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Fed's Hoenig says low rates can lead to bubbles: report

The U.S. Federal Reserve Building is pictured in Washington, January 26, 2010. REUTERS/Jason Reed

The U.S. Federal Reserve Building is pictured in Washington, January 26, 2010.

Credit: Reuters/Jason Reed

WASHINGTON | Sat May 15, 2010 10:13am EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Keeping interest rates low for a long time can create ripe conditions for dangerous asset price bubbles, a Federal Reserve official said in a Wall Street Journal interview published on Saturday.

Thomas Hoenig, president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, said it was "understandable" that the U.S. central bank cut interest rates to near zero during the financial crisis, but it was time to at least start reconsidering that stance.

"We've gotten through the crisis," he said. "We are not out of the woods, the economy isn't booming, but we are now in a position where we ought to be thinking about the long run. That's what central banks should do."

Hoenig has dissented at the past three meetings of the Fed's policy-setting committee because he is uncomfortable with the central bank's pledge to keep rates ultra-low for "an extended period" of time.

He said keeping rates near zero gave Wall Street banks an advantage over Main Street because financial firms could borrow at low rates and lend or invest for bigger returns.

"I can't guarantee the carpenter down the street a margin. I really don't think we should be guaranteeing Wall Street a margin by guaranteeing them a zero or near zero interest rate environment," he said.

The Fed has said that its low-rate pledge will stand as long as the economy is weak, unemployment high, and inflation low. But Hoenig said monetary policy "has to be about more than just targeting inflation.

"It is a more powerful tool than that."

He also said Greece's debt crisis was a lesson for the United States, which has its own massive debt pile that could eventually drive up interest rates if creditors grow uncomfortable with cheaply financing large deficits.

"We shouldn't be so, if I may say, arrogant to think that that couldn't happen to us or others," he said. "We're fortunate, we're a much bigger economy and we're the reserve currency."

He said U.S. deficits were not sustainable, and there could be pressure on the Fed to print money to pay off debts. If that happens, "the outcome of that will be a very strong inflationary bias," Hoenig said.

(Reporting by Emily Kaiser; Editing by Eric Walsh)

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Comments (18)
thecanimal wrote:
It appears at least one Gov’t worker speaks the truth but has no power to do anything about it and will be silenced by others.

May 15, 2010 11:10am EDT  --  Report as abuse
Option wrote:
Federal Reserve chief Hoenig is on the right path. However, with the massive number of foreclosures housing values are correcting and correcting to the foreclosed values in many many neighborhoods. Not all, however, alot. In those neighborhoods where values are so low, increasing the rate will stifle those markets into a downward spiral from already low values. So how does the Fed manage submarkets and prevent markets from declining more based upon a change in Fed rates yet hone in on markets that may start to heat up to fast. It seems to me the Fed is on the brink of creating a massive amount of volatility in the housing market across the country.

May 15, 2010 11:17am EDT  --  Report as abuse
smurphy910 wrote:
Mr. Hoenig s correct. I hope we are not bending to pressure of the administration by the Fed to achieve something of balance in our people. If these rates are raised soon we will have zealots making money on the poor.

May 15, 2010 11:17am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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