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Speculators trim bets against U.S. dollar - CFTC
NEW YORK, Sept 3 (Reuters) - Currency speculators trimmed bets against the U.S. dollar in the latest week, data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed on Friday.
The value of the dollar's net short position shrank to $7.1 billion in the week ended Aug. 31, down from a net short position of $11.12 billion in the previous week, according to CFTC and Reuters data.
Speculators had been long the dollar for most of the first half of 2010 but began betting against it regularly in July as U.S. economic data suggested economic recovery was slowing.
Speculators cut their long positions on the Japanese yen but increased them on the Swiss franc in the latest week.
The Swiss franc CHF= is viewed as a safe haven amid fears the global economy is slowing.
While the yen JPY= is also viewed as a safe haven, the currency's rapid advance in recent weeks prompted Japanese authorities to announce easing measures on Monday. A strong yen makes Japan's exports more expensive and reduces their competitiveness.
That made some speculators more cautious on the yen though traders and analysts alike said that, short of direct intervention in the foreign exchange markets, the yen is bound to test its all-time high against the dollar of 79.75 yen set in April 1995. On Friday the dollar traded at 84.45 yen.
This week's CFTC data showed net long yen positions fell to 49,904 from 51,069 contracts last week and total long yen positions fell slightly to 61,219 contracts from 63,086 contracts, in the prior week.
Scotia Capital says record net yen long positions posted at 65,920 contracts on March 25, 2008, with record yen longs at 94,654 on March 4, 2008.
The larger the number of long yen contracts, the more speculators will have to scramble to reverse positions to prevent losses in the event of a decline in yen and a rally in the dollar.
A long position is a bet that a currency will rise in value, while investors who go short expect it to fall.
The Reuters calculation for the aggregate U.S. dollar position is derived from the net positions of International Monetary Market speculators in the yen, euro, British pound, Swiss franc, Canadian and Australian dollars.
JAPANESE YEN (Contracts of 12,500,000 yen)
8/31/10 week 8/24/10 week
Long 61,219 63,086
Short 11,315 12,017
Net 49,904 51,069
EURO (Contracts of 125,000 euros)
8/31/10 week 8/24/10 week
Long 51,099 54,591
Short 76,668 76,194
Net -25,569 -21,603
POUND STERLING (Contracts of 62,500 pounds sterling)
8/31/10 week 8/24/10 week
Long 23,052 28,511
Short 38,318 32,876
Net -15,266 -4,365
SWISS FRANC (Contracts of 125,000 Swiss francs)
8/31/10 week 8/24/10 week
Long 21,185 20,735
Short 6,904 6,867
Net 14,281 13,868
CANADIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Canadian dollars)
8/31/10 week 8/24/10 week
Long 26,957 24,889
Short 31,721 8,742
Net -4,764 16,147
AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Aussie dollars)
8/31/10 week 8/24/10 week
Long 54,261 58,462
Short 10,453 11,445
Net 43,808 47,017
MEXICAN PESO (Contracts of 500,000 pesos)
8/31/10 week 8/24/10 week
Long 38,731 68,371
Short 17,727 9,001
Net 21,004 59,370
NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR(Contracts of 100,000 New Zealand dollars) 8/31/10 week 8/24/10 week
Long 12,193 14,931
Short 5,236 4,248
Net 6,957 10,683 (Reporting by Nick Olivari; Editing by James Dalgleish)
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