Stocks fall on economic outlook

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, July 22, 2010. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, July 22, 2010.

Credit: Reuters/Brendan McDermid

NEW YORK | Wed Jul 28, 2010 4:29pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Wednesday after weak durable goods figures and a downbeat assessment of the economy from the Fed's Beige Book kept the benchmark S&P 500 trapped below its 200-day moving average.

A three-day rally built on strong earnings boosted the index to close Monday above its 200-day moving average, a closely watched measure of market direction. It has since stalled as trading remains rangebound and technically driven.

"In the short run technicals are dominating daily movements here until we get a fundamental (piece of news) to knock us off that," said Jim Paulsen, chief investment officer at Wells Capital Management.

Boeing Co (BA.N) disappointed investors after it forecast full-year earnings slightly below estimates. The plane maker's shares fell 1.9 percent to $67.32.

The U.S. Federal Reserve's Beige Book, a summary of national economic conditions, added to the disappointment. It indicated activity was not as robust in a few districts and had lost steam over the past several weeks.

"With the nice rally that we had, it looks like some profit-takers are starting to take charge here and the Beige Book sparked it," said Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer's Investment Research in Cincinnati, Ohio.

"Earnings have been good, but the overall economy is still sluggish at best and is not coming back as much as we would have hoped," he said.

The S&P's 200-day moving average is currently around 1,114. Investors are struggling to either define it as the top of a recent rally or a consolidation point leading to further gains.

Paulsen said holding above 1,100 could set the S&P for a run at the 1,150 level if fundamentals are supportive. Some investors are wary of committing ahead of a report on weekly jobless claims and U.S. economic growth later this week, he said.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI dropped 39.81 points, or 0.38 percent, to 10,497.88. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX dropped 7.72 points, or 0.69 percent, to 1,106.12. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC dropped 23.69 points, or 1.04 percent, to 2,264.56.

With 49 percent of S&P 500 companies reporting earnings, 77 percent have beat expectations, according to Thomson Reuters Proprietary Research.

Defense contractor General Dynamics Corp (GD.N) and ConocoPhillips (COP.N), the third largest U.S. oil company, both posted stronger-than-expected quarterly profits. General Dynamics finished up slightly at $61.80 while ConocoPhillips ended unchanged at $54.44.

Homebuilders fell sharply a day after Meritage Homes Corp (MTH.N) reported a 22 percent sales decline following the expiration of a federal homebuyer tax credit.

Meritage dipped 6.3 percent to $16.84, and the PHLX Housing Index .HGX fell 3 percent.

New orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods unexpectedly fell for a second straight month in June, posting their largest decline since August, a reminder of the challenges faced by the economy.

About 7.11 billion shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, short of last year's estimated daily average of 9.65 billion.

Declining stocks outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a ratio of over 2 to 1, while on the Nasdaq, about five stocks fell for every two that rose.

(Reporting by Edward Krudy; Additional reporting by Leah Schnurr; Editing by Kenneth Barry)

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Comments (7)
Gotthardbahn wrote:
Right, as if durable goods orders is a reliable statistic. In all the years I’ve been in the markets, I can count the number of times analysts have correctly predicted this number on my hand, without using my thumb. Given that Boeing took plenty of orders at the recent air show in the UK, watch this number to start skewing sharply stronger in the months to come.

Jul 28, 2010 9:01am EDT  --  Report as abuse
jasongb wrote:
The overall growth perdiction is still over 2% GDP which is not anything to run from. Chiken littles…

Jul 28, 2010 11:37am EDT  --  Report as abuse
STORYBURN17 wrote:
The market is looking for that next big thing, and it could be the jobs report

Jul 28, 2010 1:06pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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