The dome of the Capitol is reflected in a puddle in Washington February 17, 2012.REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque

Another debt ceiling debacle could sink the economy

Last year's Congressional debt standoff hurt consumer confidence more than the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Betsey Johnson and Justin Wolfers write. This time could be worse.  Read more at Counterparties  

Divided Europe spreads contagion fears in U.S.

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U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner (2nd L) speaks next to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke during the opening ceremony of the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing May 24, 2010. REUTERS/Frederic J. Brown/Pool

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner (2nd L) speaks next to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke during the opening ceremony of the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse in Beijing May 24, 2010.

Credit: Reuters/Frederic J. Brown/Pool

NEW YORK | Mon May 24, 2010 5:50pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The European debt crisis drew new cries of alarm on Monday as a top White House adviser warned it could slow a global economic recovery, a European Union official sharply critiqued Germany, and investors worried a Spanish bank bailout could signal further distress.

Financial markets were already factoring in European risk for the U.S. recovery when White House economic adviser Lawrence Summers said "recent events in Europe have introduced uncertainty into the prospects of global growth."

Summers listed Europe's debt problems as one several potential troubles facing the U.S. economy in a speech at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.

The euro swooned, U.S. stocks fell and gold climbed 1 percent as some investors worried that Europe's troubles could trigger a double-dip U.S. recession.

Investors' nagging doubts over whether Europe has a unified commitment to address its debt problems were underscored by comments from the president of the European Commission, Jose Manuel Barroso, who called Germany's aim to modify provisions of the European Union treaty governing member states' budgets "naive," saying it could prompt other members to propose additional changes.

"We will not propose treaty modifications even though we are open to good ideas," Barroso told the German newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

"It would also be naive to think one can reform the treaty only in areas Germany considers important," he said in comments that highlighted the difficulties Europe faces in enacting reforms while its leaders remain divided.

Europe's problems grew over the weekend when the Bank of Spain took over the running of a small savings bank, CajaSur, after its planned merger with another small Spanish lender failed.

It was the first of what could be several rescues before mid-year and contributed to weakness in the euro ,which fell more than 1 percent against the U.S. dollar.

The Spanish bailout was "a sign that sovereign debt risk is spreading from the public to the private sector," said Dan Cook, a senior market analyst at IG Markets Inc in Chicago. "This move further highlights the risk to, and weakness in, the European banking sector."

German Chancellor Angela Merkel had been reluctant to come to the aid of indebted European states such as Greece, Spain, Ireland and Portugal that have undermined confidence in the euro zone economy. The euro zone is the No. 1 buyer of U.S. exports.

But Merkel relented earlier this month, leading the European Union to announce a $1 trillion safety net for euro zone states and a 110 billion euro aid package for Greece.

The measures have yet to restore confidence in Greece, where austerity measures have led to violent street protests.

After months of pressure from investors and EU partners, the Spanish government last week finally announced sweeping austerity measures that would cut civil service pay 5 percent this year, freeze wages in 2011, and trim 13,000 public sector jobs in a country that already has 20 percent unemployment.

That in turn led the country's largest labor union to threaten a general strike, pitting the Socialist government against its traditional base of support.

The International Monetary Fund on Monday said Spain faces severe challenges, citing "a dysfunctional labor market, the deflating property bubble, a large fiscal deficit, heavy private sector and external indebtedness, anemic productivity growth, weak competitiveness, and a banking sector with pockets of weakness." [nLDE64N14D]

U.S. stocks ended lower, with the Dow industrials down 1.2 percent to post their lowest close since February 10. The broader S&P 500 lost 1.3 percent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.7 percent.

"Europe remains the dominant issue, and people suspect that the issues there will translate into slower growth in the United States," said Gary Shilling, president of investment research firm A. Gary Shilling & Co in Springfield, New Jersey.

Gold prices rose more than 1 percent as investors moved into a traditional retreat during uncertain times.

"People are going into safety. Things are not going to change overnight," said George Goncalves, head of U.S. interest rate strategy with Nomura Securities International in New York.

(Additional reporting by Caren Bohan in Washington; Ryan Vlastelica, Wangfend Zhou and Walter Brandimarte in New York; Judy MacInnes and Paul Day in Madrid; Brian Rohan in Berlin; Gavin Jones in Rome; and Ian Chua in London; Editing by Leslie Adler)

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Comments (10)
lx008 wrote:
Minimal impact?kidding,Europe is the biggest trade partner of China in 2009.To please China,maybe US should import more Chinese goods if europeans lost purchasing power.For Chinese government hasn’t done enough to improve domestic demand.

May 24, 2010 4:54am EDT  --  Report as abuse
charluca wrote:
united we fall.

May 24, 2010 5:18am EDT  --  Report as abuse
cranston wrote:
China is unimportant. They are mentioning problems with their exports because when their economy faulters the Communists will fall. As for Europe and the United States – this is a normal business contraction. As for the rest of the world – they had been warned over and over again of the dangers of ‘Free Trade’ and their governments opted for the fast buck rather than to ensure that their people were clothed, fed and at least a little happy. Now they face losing whatever industry they had become dependent on, food insecurity and insurrections. China is a joke.

May 24, 2010 6:25am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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