Ray of hope for U.S. small-business hiring - NFIB

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WASHINGTON | Thu Aug 5, 2010 3:37pm EDT

WASHINGTON Aug 5 (Reuters) - U.S. small businesses inched closer to adding jobs in July, a survey showed on Thursday, offering a faint glimmer of hope for the long-suffering labor market a day before government employment data is released.

The National Federation of Independent Business's monthly employment poll showed that 10 percent of small businesses added jobs last month, up from 5 percent in June, while 15 percent cut. The rest made no change to their labor force.

The July report showed a seasonally adjusted loss of 0.15 workers per firm for the prior three months, down from June's loss of 0.28.

"This suggests that private sector job growth is improving and the unemployment rate shouldn't rise and might even surrender a tenth of a point or two," NFIB economist William Dunkelberg said.

"Still, we need 300,000 net new jobs a month for 3 years to get back to 2007 employment levels, and that's just not in our immediate future," he added.

Economists polled by Reuters think Friday's payrolls report will show the unemployment rate ticked up to 9.6 percent in July from 9.5 percent a month earlier.

They were looking for an overall payroll decline of 65,000, although much of that is tied to the end of temporary Census jobs. Private employers are expected to add 90,000 positions.

Over the next three months, 10 percent of firms polled plan to cut jobs, up 2 percentage points from the prior month, while 9 percent intend to create new posts, down 1 point.

The poll is based on 2,029 responses from NFIB member firms, who were surveyed through July 31.

Small businesses are normally a major source of jobs but they have been particularly reluctant to hire lately because of weak sales and uncertainty about the pace of the recovery.

The White House wants to funnel more money to small-business lending in hopes of spurring hiring. A bill that would free up $30 billion is awaiting Senate approval. (Reporting by Emily Kaiser; Editing by James Dalgleish)

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Comments (2)
Similar to the findings in the NFIB survey that indicate that the “unemployment rate shouldn’t rise,” the 2Q Vistage CEO Confidence Index of small to mid-sized businesses reveals that while CEOs have lowered their expectations for the pace of growth in the overall economy, they remain confident that sales and hiring will increase in the next 12 months. These results help in reducing the reluctance of small businesses to hire that once stemmed from weak sales and uncertainty about the pace of the recovery:

http://multivu.prnewswire.com/mnr/vistage/44997/.

Aug 09, 2010 3:43pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
seanpate wrote:
A MerchantCircle survey of over 9,000 small business owners released mid-July reported that 16% planned to increase headcount over the next three months.

http://blog.merchantcircle.com/2010/07/merchantcircle-q2-2010-merchant.html

Aug 09, 2010 4:55pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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