U.S. millionaire index turns sharply bearish

NEW YORK | Wed Aug 25, 2010 8:14am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Spectrem millionaire investor confidence index fell to its lowest level in more than a year in August as wealthy U.S. investors worried about politics and unemployment, according to Spectrem Group.

The Spectrem Millionaire Investor Confidence Index fell 11 points in August to -18, its lowest level since June 2009, when it fell a record 18 points to -20 shortly after the S&P 500 index hit a 12-year low.

The move returns the index to mildly bearish territory after 12 straight months in neutral.

The Chicago-based consulting firm, which specializes in affluent and retirement markets, defines neutral as between -10 and +10 in the index, which ranges from -100 to +100.

"The millionaires' decline is particularly troubling since it suggests millionaires, typically more sophisticated than the broader affluent population, are reverting to a bearish frame of mind," said George Walper, president of Spectrem Group.

At the same time, the Spectrem Affluent Investor Confidence Index, which measures the outlook of households with $500,000 or more in investable assets, fell 4 points in August to -20, its third-straight monthly decline.

In response to an open-ended question about the factors most affecting their economic outlook, 18 percent of affluent investors cited the political environment, up from 13 percent last month, while 16 percent cited unemployment, up from 6 percent.

U.S. mid-term elections are coming up in November. Many affluent investors are worried that Bush-era tax breaks for investors will be allowed to expire at the end of the year, significantly increasing dividends tax.

Millionaires were more focused on the political environment, with 25 percent of respondents citing that, but less focused on unemployment, with 13 percent citing the labor market.

(Reporting by Edward Krudy; Editing by Neil Stempleman)

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Comments (15)
caserojj wrote:
Honestly, if you are a millionaire then who cares about your tax breaks. In my opinion they don’t need them. The Bush era tax breaks were a sham. The vast majority of American citizens received a pittance in return but a very select few (top 2% of income earners) received significant amounts of money. I would rather the tax cuts were never enacted. Maybe government coffers would be in better shape and they money supply would not have been so tight. Millionaires hoard the cash. If they didn’t they would n’t be millionaires for long. But this cash hoarding only tightens the money supply further deepening and extending the recession.

Aug 25, 2010 10:17am EDT  --  Report as abuse
ageek wrote:
Money supply tight? Masses have no money? Think again. The past 10 years have had escalating loose money. Easy large loans to the masses to sink into real estate that the masses believed couldn’t go down in value.

Look at where that got us.

The current political environment is poisonous to the fabric of what America stands for. Class warfare is a HORRIBLE party platform. Horrible horrible horrible. Tax the rich b/c there are few, and they can afford it. That is totally distructive economic and social policy in a country that is built on capitalistic values.

Yes, our current political situation is dire indeed.

Aug 25, 2010 10:42am EDT  --  Report as abuse
fatcat250plus wrote:
the fact are the tax cuts are going to save the us taxpayers $3.7 trillion over the next 10 years. Less then $700 billion will go to those households earning over $250k/$200k. I’ll take the “vast majorities pittance” and you hard working schlups can have the fatcats share any day of the week.

Aug 25, 2010 11:30am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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