Factbox: Senate poll averages by Real Clear Politics

Tue Sep 28, 2010 4:29pm EDT

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(Reuters) - Republicans are headed for big gains in the Senate in the November 2 election, but winning a majority will still be a difficult goal, according to poll averages compiled by the website Real Clear Politics.

Republicans must sweep nearly all the competitive races to pick up the 10 seats needed for a majority in the Senate, where Democrats now hold a 59-41 edge.

The polls show Republicans leading in races that could give them a net gain of eight seats, which would leave Democrats with a 51-49 edge. Republicans are close in several other races.

A Republican moved ahead on Tuesday in another state where Democrats thought they would cruise to victory. Republican John Raese has a 2.5 percentage point lead over Democratic Governor Joe Manchin in the West Virginia race to replace the late Robert Byrd

A Reuters/Ipsos poll in Ohio showed on Tuesday Republican Rob Portman with a commanding 13-point lead over Democratic rival Lee Fisher in the Senate race.

In the House of Representatives, the Real Clear Politics averages show Republicans with a slight edge. Republicans lead with 207 seats to 191 for Democrats, with 37 contests considered toss-ups in the battle for a 218-seat majority.

Republicans must pick up 39 Democratic seats to claim House control in November.

Here is a look at the Real Clear Politics poll averages in the most competitive Senate races, with the party currently holding the seat in parenthesis.

* California (Democrat) - Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer leads Republican challenger Carly Fiorina by 6 percentage points.

* Colorado (Democrat) - Republican Ken Buck leads Democratic Senator Michael Bennet by 2 percentage points.

* Connecticut (Democrat) - Democrat Richard Blumenthal leads Republican Linda McMahon by 4 percentage points in a race that is getting tighter.

* Delaware (Democrat) - Democrat Chris Coons leads Republican Christine O'Donnell by 15.7 percentage points.

* Florida (Republican) - Republican Marco Rubio leads independent Charlie Crist by 10.6 percentage points, with Democrat Kendrick Meek trailing.

* Illinois (Democrat) - Republican Mark Kirk leads Democrat Alexi Giannoulias by 1.6 percentage points.

* Kentucky (Republican) - Republican Rand Paul leads Democrat Jack Conway by 5.8 percentage points in a tightening race.

* Missouri (Republican) - Republican Roy Blunt leads Democrat Robin Carnahan by 5.5 percentage points.

* Nevada (Democrat) - Democratic Senate Leader Harry Reid leads Republican challenger Sharron Angle by 1 percentage point.

* New Hampshire (Republican) - Republican Kelly Ayotte leads Democrat Paul Hodes by 8.3 percentage points.

* Ohio (Republican) - Republican Rob Portman leads Democrat Lee Fisher by 13.6 percentage points.

* Pennsylvania (Democrat) - Republican Pat Toomey leads Democrat Joe Sestak by 6.5 percentage points.

* Washington (Democrat) - Democratic Senator Patty Murray has widened her lead over Republican Dino Rossi to 5.3 percentage points.

* Wisconsin (Democrat) - Republican challenger Ron Johnson leads Democratic Senator Russ Feingold by 8.4 percentage points.

Republicans also hold commanding leads in three Democratic-held states -- Arkansas, Indiana and North Dakota. (Compiled by John Whitesides; Editing by Philip Barbara)

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Comments (2)
Richie5 wrote:
Democrats dump Obama by the millions, we are just sick and tired of the empty promises and lies. Obama using Marxist as advisors set out to put America under Communist economics, that’s like driving off a cliff with the entire American public onboard and we have not hit bottom yet. Is Obama the mad man who takes America to it’s knees?

Sep 28, 2010 9:44pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
jamesjoseph wrote:
Please stop the hyperventilating. Obama isn’t a Marxist, and his approval ratings are higher than those of Ronald Reagan or Bill Clinton at this point in their presidencies. The Tea Party keeps claiming that Obama’s lied. but I haven’t see any of these lies. He’s by far the better choice for a strong America than any of the Tea Party/Republican candidates. If you’re on your knees, please get up.

Oct 04, 2010 4:24am EDT  --  Report as abuse
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