Fund managers flee equity risk on double-dip fears: Reuters Poll

A trader watches his screens on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange August 11, 2010. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

A trader watches his screens on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange August 11, 2010.

Credit: Reuters/Brendan McDermid

NEW YORK | Tue Aug 31, 2010 9:50am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. fund managers cut their high exposure to equities in August and raised their bond allocations amid mounting fears of a double-dip recession, a Reuters poll showed on Tuesday.

On average, funds held 61.5 percent of their assets in equities, compared with 65.0 percent a month earlier, the poll of 14 U.S.-based fund management firms surveyed from Aug 17 to 30 showed.

Exposure to fixed-income securities, including government and corporate and high-yield "junk" bonds, rose to 31.8 percent in August from 29.8 percent in July. There were changes in the sample in August, but on a like-for-like basis the direction was the same.

"We are reducing risk because the recent economic figures suggest things are really slowing down," said Keith Wirtz, chief investment officer at Fifth Third Asset Management, a Cincinnati, Ohio-based firm that oversaw $17.8 billion as of March.

Lingering uncertainty about the global economic recovery has kept stocks under severe selling pressure.

The benchmark Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX has fallen roughly 4.8 percent in August, and the Dow Jones industrial average .DJI dropped about 4.4 percent in the same period.

In mid-August, the Federal Reserve jolted markets with a shift in policy. Acknowledging that "the pace of recovery in output and employment has slowed in recent months," the U.S. central bank said it would use the proceeds from its huge mortgage-bond portfolio to buy long-term Treasury securities.

The move fueled even more buying in the 30-year Treasury bond, arguably this summer's hottest investment. For the month, long-dated Treasuries have beaten every other U.S. fixed-income market.

Treasuries maturing in more than 20 years -- a sector comprised mainly of 30-year bonds -- posted returns of 5.07 percent in August, according to data from Barclays Capital.

The rally could continue. On Friday, the U.S. government said gross domestic product grew at an annual pace of 1.6 percent in the second quarter, down from the 2.4 percent it had initially estimated a month ago.

"In this environment, holdings of long Treasury paper will serve not only as a safe haven, but an asset whose value will appreciate significantly," said Van Hoisington, who oversees the $171 million Wasatch-Hoisington U.S. Treasury Fund (WHOSX.O). The fund is up roughly 20 percent so far this year through mid-August, according to Lipper.

The group polled by Reuters also raised exposure to cash in August. Their cash allocations moved to 3.1 percent in August, from 2.0 percent in July. (Polling by Bangalore Polling Unit; editing by Leslie Adler and Stephen Nisbet)

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Comments (4)
Gotthardbahn wrote:
Bond bubble, anyone?

Aug 31, 2010 11:03am EDT  --  Report as abuse
Dahc wrote:
I second that. There are quite a few more “bubbles” we haven’t crossed yet. This is not a “double-dip” or whatever, we are not out of the current recession yet

Aug 31, 2010 1:37pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
How the heck can we have a double dip when we never crawled out of the first dip?

Aug 31, 2010 10:38pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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