Brown widens lead over Whitman in California race

LOS ANGELES Sun Oct 24, 2010 5:31pm EDT

California Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown speaks at a campaign rally in Los Angeles, California, October 22, 2010. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson

California Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown speaks at a campaign rally in Los Angeles, California, October 22, 2010.

Credit: Reuters/Lucy Nicholson


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LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Democrat Jerry Brown has more than doubled his lead over Republican rival Meg Whitman in the California governor's race, gaining support from Latino voters after an illegal immigration furor over the former eBay chief's former housekeeper.

A Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California poll on Sunday gave Brown, the state's attorney general who first served as California governor from 1975 to 1983, a 13 percentage point lead over Whitman. Brown has 52 percent support, compared to 39 percent for Whitman among likely voters.

In the same poll a month ago, Brown had a 5 percentage point lead over Whitman. The election is November 2.

Sunday's poll, conducted October 13-20, showed Brown has a 36 percentage point lead over Whitman among Latino voters, up from 19 percent in September.

Latinos make up a fifth of the California electorate and are seen as pivotal in deciding the governor's race.

Whitman's camp on Sunday dismissed the poll as old and inaccurate given that three more recent surveys show her gap with Brown to be nearer to 3 percentage points.

"Statistically, given the clear average of multiple public and private polls fielded in a similar time frame, the LA Times poll should be categorized as an outlier poll and can be dismissed as simply inaccurate," said Whitman pollster John McLaughlin.

The poll also found that three-term Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer maintains an 8 percentage point lead over Republican challenger Carly Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard CEO.


In other findings, California's ballot measure to become the first U.S. state to legalize and tax marijuana is opposed by 51 percent of likely voters, compared to 39 percent in favor -- most of them young, white men.

Whitman, a billionaire political novice making her first run for office, has poured some $140 million of her own money into a bid to beat Brown in a year when voters, angry over the still-sluggish economy and high unemployment, are expected to punish Democrats at the ballot box.

Sunday's poll showed, however, she had taken a hit from revelations last month that she employed, and later fired, an undocumented Latina housekeeper.

Some 52 percent of likely voters thought Whitman handled the issue poorly, compared to 41 percent who said she handled it well.

Whitman, who supports a guest worker program but no citizenship for those in the United States illegally, may also have been damaged by some hard-line comments on immigration in a televised Spanish-language debate, University of Southern California researchers said.

"There are events beyond her control that Whitman didn't manage well," said USC political scientist Darry Sragow, the interim poll director. "Voters are making a judgment about Whitman's character and how she handled a crisis."

California has been considered a reliably Democratic state but has elected a string of Republican governors since the 1960s, including former President Ronald Reagan and current Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger.

The new governor will inherit a state struggling with double-digit unemployment, a budget deficit of tens of billions of dollars and an unpopular, often gridlocked legislature.

The Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California survey was conducted among 1,500 people, including 922 likely voters. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for likely voters.

(Additional reporting by Dan Whitcomb, Editing by Sandra Maler)

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Comments (21)
klgrube wrote:
Who cares what the LA Slime thinks. Why would ANYONE EVER vote for Jerry Brown? In what universe it is acceptable for him to refuse to do his job as Attorney General and NOT defend our vote for Prop 8 in court? What kind of an idiot does that? If he thinks he can get away with a stupid stunt like that as AG, what will he think he can get away with as Governor? This state is in for a VERY rude awakening if it votes for Brown, just like we have been for electing the worst, most destructive President in history. Let’s not repeat THAT mistake, please. An old pot-head is NOT what this state needs right now to recover, especieally one who WON’T do the job he was elected to do.

Oct 24, 2010 12:06pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
Adethro wrote:
Why would anyone vote for Jerry Brown, you ask? I’ll tell you. Our state government, where the majority of the legislature is democratic, cannot function with a republican governor. We already say what happened with Schwarzenegger. Horrible. Now look at the mess that we’re in. But out of his campaign, he wants to appropriately fund K-12 and higher education. He wants to continue with AB32 and bring green jobs to California. He’s thinking about the future of California which is a very wise move.
As for his refusal to defend Prop 8, I think that is what makes him an EVEN BETTER candidate. I am highly critical of politics but I think his decision to not uphold this blatantly prejudice law was the right decision. This law is unconstitutional and is infringing on the civil rights of gay people.

Go Jerry!

Oct 24, 2010 1:00pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
Nerau wrote:
Whitman really does believe that she will be the CEO of California – she’ll just order the legislature to do as she pleases and it will be done. Apparently about half the public shares her fantasy.

Oct 24, 2010 1:32pm EDT  --  Report as abuse
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