87          


Bitumen resources focus of growth

Cenovus`s bitumen economic contingent resources currently comprise 98% of the
company`s overall economic contingent resources. The remaining amount is the
company`s conventional oil and natural gas contingent resources. While
conventional assets are not viewed as a growth area for Cenovus, the company
plans to maintain substantial conventional production, that will provide a
steady stream of cash flow to support the growth of Cenovus`s oil production.
Production at the end of the fourth quarter of 2009 was more than 240,000
barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d), of which about 55,000 bbls/d was
bitumen. Cenovus has reported total proved and probable bitumen, oil and natural
gas reserves of approximately 2.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent (BOE),
before royalties, at year end 2009. 

Technology development key to efficient production

Cenovus, through its predecessor companies, has been building this inventory of
high quality properties for decades. Its contingent resources are not only
significant in quantity but are also exceptional in quality. These factors,
combined with Cenovus`s leadership in technology development and successful low
cost strategy for expanding existing operations and establishing new ones,
provide shareholders with confidence in the company`s ability to create the
greatest value from the vast resources being evaluated. 

About 80% of Alberta`s bitumen resources will be developed using in-situ
production technology because they are too far below the surface to be mined.
All of Cenovus`s bitumen contingent resources are expected to be produced using
wells and pumps, rather than mining techniques. 

The economic contingent resource evaluations were based on bitumen production
using proven technologies - steam assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) and/or cyclic
steam stimulation (CSS). Cenovus is an industry leader in the development of
SAGD technology and operates the longest running commercial SAGD facility at
Foster Creek. Continuous innovations have increased production at SAGD wells
and, at the same time, decreased the impact on the environment. 

Cenovus`s SAGD operations have an environmental footprint comparable to
conventional oil production and Cenovus continues to look for ways to reduce
that footprint even further. The company has an industry leading average steam
to oil ratio (SOR) of less than 2.5 and expects to continue to improve upon that
with technological advances. Emissions from the production of a barrel of oil at
Cenovus`s SAGD facilities are comparable to emissions from conventional
production of heavy oil in many other regions.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 
 Effective January 1, 2010, Cenovus changed its reporting currency to Canadian dollars from U.S. dollars and its reporting of production volumes to a before royalties basis. The change was made to better reflect the business of Cenovus and to allow for increased comparability to the company`s peers. To assist with the transition to this basis of reporting, the company`s consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2009 and selected financial information for 2009 have been prepared in    
 Canadian dollars and are now posted on www.cenovus.com.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         


DEFINITIONS

Proved reserves - those quantities of petroleum, which, by analysis of
geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to
be economically producible from a given date forward, from known reservoirs and
under existing economic conditions, operating methods and government
regulations. 

Probable reserves -the estimated quantities of petroleum that are less certain
to be recovered than proved reserves, but which, together with proved reserves,
are as likely as not to be recovered. 

Contingent resources - those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given
date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established
technology or technology under development, but which are not currently
considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies.
Contingencies may include such factors as economic, legal, environmental,
political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to
classify as contingent resources the estimated discovered recoverable quantities
associated with a project in the early evaluation stage. For Cenovus, the
contingencies which must be overcome to enable the classification of bitumen
contingent resources as reserves include regulatory application submission with
no major issues raised, access to markets and intent to proceed by the operator
and partners as evidenced by major capital expenditures planned within five
years. Our estimate of contingent resources has not been adjusted for risk based
on the chance of development. 

Economiccontingent resources - those contingent resources that are currently
economically recoverable based on specific forecasts of commodity prices and
costs. In Cenovus`s case, contingent resources were evaluated using the same
commodity price assumptions that were used for the 2009 reserves evaluation,
which were determined in accordance with SEC requirements. 

Best estimate - considered to be the best estimate of the quantity of resources
that will actually be recovered. It is equally likely that the actual remaining
quantities recovered will be greater or less than the best estimate. Those
resources that fall within the best estimate have a 50% confidence level that
the actual quantities recovered will equal or exceed the estimate. 

Low estimate - considered to be a conservative estimate of the quantity of
resources that will actually be recovered. It is likely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the low estimate. Those resources at
the low end of the estimate range have the highest degree of certainty - a 90%
confidence level - that the actual quantities recovered will equal or exceed the
estimate. 

High estimate - considered to be an optimistic estimate of the quantity of
resources that will actually be recovered. It is unlikely that the actual
remaining quantities of resources recovered will meet or exceed the high
estimate. Those resources at the high end of the estimate range have a lower
degree of certainty - a 10% confidence level - that the actual quantities
recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
 Conference Call Today - 1:30 p.m. Mountain Time (3:30 p.m. Eastern Time)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
 Cenovus will host a conference call today Thursday, April 22, 2010 starting at 1:30 p.m. MT (3:30 p.m. ET). Phil Welch, President & Managing Director of McDaniel & Associates Consultants will explain resource classification and Cenovus President & Chief Executive Officer Brian Ferguson will provide details about the company`s resource potential.                                                                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
 To participate, please dial 888-231-8191 (toll-free in North America) or 647-427-7450 approximately 10 minutes prior to the conference call. An archived recording of the call will be available from approximately 4:30 p.m. MT on April 22 until midnight April 29, 2010 by dialing 800-642-1687 or 416-849-0833 and entering conference ID 59166173. A live audio webcast of the conference call will also be available via Cenovus`s website, www.cenovus.com. The webcast will be archived for approximately 90 days.  


Cenovus Energy Inc.

Cenovus Energy is a leading integrated oil company headquartered in Calgary,
Alberta, with an enterprise value of approximately C$26 billion. The company`s
operations include its growing enhanced oil projects and established natural gas
and crude oil production in Alberta and Saskatchewan as well as ownership in two
high quality refineries in Illinois and Texas. Cenovus is respectful of the
environment and communities where it operates and is committed to applying
fresh, progressive thinking to the development of energy resources the world
needs. Cenovus shares, which trade under the symbol CVE, are listed on the
Toronto and New York stock exchanges. For more information, go to
www.cenovus.com. 

ADVISORY

OIL AND GAS INFORMATION 

There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion
of the contingent resources. The estimates of proved and probable reserves,
proved plus probable reserves, and of low, best, and high contingent resources
represent arithmetic sums of multiple estimates within such classes, which
statistical principles indicate may be misleading as to volumes that may
actually be recovered. Low, best, and high estimate economic contingent
resources have been estimated by McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. on a
project or area level only. The aggregated low estimate results shown may have a
higher level of confidence than the individual projects, and the aggregated high
estimate results shown may have a lower level of confidence than the individual
projects. Readers should give attention to the estimates of individual classes
of reserves and economic contingent resources and appreciate the differing
probabilities of recovery associated with each class. 

National Instrument 51-101 ("NI 51-101") imposes disclosure standards for
Canadian public companies engaged in oil and gas activities. Our disclosure of
annual reserves data is made in accordance with U.S. disclosure requirements
pursuant to an exemption received from the Canadian Securities Administrators.
Accordingly, the proved and probable reserves data provided by Cenovus may
differ from corresponding information prepared in accordance with NI 51-101.
Information about the differences between the U.S. requirements and the NI
51-101 requirements is set forth under the heading "Note Regarding Reserves Data
and Other Oil and Gas Information" in Cenovus`s 2009 Annual Information Form,
available at www.cenovus.com or www.sedar.com. 

In this news release, certain natural gas volumes have been converted to barrels
of oil equivalent (BOE) on the basis of one barrel (bbl) to six thousand cubic
feet (Mcf). BOE may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A
conversion ratio of one bbl to six Mcf is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent
value equivalency at the well head. 

FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION 

This news release contains certain forward-looking statements and information
about our current expectations, estimates and projections about the future,
based on certain assumptions made by the Company in light of its experience and
perception of historical trends. Although we believe that the expectations
represented by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, there can be no
assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. 

Forward-looking statements and information are identified by words such as
"anticipate", "believe", "expect", "plan", "project", "could", "on track" or
similar expressions suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an
outlook, including statements about our strategy, schedules, land positions,
production, including, without limitation, the stability or growth thereof,
reserves and resources, material properties, uses and development of our
technology, risk mitigation efforts, commodity prices, shareholder value, cash
flow, funding alternatives, costs and expected impact of future commitments in
respect of our ongoing operations generally and with respect to certain
properties and interests held by Cenovus. Readers are cautioned not to place
undue reliance on forward-looking statements and information as our actual
results may differ materially from those expressed or implied. 

Forward-looking statements involve a number of assumptions, risks and
uncertainties, some of which are specific to Cenovus and others that apply to
the industry generally. The risk factors and uncertainties that could cause
actual results to differ materially, and the factors or assumptions on which the
forward-looking information is based, include, among other things: volatility of
and assumptions regarding oil and gas prices; assumptions inherent in our
current guidance; our projected capital investment levels, the flexibility of
capital spending plans and the associated source of funding; the effect of our
risk management program, including the impact of derivative financial
instruments and our access to various sources of capital; accuracy of cost
estimates; fluctuations in commodity, currency and interest rates; fluctuations
in product supply and demand; market competition, including from alternative
energy sources; risks inherent in our marketing operations, including credit
risks; success of hedging strategies; maintaining a desirable debt to cash flow
ratio; accuracy of our reserves, resources and future production estimates;
estimates of quantities of oil, bitumen, natural gas and liquids from properties
and other sources not currently classified as proved; our ability to replace and
expand oil and gas reserves; the ability of us and ConocoPhillips to maintain
our relationship and to successfully manage and operate the North American
integrated heavy oil business and to obtain necessary regulatory approvals; the
successful and timely implementation of capital projects; reliability of our
assets; refining and marketing margins; potential disruption or unexpected
technical difficulties in developing new products and manufacturing processes;
potential failure of new products to achieve acceptance in the market;
unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing or modifying
manufacturing or refining facilities; unexpected difficulties in manufacturing,
transporting or refining synthetic crude oil; risks associated with technology
and its application to our business; our ability to generate sufficient cash
flow from operations to meet our current and future obligations; our ability to
access external sources of debt and equity capital; the timing and the costs of
well and pipeline construction; our ability to secure adequate product
transportation; changes in royalty, tax, environmental, greenhouse gas, carbon
and other laws or regulations, or the interpretations of such laws or
regulations, as adopted or proposed, the impact thereof and the costs associated
with compliance; the expected impact and timing of various accounting
pronouncements, rule changes and standards on us, our financial results and our
consolidated financial statements; changes in the general economic, market and
business conditions; the political and economic conditions in the countries in
which we operate; the occurrence of unexpected events such as war, terrorist
threats, hostilities, civil insurrection and instability affecting countries in
which we operate; risks associated with existing and potential future lawsuits
and regulatory actions made against us; our financing plans and initiatives; the
expected impacts of the plan of arrangement with Encana Corporation
("Arrangement") on our employees, operations, suppliers, business partners and
stakeholders and our ability to realize the expected benefits of the
Arrangement; our ability to obtain financing in the future on a stand alone
basis; the historical financial information pertaining to our assets as operated
by Encana Corporation prior to November 30, 2009 may not be representative of
our results as an independent entity; our limited operating history as a
separate entity and other risks and uncertainties described from time to time in
the filings we make with securities regulatory authorities. Readers are
cautioned that the foregoing list is not exhaustive. 

Many of these risk factors are discussed in further detail in our 2009 Annual
Information Form/Form 40-F and Management`s Discussion and Analysis for the year
ended December 31, 2009, each as filed with Canadian securities regulatory
authorities at www.sedar.com and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission at
www.sec.gov, and available at www.cenovus.com. 

The forward-looking statements and information contained in this document,
including the assumptions, risks and uncertainties underlying such statements,
are made as of the date of this document and, except as required by law, we do
not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of such
information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
The forward-looking statements and information contained in this document are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.

CENOVUS CONTACTS:

Investors:
Paul Gagne
Vice-President, Investor Relations
403-766-4737

Susan Grey
Manager, Investor Relations
403-766-4751

James Fann
Analyst, Investor Relations
403-766-6700

Media:
Rhona DelFrari
Manager, Media Relations
403-766-4740




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