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Factbox: Senate poll averages by Real Clear Politics

Thu Jul 29, 2010 2:10pm EDT

(Reuters) - Democrats appear likely to narrowly hold their Senate majority in November's congressional elections, although Republicans could make big gains, according to poll averages compiled by the website Real Clear Politics.

Republicans must sweep nearly all of the competitive races to pick up the 10 seats needed for a majority in the Senate, where Democrats now hold a 59-41 edge.

The polls show Republicans leading in races that could give them a gain of six seats. That would leave Democrats with a narrow 52-47 edge, with independent Charlie Crist winning in Florida.

In the House of Representatives, the Real Clear Politics averages show an essentially even battle. Democrats lead for 202 seats to 201 for Republicans, with 32 contests considered toss-ups in the battle for a 218-seat majority.

In the generic congressional ballot, the latest Reuters/Ipsos national poll showed registered voters preferred the Republican candidate over the Democrat in their House district by 46 percent to 44 percent.

Here is a look at the Real Clear Politics poll averages in the most competitive Senate races, with the party currently holding the seat in parenthesis.

* California (Democrat) - Democrat Barbara Boxer leads Republican Carly Fiorina by 4.4 percentage points.

* Colorado (Democrat) - Although a primary has not been held to choose candidates, both likely Republican contenders have narrow leads on Democratic Senator Michael Bennet and his primary opponent Andrew Romanoff.

* Florida (Republican) - Independent Charlie Crist leads Republican Marco Rubio by 3.6 percentage points, with Democrats Kendrick Meek and Jeff Greene -- who meet in an August primary -- trailing badly.

* Illinois (Democrat) - Republican Mark Kirk leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias by 1.7 percentage points.

* Kentucky (Republican) - Republican Rand Paul leads Democrat Jack Conway by 3.6 percentage points.

* Missouri (Republican) - Republican Roy Blunt leads Democrat Robin Carnahan by 5.3 percentage points.

* Nevada (Democrat) - Democrat Harry Reid leads Republican Sharon Angle by 3.7 percentage points.

* New Hampshire (Republican) - No primary yet, but Republican favorite Kelly Ayotte is ahead of Democrat Paul Hodes by 7.6 percentage points.

* Ohio (Republican) - Republican Rob Portman and Democrat Lee Fisher are essentially tied, with Portman holding a 0.7 percentage point lead.

* Pennsylvania (Democrat) - Republican Pat Toomey leads Democrat Joe Sestak by 2.3 percentage points.

* Washington (Democrat) - No primary yet, but incumbent Democrat Patty Murray leads favored Republican candidate Dino Rossi by 2 percentage points.

* Wisconsin (Democrat) - Democrat Russ Feingold leads likely Republican Ron Johnson by 2 percentage points.

Republicans also hold commanding leads in four Democratic-held states -- Arkansas, Delaware, Indiana and North Dakota.

(Compiled by John Whitesides in Washington; Editing by David Storey)

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Comments (2)
Richie5 wrote:
Do not under estimate the level of rage in the American public. As a Democrat I talk with people everyday who say Obama has used Bribery, illegal payoffs, Kick backs to Unions, Senate and House members to promote his Socialist Marxist agenda with total disregard for the Publics wishes. I also see how he wants to allow illegal aliens Amnesty who will take millions of Democrats jobs and lower wages for Democrats. Republicans see cheap labor and lower wages for all Democrats. Obama does this for votes in 2012, he has turned the Democratic party to the wolves for a few votes. People are mad at Obama and the failure of the majority Democrats in the House and Senate to fix the economy while spending money like drunks. Democrats will be credited with making America a third world country, a Banana Republic, the last place on Earth anyone will want to live. As a Democrat I will be voting all Democrats out to show my displeasure. All the promises made by Obama were lies, the Democratic House and Senate lie to the people, they are greedy, selfish, slimballs who could careless about America……..

Jul 30, 2010 12:25pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
I too hear all of these charges against Obama, and I wonder where they’re coming from. What “kickbacks to unions,” for example, are they talking about? The auto bailouts benefited the companies — the unions did terribly. What “Soviet Marxist agenda” is Obama promoting? Obama has saved the capitalists’ shirts, and as we know from China’s example, capitalism is not always aligned to democracy. The beginning of the end, I fear, is for the people who make these accusations to go unchallenged. They’re dismissed as being a fringe group, but they’re like the brownshirts, resorting to intimidation when the facts fail them. Make no mistake: They are a threat to our democracy.

Aug 01, 2010 8:47am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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