UPDATE 4-Chavez likely to retain parliament in Venezuela vote

Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:07pm EDT

Related Topics

 * Opposition will make inroads after 2005 boycott
 * President's Socialist Party seen keeping majority
 * Chavez praises rivals for taking part in polls
 (Updates with Chavez voting, paragraphs 2-3)
 By Daniel Wallis
 CARACAS, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Venezuelans voted for a new
parliament on Sunday with President Hugo Chavez expected to
keep control of the National Assembly in a poll that tests his
support ahead of the next presidential election in 2012.
 Wearing a tracksuit top in the red, yellow and blue of the
Venezuelan flag, Chavez arrived to vote at a school in the 23
de Enero slum in a modest red sedan that he drove himself.
 "All those who come out to vote know their vote will be
respected," he told reporters, adding that he was happy the
opposition had agreed to take part. "Those who are against,
those who are in favor, let us all vote," he said.
 Chavez is not on the ballot, but his larger-than-life
personality has dominated the campaigns -- and exposed stark
political differences in a country with vast oil and mineral
wealth and a huge gap between rich and poor.
 Opposition parties in South America's biggest oil producer
are guaranteed to make big gains after they boycotted the last
legislative election five years ago.
 The focus is on whether they can take more than a third of
the 165 seats up for grabs, which would mean the socialist
president would need support from his foes for major changes to
laws or to make appointments to important institutions.
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 From before dawn, Chavez supporters had woken residents in
sprawling shantytowns and elsewhere with fireworks, horns and
loudspeakers proclaiming: "Let's vote for the president!"
 The former paratrooper is hailed by fans as a champion of
the poor, but denounced by critics as a boorish dictator. His
popularity is in the 40 percent to 50 percent range -- well
below his highs of previous years but probably enough to ensure
his ruling Socialist Party retains a majority.
 More than 17 million people are registered to vote. The
polls are due to close at 6 p.m. (2230 GMT), with the first
results expected in the following hours.
 "This revolution must be saved, it cannot be lost. You must
vote with your conscience," Aura Querales, a 63-year-old
pensioner wearing a bright red T-shirt, told Reuters after
casting her ballot in the west of the capital Caracas.
 In addition to the president's polarizing personality, the
peaceful campaign has focused on Venezuela's shocking crime
statistics and its dire economic situation. Sky-high inflation
has worsened a second year of recession.
 A big win would boost Chavez ahead of the 2012 presidential
poll, when he will run for re-election in what would be his
14th year in power. In that time, he has become one of the
world's most recognizable -- and controversial -- politicians.
 VOTING QUEUES FROM AMAZON TO ANDES
 The 56-year-old was first elected president in 1998, six
years after leading a failed coup that won him national
prominence. He later launched his self-proclaimed "Bolivarian
Revolution" -- named for independence hero Simon Bolivar.
 According to polls, the Socialists are a couple of
percentage points ahead of a newly united opposition umbrella
group, Democratic Unity. Combined with changes to voting rules
and the electoral map that favor the government, analysts say,
that means Chavez's party is favorite to win.
 Opponents, however, say there is a wave of disenchantment
with the president that will prove the polls wrong.
 Dora, a 33-year-old Petare hairdresser who did not want her
second name used, said she was woken up before 4 a.m. by noisy
"Chavista" neighbors. She was voting for the opposition.
 "Since the attempted coup of '92, I've never liked that
man. He is violent and I don't trust him," she told Reuters.
 In television images of polling stations from rural
villages in the Amazon jungle to Andean villages and the slums
of Caracas, small and orderly queues formed at the polls.  
 The armed forces said they had closed the border with
Colombia until 8 p.m. on Sunday (0030 GMT on Monday) "to avoid
any problems that could hinder the electoral process."
 Tensions spiked between the Andean neighbors in early
August after U.S. ally Colombia accused Chavez of tolerating
leftist guerrillas on his territory. Chavez briefly cut
diplomatic ties in protest, but relations have since improved.
 Investors are paying close attention to the vote,
particularly because debt issued by the government and state
oil company PDVSA offers very high yields for those willing to
bear what some consider a significant chance of default.
 Venezuela's yield spread over U.S. Treasuries remains the
widest among nations listed on JP Morgan's Emerging Markets
Bond Index Plus (EMBI+) 11EMJ.
 Its benchmark dollar-denominated 2027 global bond
VENGLB27=RR rose 6.73 percent to 70.56 on Friday from 66.13
two weeks ago, thanks, analysts say, to the nonviolent run-up
to the vote and increased investor appetite for risk.
 Some market players hope for opposition gains because they
are wary of nationalizations by Chavez that have put a wide
swath of the economy under state control, including
multibillion-dollar oil projects run by U.S. majors.
 (Additional reporting by Andrew Cawthorne, Frank Jack Daniel
and Deisy Buitrago; editing by Mohammad Zargham and Jackie
Frank)


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